Is Microsoft Stock a Good Investment?
Microsoft Investment Advice | MSFT |
- Examine Microsoft's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Microsoft's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Microsoft navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Systems Software space and any emerging trends that could impact Microsoft's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Microsoft's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Microsoft is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Microsoft pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Microsoft's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Microsoft stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Microsoft is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Microsoft Stock
Researching Microsoft's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.24. Microsoft recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.1. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 18th of February 2003.
To determine if Microsoft is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Microsoft's research are outlined below:
| Microsoft has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Microsoft Ignite Highlights Transformative Impact of AI Across Global Industries |
Microsoft Quarterly Cost Of Revenue |
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Microsoft uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Microsoft. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Microsoft's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 23rd of April 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 23rd of July 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of March 2024 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 23rd of July 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 30th of June 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Microsoft's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Microsoft's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1998-01-21 | 1997-12-31 | 0.1 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 10 | ||
1997-01-17 | 1996-12-31 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 16 | ||
1996-04-18 | 1996-03-31 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 20 | ||
2001-10-18 | 2001-09-30 | 0.2 | 0.22 | 0.02 | 10 | ||
2000-04-20 | 2000-03-31 | 0.2 | 0.22 | 0.02 | 10 | ||
1999-10-19 | 1999-09-30 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 11 | ||
1999-07-19 | 1999-06-30 | 0.18 | 0.2 | 0.02 | 11 | ||
1998-10-20 | 1998-09-30 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 16 |
Know Microsoft's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Microsoft is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Microsoft backward and forwards among themselves. Microsoft's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Microsoft's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 72.2 M | Capital World Investors | 2024-09-30 | 69 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 68.9 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 64.2 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 61.8 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2024-09-30 | 54.6 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-06-30 | 54 M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 52.5 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 47.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 673.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 554 M |
Microsoft's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Mega-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 3.15 T.Market Cap |
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Microsoft's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.24 | 0.22 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.28 | 0.36 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.17 | 0.20 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.33 | 0.24 |
Determining Microsoft's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Microsoft is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Microsoft's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Microsoft's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Microsoft's Earnings Breakdown by Geography
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Microsoft's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Microsoft. Check Microsoft's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Microsoft's management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Microsoft's management efficiency
Microsoft has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1459 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1459 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.356 %, meaning that it created $0.356 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Microsoft's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Microsoft manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Microsoft's Return On Capital Employed is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is likely to gain to 0.20 in 2024, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop 0.22 in 2024. At this time, Microsoft's Total Current Liabilities is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to gain to about 537.8 B in 2024, whereas Non Current Liabilities Other is likely to drop slightly above 22.5 B in 2024.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 36.13 | 37.94 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 16.37 | 17.19 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 26.11 | 15.25 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 12.64 | 6.62 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 26.11 | 15.25 | |
| Price Fair Value | 12.64 | 6.62 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1.9 T | 2 T |
The strategic decisions made by Microsoft management significantly impact its financial stability and market performance. Evaluating these factors helps determine whether the stock is a worthwhile investment.
Dividend Yield 0.0078 | Forward Dividend Yield 0.0078 | Forward Dividend Rate 3.32 | Beta 0.904 |
Basic technical analysis of Microsoft Stock
As of the 30th of November, Microsoft secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0384, downside deviation of 1.57, and Mean Deviation of 0.9045. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Microsoft, as well as the relationship between them.Microsoft's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Microsoft insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Microsoft's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Microsoft insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Christopher Young over a year ago Payment of 10302 shares by Christopher Young of Microsoft subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Padmasree Warrior over a year ago Acquisition by Padmasree Warrior of 175 shares of Microsoft subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Microsoft's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Microsoft issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Microsoft uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Microsoft bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Microsoft has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| MICROSOFT P 35 Corp BondUS594918AR51 | View | |
| MICROSOFT P 375 Corp BondUS594918AU80 | View | |
| MICROSOFT P 45 Corp BondUS594918AJ36 | View | |
| MICROSOFT P 53 Corp BondUS594918AM64 | View | |
| MICROSOFT P 27 Corp BondUS594918BB90 | View | |
| MICROSOFT P 375 Corp BondUS594918BD56 | View | |
| MICROSOFT P 35 Corp BondUS594918BC73 | View | |
| MICROSOFT P 4 Corp BondUS594918BE30 | View |
Understand Microsoft's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Microsoft's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0384 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0764 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9045 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2230.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Variance | 1.68 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0664 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.19 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.85) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.86) | |||
| Skewness | (1.64) | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.62 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0384 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0764 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9045 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2230.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Variance | 1.68 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0664 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.19 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.85) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.86) | |||
| Skewness | (1.64) | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.62 |
Consider Microsoft's intraday indicators
Microsoft intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Microsoft stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Microsoft Corporate Filings
F4 | 25th of November 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
| 8th of November 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
| 24th of October 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
8K | 21st of August 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
Microsoft Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Microsoft that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Microsoft media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Microsoft internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Microsoft data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Microsoft news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Microsoft relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Microsoft's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Microsoft alpha.
Microsoft Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Microsoft can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
What Is a Stock Market Index?
recently @ www.fool.com
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Microsoft Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to Microsoft's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Microsoft. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Microsoft can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Microsoft. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Microsoft's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Microsoft and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Microsoft news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Microsoft.
Microsoft Corporate Management
| Hossein Nowbar | Chief Officer | Profile | |
| Brett Iversen | Vice Relations | Profile | |
| Christopher Young | Strategy Development | Profile | |
| Takeshi Numoto | Executive Officer | Profile | |
| Keith Esq | Deputy VP | Profile |
Additional Tools for Microsoft Stock Analysis
When running Microsoft's price analysis, check to measure Microsoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microsoft is operating at the current time. Most of Microsoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microsoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microsoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microsoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.