Is SPS Commerce Stock a Good Investment?

SPS Commerce Investment Advice

  SPSC
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on SPS Commerce stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating SPS Commerce. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include SPS Commerce in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine SPS Commerce's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research SPS Commerce's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help SPS Commerce navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Application Software space and any emerging trends that could impact SPS Commerce's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare SPS Commerce's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how SPS Commerce is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if SPS Commerce pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about SPS Commerce's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in SPS Commerce stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if SPS Commerce is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Cautious Hold
Macroaxis provides recommendation on SPS Commerce to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on SPS Commerce. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure SPS Commerce is not overpriced, please validate all SPS Commerce fundamentals, including its book value per share, market capitalization, and the relationship between the cash per share and price to earnings to growth . Given that SPS Commerce has a price to earning of 103.21 X, we advise you to double-check SPS Commerce market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself for the next few years given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Very StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine SPS Commerce Stock

Researching SPS Commerce's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 103.21. SPS Commerce had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 23rd of August 2019.
To determine if SPS Commerce is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding SPS Commerce's research are outlined below:
SPS Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SPS Commerce has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Promising Ecommerce Stocks Worth Watching March 16th

SPS Commerce Quarterly Good Will

399.18 Million

SPS Commerce uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in SPS Commerce. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to SPS Commerce's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
8th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
8th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact SPS Commerce's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises SPS Commerce's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2015-10-22
2015-09-300.10.110.0110 
2014-10-23
2014-09-300.080.090.0112 
2014-02-06
2013-12-310.060.070.0116 
2013-07-25
2013-06-300.060.070.0116 
2013-04-25
2013-03-310.050.060.0120 
2013-02-06
2012-12-310.050.060.0120 
2012-10-25
2012-09-300.040.050.0125 
2012-07-26
2012-06-300.050.060.0120 

Know SPS Commerce's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as SPS Commerce is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SPS Commerce backward and forwards among themselves. SPS Commerce's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase SPS Commerce's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Riverbridge Partners Llc2024-12-31
651.6 K
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-12-31
640 K
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-12-31
590.1 K
Geneva Capital Management2024-12-31
581.8 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
510 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-12-31
507 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
481.4 K
Fred Alger Management, Llc2024-12-31
481.3 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
480.4 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
4.6 M
Note, although SPS Commerce's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

SPS Commerce's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 4.85 B.

Market Cap

3.2 Million

SPS Commerce's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.17  0.18 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.05 
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.12 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.14 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.14.
Determining SPS Commerce's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if SPS Commerce is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures SPS Commerce's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of SPS Commerce's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the presentation of SPS Commerce's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, SPS Commerce's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of SPS Commerce's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate SPS Commerce's management efficiency

SPS Commerce has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0599 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0599 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1012 %, meaning that it created $0.1012 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. SPS Commerce's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well SPS Commerce manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At present, SPS Commerce's Return On Capital Employed is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Return On Assets is expected to grow to 0.08, whereas Return On Equity is forecasted to decline to 0.05. At present, SPS Commerce's Non Current Assets Total are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 23.7 M, whereas Total Current Assets are forecasted to decline to about 207.5 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 22.91  24.06 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 7.35  7.72 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 74.65  61.59 
Price Book Value Ratio 8.03  4.05 
Enterprise Value Multiple 74.65  61.59 
Price Fair Value 8.03  4.05 
Enterprise Value4.2 M3.8 M
Leadership at SPS Commerce emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Beta
0.916

Basic technical analysis of SPS Stock

As of the 21st of March, SPS Commerce has the variance of 5.82, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.22). Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check available technical drivers of SPS Commerce, as well as the relationship between them.

SPS Commerce's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific SPS Commerce insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on SPS Commerce's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases SPS Commerce insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Jamie Thingelstad few days ago
Disposition of 100 shares by Jamie Thingelstad of SPS Commerce at 188.55 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Dan Juckniess six days ago
Disposition of 200 shares by Dan Juckniess of SPS Commerce at 186.34 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kimberly Nelson over a week ago
Disposition of 500 shares by Kimberly Nelson of SPS Commerce at 144.542 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kimberly Nelson over a week ago
Disposition of 880 shares by Kimberly Nelson of SPS Commerce at 148.4049 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Chad Collins over two weeks ago
Disposition of 1300 shares by Chad Collins of SPS Commerce at 148.9585 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kimberly Nelson over three weeks ago
Disposition of 1254 shares by Kimberly Nelson of SPS Commerce at 139.3419 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jamie Thingelstad over a month ago
Acquisition by Jamie Thingelstad of 1700000 shares of SPS Commerce subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jamie Thingelstad over a month ago
Disposition of 316 shares by Jamie Thingelstad of SPS Commerce at 184.2705 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jamie Thingelstad over a month ago
Disposition of tradable shares by Jamie Thingelstad of SPS Commerce at 184.7776 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Dan Juckniess over two months ago
Disposition of 700 shares by Dan Juckniess of SPS Commerce at 185.1729 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
James Frome over two months ago
Disposition of 1668 shares by James Frome of SPS Commerce at 186.2674 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Dan Juckniess over three months ago
Disposition of 5831 shares by Dan Juckniess of SPS Commerce at 56.25 subject to Rule 16b-3

SPS Commerce's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

SPS Commerce issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. SPS Commerce uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most SPS bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when SPS Commerce has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand SPS Commerce's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing SPS Commerce's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider SPS Commerce's intraday indicators

SPS Commerce intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of SPS Commerce stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

SPS Commerce Corporate Filings

F3
14th of March 2025
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
28th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
ASR
27th of February 2025
Automatic Shelf Registration Statement under Rule 415 filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
ViewVerify
8K
26th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
SPS Commerce time-series forecasting models is one of many SPS Commerce's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary SPS Commerce's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

SPS Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about SPS Commerce that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through SPS media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via SPS internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of SPS data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of SPS Commerce news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of SPS Commerce relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to SPS Commerce's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive SPS Commerce alpha.

SPS Commerce Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards SPS Commerce can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

SPS Commerce Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to SPS Commerce's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SPS. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SPS can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SPS Commerce. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
SPS Commerce's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for SPS Commerce and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average SPS Commerce news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on SPS Commerce.

SPS Commerce Corporate Executives

Elected by the shareholders, the SPS Commerce's board of directors comprises two types of representatives: SPS Commerce inside directors who are chosen from within the company, and outside directors, selected externally and held independent of SPS. The board's role is to monitor SPS Commerce's management team and ensure that shareholders' interests are well served. SPS Commerce's inside directors are responsible for reviewing and approving budgets prepared by upper management to implement core corporate initiatives and projects. On the other hand, SPS Commerce's outside directors are responsible for providing unbiased perspectives on the board's policies.
Kimberly NelsonCFO, Principal Accounting Officer and Executive VPProfile
James FromeCOO and Executive VPProfile
Jamie ThingelstadSenior CTOProfile
When determining whether SPS Commerce offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of SPS Commerce's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sps Commerce Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sps Commerce Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in SPS Commerce. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
For information on how to trade SPS Stock refer to our How to Trade SPS Stock guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SPS Commerce. If investors know SPS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SPS Commerce listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
Earnings Share
2.05
Revenue Per Share
17.096
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.179
Return On Assets
0.0599
The market value of SPS Commerce is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SPS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SPS Commerce's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SPS Commerce's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SPS Commerce's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SPS Commerce's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between SPS Commerce's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if SPS Commerce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SPS Commerce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.