Is Lucid Stock a Good Investment?

Lucid Investment Advice

LCID

To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Lucid Group stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Lucid Group. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Lucid in one of your diversified portfolios:

Examine Lucid's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
Research Lucid's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Lucid navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
Consider the overall health of the Automobile Manufacturers space and any emerging trends that could impact Lucid's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
Compare Lucid's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Lucid is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
Check if Lucid pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
Review what financial analysts are saying about Lucid's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.

It's important to note that investing in Lucid Group stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Lucid Group is a good investment.

Sell

Buy

Hold

We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Lucid Group. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Lucid Group is not overpriced, please verify all Lucid Group fundamentals, including its revenue, total debt, and the relationship between the price to earning and net income . Please also check out Lucid price to earning to check your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Market Performance	Very Weak	Details
Volatility	Unstable	Details
Hype Condition	Over hyped	Details
Current Valuation	Undervalued	Details
Odds Of Distress	High	Details
Economic Sensitivity	Follows the market closely	Details
Investor Sentiment	Impartial	Details
Analyst Consensus	Hold	Details
Financial Strenth (F Score)	Frail	Details
Financial Leverage	Not Rated	Details
Reporting Quality (M-Score)	Unlikely Manipulator	Details

Examine Lucid Stock

Researching Lucid's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Lucid was now reported as 1.15. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.13. Lucid Group recorded a loss per share of 1.33. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years.

To determine if Lucid is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Lucid's research are outlined below:

	Lucid Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
	Lucid Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
	Lucid Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
	The company reported the previous year's revenue of 595.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.83 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.04 B).
	Lucid Group currently holds about 3.34 B in cash with (2.49 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.99.
	Lucid Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
	Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
	Latest headline from gurufocus.com: LCID Shares Rise on Californias EV Tax Credit Announcement

Lucid Quarterly Long Term Debt

2 Billion

Lucid uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Lucid Group. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Lucid's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.

	21st of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report	View
	13th of May 2024 Next Financial Report	View
	31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End	View
	21st of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End	View
	30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report	View
	31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement	View

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Lucid's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Lucid's investors have experienced.

Reported	Fiscal Date	Estimated EPS	Reported EPS	Surprise
2024-08-05	2024-06-30	-0.26	-0.29	-0.03	11
2023-11-07	2023-09-30	-0.35	-0.31	0.04	11
2021-11-15	2021-09-30	-0.25	-0.21	0.04	16
2024-05-06	2024-03-31	-0.25	-0.3	-0.05	20
2022-11-08	2022-09-30	-0.31	-0.24	0.07	22
2022-05-05	2022-03-31	-0.3	-0.37	-0.07	23
2023-08-07	2023-06-30	-0.33	-0.42	-0.09	27
2022-02-28	2021-12-31	-0.35	-0.21	0.14	40

Know Lucid's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Lucid is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lucid Group backward and forwards among themselves. Lucid's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Lucid's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.

		Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.	2024-09-30	3.8 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp	2024-09-30	3.7 M
Citigroup Inc	2024-09-30	3.6 M
Legal & General Group Plc	2024-06-30	3.3 M
Amvescap Plc.	2024-06-30	3.3 M
Coatue Management Llc	2024-09-30	3 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp	2024-06-30	2.7 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc	2024-06-30	2.6 M
Healthcare Of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund	2024-09-30	2.2 M
Public Investment Fund	2024-06-30	1.4 B
Vanguard Group Inc	2024-09-30	84.1 M

Note, although Lucid's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Lucid's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 6.43 B.

Market Cap

7.82 Billion

Lucid's profitablity analysis

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets	(0.33)	(0.35)
Return On Capital Employed	(0.41)	(0.43)
Return On Assets	(0.33)	(0.35)
Return On Equity	(0.58)	(0.61)

Determining Lucid's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Lucid is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Lucid's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Lucid's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Lucid's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Please note, the presentation of Lucid's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Lucid's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Lucid's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Lucid's management efficiency

Lucid Group has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2155) % which means that it has lost $0.2155 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.6493) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Lucid's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Lucid manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of November 28, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.35. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is expected to decline to -0.43. At present, Lucid's Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.07, whereas Net Tangible Assets are forecasted to decline to about 2.6 B.

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share	2.33	2.21
Tangible Book Value Per Share	2.33	2.21
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA	(3.82)	(4.01)
Price Book Value Ratio	1.81	1.98
Enterprise Value Multiple	(3.82)	(4.01)
Price Fair Value	1.81	1.98
Enterprise Value	9.8 B	7.2 B

The operational strategies employed by Lucid management play a crucial role in its market positioning. Assessing these strategies alongside financial data helps us evaluate the stock's investment potential.

Beta

1.122

Basic technical analysis of Lucid Stock

As of the 28th of November, Lucid secures the Standard Deviation of 4.07, mean deviation of 2.91, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.17). In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Lucid Group, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify Lucid Group variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness to decide if Lucid Group is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 2.17 per share. Please also check out Lucid jensen alpha, which is currently at (1.08) to check the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Lucid's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Lucid insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Lucid's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Lucid insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

		Gagan Dhingra over two months ago Acquisition by Gagan Dhingra of 417153 shares of Lucid subject to Rule 16b-3
		Eric Bach over three months ago Disposition of 89959 shares by Eric Bach of Lucid at 3.14 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Michael Bell over a year ago Sale by Michael Bell of 46735 shares of Lucid
		Eric Bach over a year ago Acquisition by Eric Bach of 408663 shares of Lucid subject to Rule 16b-3
		Eric Bach over a year ago Payment of 32993 shares by Eric Bach of Lucid subject to Rule 16b-3

Lucid's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Lucid issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Lucid Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Lucid bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Lucid Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

	ALUFP 65 15 JAN 28 Corp Bond US549463AC10	View
	Alcatel Lucent USA Corp Bond US549463AE75	View

View All Lucid Corporate Bonds

Understand Lucid's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Lucid's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

	Risk Adjusted Performance	(0.17)
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	(1.07)
	Mean Deviation	2.91
	Coefficient Of Variation	(423.58)
	Standard Deviation	4.07
	Variance	16.56
	Information Ratio	(0.27)
	Jensen Alpha	(1.08)
	Total Risk Alpha	(1.61)
	Treynor Ratio	(1.08)
	Maximum Drawdown	30.74
	Value At Risk	(5.96)
	Potential Upside	4.23
	Skewness	(0.55)
	Kurtosis	5.17

	Risk Adjusted Performance	(0.17)
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	(1.07)
	Mean Deviation	2.91
	Coefficient Of Variation	(423.58)
	Standard Deviation	4.07
	Variance	16.56
	Information Ratio	(0.27)
	Jensen Alpha	(1.08)
	Total Risk Alpha	(1.61)
	Treynor Ratio	(1.08)
	Maximum Drawdown	30.74
	Value At Risk	(5.96)
	Potential Upside	4.23
	Skewness	(0.55)
	Kurtosis	5.17

Consider Lucid's intraday indicators

Lucid intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Lucid stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

	Accumulation Distribution	1.7 M
	Daily Balance Of Power	0.4444
	Rate Of Daily Change	1.02
	Day Median Price	2.16
	Day Typical Price	2.16
	Price Action Indicator	0.035
	Period Momentum Indicator	0.04
	Relative Strength Index	32.01

Lucid Corporate Filings

8K	7th of November 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about	View Verify
F4	4th of November 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities	View Verify
	18th of October 2024 Other Reports	View Verify
ASR	16th of October 2024 Automatic Shelf Registration Statement under Rule 415 filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)	View Verify

Lucid time-series forecasting models is one of many Lucid's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Lucid's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Lucid Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Lucid that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Lucid media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Lucid internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Lucid data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.

A primary focus of Lucid news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Lucid relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Lucid's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Lucid alpha.

Lucid Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Lucid can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.

Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Lucid Group Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Lucid's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lucid. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lucid can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lucid Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Lucid's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Lucid and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Lucid news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Lucid.

Lucid Corporate Management

Gagan Dhingra	VP Officer	Profile
Peter Rawlinson	CTO CEO	Profile
Gale Halsey	Senior People	Profile
Eric Bach	Senior Engineer	Profile
Zak Edson	Vice Service	Profile
Sherry CPA	Chief Officer	Profile
Matt Everitt	General Counsel	Profile

When determining whether Lucid Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lucid's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lucid's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lucid Stock, refer to the following important reports: