Is Moderna Stock a Good Investment?

Moderna Investment Advice

  MRNA
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Moderna stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Moderna. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Moderna in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Moderna's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Moderna's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Moderna navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Biotechnology space and any emerging trends that could impact Moderna's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Moderna's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Moderna is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Moderna pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Moderna's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Moderna stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Moderna is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Sell
Our trade recommendations module can be used to complement Moderna advice provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Moderna is not overpriced, please verify all Moderna fundamentals, including its price to sales, cash per share, and the relationship between the number of shares shorted and ebitda . Given that Moderna has a number of shares shorted of 40.6 M, we recommend you to check Moderna market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails

Examine Moderna Stock

Researching Moderna's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.26. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Moderna recorded a loss per share of 9.28. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 3rd of August 2017.
To determine if Moderna is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Moderna's research are outlined below:
Moderna generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Moderna has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.24 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.56 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.77 B).
Moderna currently holds about 8.35 B in cash with (3 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 21.73.
Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Moderna uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Moderna. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Moderna's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Moderna's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 13.08 B.

Moderna's profitablity analysis

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (1.1) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (1.29) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $1.29.
Determining Moderna's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Moderna is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Moderna's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Moderna's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the presentation of Moderna's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Moderna's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Moderna's management manipulating its earnings.

Basic technical analysis of Moderna Stock

As of the 26th of February, Moderna secures the Standard Deviation of 5.0, mean deviation of 3.7, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03). In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Moderna, as well as the relationship between them.

Moderna's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Moderna insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Moderna's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Moderna insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Moderna's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Moderna issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Moderna uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Moderna bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Moderna has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Moderna's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Moderna's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Moderna's intraday indicators

Moderna intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Moderna stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Moderna time-series forecasting models is one of many Moderna's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Moderna's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Moderna Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Moderna that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Moderna media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Moderna internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Moderna data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Moderna news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Moderna relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Moderna's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Moderna alpha.

Moderna Corporate Management

Shannon KlingerChief SecretaryProfile
Brad MillerChief OfficerProfile
Melanie MBAChief OfficerProfile
James MockChief OfficerProfile
Stephane BancelCEO DirectorProfile
John ReyndersChief OfficerProfile
Ruchi JainPrincipal ScientistProfile
When determining whether Moderna offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Moderna's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Moderna Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Moderna Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Moderna. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
For information on how to trade Moderna Stock refer to our How to Trade Moderna Stock guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moderna. If investors know Moderna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Moderna listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Moderna is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Moderna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Moderna's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Moderna's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Moderna's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Moderna's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Moderna's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Moderna is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Moderna's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.