Is Provident Financial Stock a Good Investment?

Provident Financial Investment Advice

  PROV
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Provident Financial Holdings stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Provident Financial Holdings. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Provident Financial in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Provident Financial's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Provident Financial's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Provident Financial navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Regional Banks space and any emerging trends that could impact Provident Financial's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Provident Financial's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Provident Financial is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Provident Financial pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Provident Financial's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Provident Financial Holdings stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Provident Financial Holdings is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Buy
Our trade recommendations tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Provident Financial and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Provident Financial is not overpriced, please check all Provident Financial fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and target price . Given that Provident Financial has a number of shares shorted of 22.42 K, we recommend you to check out Provident Financial market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Provident Financial Stock

Researching Provident Financial's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.85. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Provident Financial last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 3rd of February 2004.
To determine if Provident Financial is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Provident Financial's research are outlined below:
About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 5th of December 2024 Provident Financial paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Provident Financials EVP sells 73,080 in common stock - Investing.com

Provident Financial Quarterly Gross Profit

14.97 Million

Provident Financial uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Provident Financial Holdings. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Provident Financial's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
29th of January 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
24th of July 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
30th of June 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Provident Financial's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Provident Financial's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2017-04-27
2017-03-310.160.14-0.0212 
1999-07-27
1999-06-300.180.20.0211 
2024-10-28
2024-09-300.250.280.0312 
2023-10-25
2023-09-300.280.25-0.0310 
2021-04-27
2021-03-310.180.210.0316 
2019-01-28
2018-12-310.230.260.0313 
2018-04-26
2018-03-310.20.230.0315 
2015-10-27
2015-09-300.250.280.0312 

Know Provident Financial's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Provident Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Provident Financial Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Provident Financial's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Provident Financial's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Continental Advisors Llc2024-09-30
46.3 K
Black Maple Capital Management Lp2024-09-30
28.6 K
Federated Hermes Inc2024-09-30
25.8 K
Empowered Funds, Llc2024-09-30
25.7 K
State Street Corp2024-09-30
22.2 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
21 K
Talbot Financial2024-09-30
17.9 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-09-30
13.6 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-09-30
11.7 K
M3f, Inc.2024-09-30
500 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
485 K
Note, although Provident Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Provident Financial's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 110.98 M.

Market Cap

90.53 Million

Provident Financial's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.06  0.08 
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.19 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.28 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.28.
Determining Provident Financial's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Provident Financial is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Provident Financial's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Provident Financial's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Provident Financial's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Provident Financial Holdings. Check Provident Financial's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Provident Financial's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Provident Financial's management efficiency

At this time, Provident Financial's Return On Tangible Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is likely to climb to 0.01 in 2024, whereas Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.01 in 2024. At this time, Provident Financial's Asset Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Provident Financial's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Provident Financial manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 18.72  12.06 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 18.72  13.55 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 20.12  21.13 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.66  1.06 
Enterprise Value Multiple 20.12  21.13 
Price Fair Value 0.66  1.06 
Enterprise Value272.5 M275.9 M
The management team at Provident Financial has a track record of steering the company towards sustained growth. Evaluating their strategies helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Dividend Yield
0.0342
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0342
Forward Dividend Rate
0.56
Beta
0.375

Basic technical analysis of Provident Stock

As of the 20th of December, Provident Financial holds the Coefficient Of Variation of 709.23, semi deviation of 1.13, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1164. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Provident Financial, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Provident Financial variance and potential upside to decide if Provident Financial is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 16.41 per share. Given that Provident Financial has jensen alpha of 0.1765, we recommend you to check out Provident Financial's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Provident Financial's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Provident Financial insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Provident Financial's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Provident Financial insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Provident Financial's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Provident Financial issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Provident Financial uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Provident bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Provident Financial Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Provident Financial's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Provident Financial's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Provident Financial's intraday indicators

Provident Financial intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Provident Financial stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Provident Financial Corporate Filings

F3
22nd of November 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
10Q
7th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
F4
1st of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
28th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
Provident Financial time-series forecasting models is one of many Provident Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Provident Financial's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Provident Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Provident Financial that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Provident media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Provident internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Provident data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Provident Financial news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Provident Financial relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Provident Financial's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Provident Financial alpha.

Provident Financial Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Provident Financial can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Provident Financial Corporate Executives

Elected by the shareholders, the Provident Financial's board of directors comprises two types of representatives: Provident Financial inside directors who are chosen from within the company, and outside directors, selected externally and held independent of Provident. The board's role is to monitor Provident Financial's management team and ensure that shareholders' interests are well served. Provident Financial's inside directors are responsible for reviewing and approving budgets prepared by upper management to implement core corporate initiatives and projects. On the other hand, Provident Financial's outside directors are responsible for providing unbiased perspectives on the board's policies.

Additional Tools for Provident Stock Analysis

When running Provident Financial's price analysis, check to measure Provident Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Provident Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Provident Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Provident Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Provident Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Provident Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.