Is Par Pacific Stock a Good Investment?
Par Pacific Investment Advice | PARR |
- Examine Par Pacific's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Par Pacific's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Par Pacific navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space and any emerging trends that could impact Par Pacific's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Par Pacific's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Par Pacific is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Par Pacific pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Par Pacific's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Par Pacific Holdings stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Par Pacific Holdings is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Par Pacific Stock
Researching Par Pacific's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.66. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Par Pacific Holdings recorded a loss per share of 0.59. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 29th of January 2014.
To determine if Par Pacific is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Par Pacific's research are outlined below:
| Par Pacific Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Par Pacific Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Par Pacific Holdings currently holds 458.84 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.11, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Par Pacific Holdings has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Par Pacific's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 7.97 B. Net Loss for the year was (33.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 873.31 M. | |
| Par Pacific Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 98.0% of Par Pacific shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Short Interest Up 28.9 percent in February |
Par Pacific Quarterly Cash And Short Term Investments |
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Par Pacific uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Par Pacific Holdings. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Par Pacific's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 28th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 1st of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 28th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Par Pacific's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Par Pacific's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018-05-08 | 2018-03-31 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.02 | 12 | ||
2019-11-04 | 2019-09-30 | 0.1 | 0.13 | 0.03 | 30 | ||
2024-11-04 | 2024-09-30 | -0.06 | -0.1 | -0.04 | 66 | ||
2015-08-06 | 2015-06-30 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.04 | 14 | ||
2018-08-07 | 2018-06-30 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.05 | 20 | ||
2019-08-05 | 2019-06-30 | 0.51 | 0.45 | -0.06 | 11 | ||
2017-11-06 | 2017-09-30 | 0.49 | 0.55 | 0.06 | 12 | ||
2018-11-06 | 2018-09-30 | 0.19 | 0.12 | -0.07 | 36 |
Par Pacific Target Price Consensus
Par target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Par Pacific's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 7 | Buy |
Most Par analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Par stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Par Pacific Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationPar Pacific Target Price Projection
Par Pacific's current and average target prices are 14.08 and 22.86, respectively. The current price of Par Pacific is the price at which Par Pacific Holdings is currently trading. On the other hand, Par Pacific's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Par Pacific Market Quote on 25th of March 2025
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Par Pacific Target Price
Par Pacific Analyst Ratings
Par Pacific's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Par Pacific stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Par Pacific's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Par Pacific's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know Par Pacific's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Par Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Par Pacific Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Par Pacific's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Par Pacific's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 932.8 K | Punch & Associates Inv Mgmt Inc | 2024-12-31 | 931.3 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 909.2 K | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 800.2 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 797.2 K | Solas Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 795 K | Barclays Plc | 2024-12-31 | 718.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 9.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 4.3 M |
Par Pacific's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 781.8 M.Market Cap |
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Par Pacific's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.03) | (0.03) |
Determining Par Pacific's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Par Pacific is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Par Pacific's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Par Pacific's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Evaluate Par Pacific's management efficiency
As of 03/25/2025, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.02, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.01). At this time, Par Pacific's Intangibles To Total Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/25/2025, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 5.28, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.01). Par Pacific's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Par Pacific manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 21.38 | 20.31 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 18.89 | 17.94 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 6.73 | 7.07 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 0.77 | 0.69 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 6.73 | 7.07 | |
| Price Fair Value | 0.77 | 0.69 | |
| Enterprise Value | 804.2 M | 844.4 M |
The strategic initiatives led by Par Pacific's management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Beta 2.012 |
Basic technical analysis of Par Stock
As of the 25th of March, Par Pacific holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), coefficient of variation of (5,862), and Variance of 11.28. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Par Pacific, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Par Pacific Holdings risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and potential upside to decide if Par Pacific Holdings is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 14.08 per share. Given that Par Pacific has information ratio of (0.01), we recommend you to check out Par Pacific Holdings's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Par Pacific's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Par Pacific insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Par Pacific's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Par Pacific insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Par Pacific's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Par Pacific issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Par Pacific Holdings uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Par bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Par Pacific Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
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Understand Par Pacific's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Par Pacific's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.5 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (5,862) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.36 | |||
| Variance | 11.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0685 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.24 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.89 | |||
| Skewness | (0.32) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9776 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.5 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (5,862) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.36 | |||
| Variance | 11.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0685 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.24 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.89 | |||
| Skewness | (0.32) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9776 |
Consider Par Pacific's intraday indicators
Par Pacific intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Par Pacific stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.08 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.08 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.10) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.20) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 48.58 |
Par Pacific Corporate Filings
| 21st of March 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F3 | 6th of March 2025 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
10K | 28th of February 2025 Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance | ViewVerify |
8K | 26th of February 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
Par Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Par Pacific that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Par media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Par internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Par data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Par Pacific news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Par Pacific relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Par Pacific's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Par Pacific alpha.
Par Pacific Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Par Pacific can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Par Pacific Holdings Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to Par Pacific's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Par. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Par can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Par Pacific Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Par Pacific's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Par Pacific and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Par Pacific news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Par Pacific.
Par Pacific Maximum Pain Price Across June 20th 2025 Option Contracts
Par Pacific's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Par Pacific close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Par Pacific's options.
Par Pacific Corporate Directors
| Curtis Anastasio | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Anthony Chase | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Katherine Hatcher | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Walter Dods | Independent Director | Profile |
Additional Tools for Par Stock Analysis
When running Par Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Par Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Par Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Par Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Par Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Par Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Par Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.