Is TheRealReal Stock a Good Investment?

TheRealReal Investment Advice

  REAL
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on TheRealReal stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating TheRealReal. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include TheRealReal in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine TheRealReal's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research TheRealReal's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help TheRealReal navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Specialty Retail space and any emerging trends that could impact TheRealReal's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare TheRealReal's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how TheRealReal is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if TheRealReal pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about TheRealReal's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in TheRealReal stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if TheRealReal is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Cautious Hold
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on TheRealReal. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure TheRealReal is not overpriced, please validate all TheRealReal fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, cash and equivalents, earnings per share, as well as the relationship between the revenue and current ratio . Given that TheRealReal has a number of shares shorted of 16.26 M, we advise you to double-check TheRealReal market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine TheRealReal Stock

Researching TheRealReal's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.24. TheRealReal had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the October 7, 1997.
To determine if TheRealReal is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding TheRealReal's research are outlined below:
TheRealReal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TheRealReal has high historical volatility and very poor performance
TheRealReal has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 600.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (134.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 447.52 M.
TheRealReal has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: ARCH STREET CAPITAL ADVISORS AND ARTEMIS REAL ESTATE PARTNERS ACQUIRE 2.4 MILLION SQUARE FOOT INDUSTRIAL PORTFOLIO IN KANSAS CITY, MSA

TheRealReal Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

423.1 Million

TheRealReal uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in TheRealReal. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to TheRealReal's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
27th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
27th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact TheRealReal's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises TheRealReal's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-02-26
2024-12-31-0.0144-0.010.004430 
2020-02-25
2019-12-31-0.19-0.170.0210 
2024-05-07
2024-03-31-0.16-0.120.0425 
2024-02-29
2023-12-31-0.11-0.070.0436 
2019-11-04
2019-09-30-0.31-0.270.0412 
2023-08-08
2023-06-30-0.35-0.30.0514 
2019-08-13
2019-06-30-0.33-0.280.0515 
2023-02-28
2022-12-31-0.35-0.290.0617 

TheRealReal Target Price Consensus

TheRealReal target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. TheRealReal's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   7  Buy
Most TheRealReal analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand TheRealReal stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of TheRealReal, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

TheRealReal Target Price Projection

TheRealReal's current and average target prices are 6.30 and 7.96, respectively. The current price of TheRealReal is the price at which TheRealReal is currently trading. On the other hand, TheRealReal's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

TheRealReal Market Quote on 21st of March 2025

Low Price5.73Odds
High Price6.3Odds

6.3

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On TheRealReal Target Price

Low Estimate7.24Odds
High Estimate8.83Odds

7.9583

Historical Lowest Forecast  7.24 Target Price  7.96 Highest Forecast  8.83
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on TheRealReal and the information provided on this page.

TheRealReal Analyst Ratings

TheRealReal's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about TheRealReal stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of TheRealReal's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. TheRealReal's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know TheRealReal's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as TheRealReal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TheRealReal backward and forwards among themselves. TheRealReal's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase TheRealReal's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-12-31
2.2 M
Manatuck Hill Partners Llc2024-12-31
1.7 M
Sg Americas Securities, Llc2024-12-31
1.6 M
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-12-31
1.6 M
Awm Investment Company Inc2024-12-31
1.4 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
1.3 M
Crestwood Capital Management, L.p.2024-12-31
1.2 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
1.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
M
Kanen Wealth Management Llc2024-12-31
6.4 M
Note, although TheRealReal's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

TheRealReal's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 686.39 M.

Market Cap

7.01 Billion

TheRealReal's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.32)(0.33)
Return On Capital Employed(0.32)(0.34)
Return On Assets(0.32)(0.33)
Return On Equity 0.33  0.35 
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.22) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.03) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.03.
Determining TheRealReal's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if TheRealReal is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures TheRealReal's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of TheRealReal's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate TheRealReal's management efficiency

TheRealReal has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0809) % which means that it has lost $0.0809 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (9.3274) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. TheRealReal's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well TheRealReal manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Equity is expected to rise to 0.35 this year, although the value of Return On Tangible Assets will most likely fall to (0.33). At this time, TheRealReal's Fixed Asset Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(0.38)(0.40)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(0.38)(0.40)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(153.14)(145.48)
Price Book Value Ratio(28.94)(27.50)
Enterprise Value Multiple(153.14)(145.48)
Price Fair Value(28.94)(27.50)
Enterprise Value10.9 B5.9 B
Evaluating the management effectiveness of TheRealReal allows investors to assess its financial health and operational efficiency. Coupled with an analysis of its growth prospects and the current market dynamics, we evaluate the stock's true value and future potential. Key indicators such as revenue, earnings or debt levels are examined alongside external factors like economic trends and regulatory changes. The TheRealReal Stock analysis seeks to determine whether the stock is undervalued, appropriately priced, or overvalued, thereby guiding your investment decisions.
Beta
3.009

Basic technical analysis of TheRealReal Stock

As of the 21st of March, TheRealReal has the Variance of 30.34, risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,165). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of TheRealReal, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate TheRealReal coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and skewness to decide if TheRealReal is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 6.3 per share. Given that TheRealReal has information ratio of (0.07), we advise you to double-check TheRealReal's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

TheRealReal's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific TheRealReal insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on TheRealReal's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases TheRealReal insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Madan Gopal Ajay 3 days ago
Disposition of 51425 shares by Madan Gopal Ajay of TheRealReal at 5.8216 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Steve Lo over three weeks ago
Disposition of 6333 shares by Steve Lo of TheRealReal at 4.2481 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Baird Gilbert L. Iii over two months ago
Acquisition by Baird Gilbert L. Iii of 50925 shares of TheRealReal subject to Rule 16b-3
 
John Koryl over two months ago
Disposition of 63170 shares by John Koryl of TheRealReal at 9.61 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Sahi Levesque Rati over three months ago
Disposition of 25340 shares by Sahi Levesque Rati of TheRealReal at 9.51 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Steve Lo over three months ago
Disposition of 15274 shares by Steve Lo of TheRealReal at 5.89 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Sahi Levesque Rati over three months ago
Disposition of 44905 shares by Sahi Levesque Rati of TheRealReal at 1.74 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Sahi Levesque Rati over three months ago
Disposition of 4329 shares by Sahi Levesque Rati of TheRealReal at 4.2481 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Sahi Levesque Rati over three months ago
Acquisition by Sahi Levesque Rati of 1250000 shares of TheRealReal subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Steve Lo over three months ago
Disposition of 282 shares by Steve Lo of TheRealReal at 2.6084 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Sahi Levesque Rati over three months ago
Disposition of 10086 shares by Sahi Levesque Rati of TheRealReal at 2.29 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Todd Suko over six months ago
Disposition of 3350 shares by Todd Suko of TheRealReal at 2.61 subject to Rule 16b-3

TheRealReal's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

TheRealReal issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. TheRealReal uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most TheRealReal bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when TheRealReal has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand TheRealReal's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing TheRealReal's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider TheRealReal's intraday indicators

TheRealReal intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of TheRealReal stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

TheRealReal Corporate Filings

F4
20th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
6th of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
3rd of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
25th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
TheRealReal time-series forecasting models is one of many TheRealReal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary TheRealReal's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

TheRealReal Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about TheRealReal that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through TheRealReal media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via TheRealReal internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of TheRealReal data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of TheRealReal news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of TheRealReal relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to TheRealReal's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive TheRealReal alpha.

TheRealReal Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards TheRealReal can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

TheRealReal Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to TheRealReal's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TheRealReal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TheRealReal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TheRealReal. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
TheRealReal's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for TheRealReal and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average TheRealReal news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on TheRealReal.

TheRealReal Corporate Management

Ming LoChief VPProfile
Ali ZaferSenior OperationsProfile
Caitlin HoweSenior RelationsProfile
Paul BieberHead MarketsProfile
Caitlin JDSenior RelationsProfile
Zaina OrbaiChief OfficerProfile
Robert BurrisSenior TalentProfile
When determining whether TheRealReal is a strong investment it is important to analyze TheRealReal's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact TheRealReal's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding TheRealReal Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in TheRealReal. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
For more information on how to buy TheRealReal Stock please use our How to buy in TheRealReal Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TheRealReal. If investors know TheRealReal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TheRealReal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.24)
Revenue Per Share
5.566
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.144
Return On Assets
(0.08)
Return On Equity
(9.33)
The market value of TheRealReal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TheRealReal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TheRealReal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TheRealReal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TheRealReal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TheRealReal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between TheRealReal's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if TheRealReal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TheRealReal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.