Is Tillys Stock a Good Investment?
Tillys Investment Advice | TLYS |
- Examine Tillys' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Tillys' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Tillys navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Specialty Retail space and any emerging trends that could impact Tillys' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Tillys' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Tillys is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Tillys pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Tillys' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Tillys Inc stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Tillys Inc is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Examine Tillys Stock
Researching Tillys' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.74. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tillys Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.98. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.54. The firm last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2021.
To determine if Tillys is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Tillys' research are outlined below:
| Tillys Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tillys Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 623.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (46.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 153.42 M. | |
| Tillys Inc currently holds about 116.38 M in cash with (42.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.87, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Baker Tilly Case Study Transforming Global Manufacturing Operations for Sustainable Growth |
Tillys uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Tillys Inc. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Tillys' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 14th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 6th of June 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of January 2024 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 14th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 31st of October 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of January 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Tillys' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Tillys' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019-05-29 | 2019-02-28 | 0.03 | 0.02 | -0.01 | 33 | ||
2016-05-25 | 2016-02-29 | -0.07 | -0.06 | 0.01 | 14 | ||
2015-05-27 | 2015-02-28 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 25 | ||
2013-05-29 | 2013-02-28 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 14 | ||
2015-12-02 | 2015-11-30 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.02 | 14 | ||
2015-08-26 | 2015-05-31 | 0.04 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 50 | ||
2013-08-28 | 2013-05-31 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 15 | ||
2012-08-22 | 2012-05-31 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 28 |
Tillys Target Price Consensus
Tillys target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Tillys' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 2 | Hold |
Most Tillys analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Tillys stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Tillys Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationTillys Target Price Projection
Tillys' current and average target prices are 2.34 and 5.00, respectively. The current price of Tillys is the price at which Tillys Inc is currently trading. On the other hand, Tillys' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Tillys Target Price
Tillys Analyst Ratings
Tillys' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Tillys stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Tillys' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Tillys' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know Tillys' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Tillys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tillys Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Tillys' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Tillys' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 398.3 K | State Street Corp | 2024-12-31 | 391.7 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 208.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 142.5 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 87.2 K | Empowered Funds, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 84.7 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-12-31 | 70.8 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 68.7 K | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 65.4 K | Fund 1 Investments Llc | 2024-12-31 | 8.2 M | Shay Capital Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2.3 M |
Tillys' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 74.17 M.Market Cap |
|
Tillys' profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.05 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.11 | 0.11 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.05 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.09 | 0.09 |
Determining Tillys' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Tillys is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Tillys' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Tillys' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Tillys' accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Tillys Inc. Check Tillys' Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Tillys' management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Tillys' management efficiency
Tillys Inc has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0736) % which means that it has lost $0.0736 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.3762) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Tillys' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Tillys manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Tillys' Return On Tangible Assets are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is likely to gain to 0.09 in 2025, whereas Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.11 in 2025. At this time, Tillys' Non Currrent Assets Other are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to gain to 0.09 in 2025, whereas Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop slightly above 166.7 M in 2025.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 5.66 | 3.83 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 5.66 | 3.83 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 7.60 | 8.13 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 2.43 | 2.55 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 7.60 | 8.13 | |
| Price Fair Value | 2.43 | 2.55 | |
| Enterprise Value | 474.8 M | 422 M |
The strategic vision of Tillys Inc management plays a critical role in its financial performance. By evaluating this vision, we provide insights into the stock's growth potential.
Beta 1.569 |
Basic technical analysis of Tillys Stock
As of the 20th of March, Tillys has the Coefficient Of Variation of (958.94), variance of 18.59, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Tillys Inc, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Tillys Inc information ratio and kurtosis to decide if Tillys is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 2.34 per share. Please also confirm Tillys Inc jensen alpha, which is currently at (0.38) to double-check the company can sustain itself at a future point.Tillys' insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Tillys insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Tillys' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Tillys insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Tillys' Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Tillys issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Tillys Inc uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Tillys bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Tillys Inc has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
Understand Tillys' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Tillys' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.44) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (958.94) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.31 | |||
| Variance | 18.59 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.38) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.45) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.52 | |||
| Skewness | (1.29) | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.74 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.44) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (958.94) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.31 | |||
| Variance | 18.59 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.38) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.45) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.52 | |||
| Skewness | (1.29) | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.74 |
Consider Tillys' intraday indicators
Tillys intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Tillys stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Tillys Corporate Filings
| 18th of March 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F4 | 14th of March 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 12th of March 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
| 14th of February 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify |
Tillys Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Tillys that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Tillys media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Tillys internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Tillys data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Tillys news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Tillys relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Tillys' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Tillys alpha.
Tillys Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Tillys can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Tillys Corporate Directors
| Janet Kerr | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Bernard Zeichner | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Douglas Collier | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Seth Johnson | Independent Director | Profile |
Additional Tools for Tillys Stock Analysis
When running Tillys' price analysis, check to measure Tillys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tillys is operating at the current time. Most of Tillys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tillys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tillys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tillys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.