Is Freshpet Stock a Good Investment?
Freshpet Investment Advice | FRPT |
- Examine Freshpet's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Freshpet's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Freshpet navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Packaged Foods & Meats space and any emerging trends that could impact Freshpet's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Freshpet's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Freshpet is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Freshpet pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Freshpet's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Freshpet stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Freshpet is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Freshpet Stock
Researching Freshpet's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Freshpet was currently reported as 21.67. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.74. Freshpet had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Freshpet is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Freshpet's research are outlined below:
| Freshpet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Freshpet has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Freshpet has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 649 shares by Todd Cunfer of Freshpet at 87.84 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Freshpet Quarterly Cash And Short Term Investments |
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Freshpet uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Freshpet. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Freshpet's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 26th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 13th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 26th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Freshpet's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Freshpet's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020-11-02 | 2020-09-30 | 0.1 | 0.09 | -0.01 | 10 | ||
2020-05-04 | 2020-03-31 | -0.06 | -0.07 | -0.01 | 16 | ||
2019-05-06 | 2019-03-31 | -0.09 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 11 | ||
2017-05-04 | 2017-03-31 | -0.1 | -0.09 | 0.01 | 10 | ||
2016-05-04 | 2016-03-31 | -0.05 | -0.04 | 0.01 | 20 | ||
2024-08-05 | 2024-06-30 | -0.05 | -0.03 | 0.02 | 40 | ||
2019-11-04 | 2019-09-30 | 0.1 | 0.08 | -0.02 | 20 | ||
2017-08-07 | 2017-06-30 | -0.06 | -0.08 | -0.02 | 33 |
Freshpet Target Price Consensus
Freshpet target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Freshpet's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 20 | Strong Buy |
Most Freshpet analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Freshpet stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Freshpet, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationFreshpet Target Price Projection
Freshpet's current and average target prices are 85.70 and 165.59, respectively. The current price of Freshpet is the price at which Freshpet is currently trading. On the other hand, Freshpet's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Freshpet Target Price
Freshpet Analyst Ratings
Freshpet's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Freshpet stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Freshpet's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Freshpet's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know Freshpet's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Freshpet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Freshpet backward and forwards among themselves. Freshpet's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Freshpet's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Jennison Associates Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | William Blair Investment Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 886.6 K | Riverbridge Partners Llc | 2024-12-31 | 870.2 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 844.7 K | State Street Corp | 2024-12-31 | 835.9 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 835.2 K | Driehaus Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 810.6 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-12-31 | 800.6 K | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-12-31 | 697.2 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 4.7 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 3 M |
Freshpet's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 4.35 B.Market Cap |
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Freshpet's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.04 | 0.04 |
Determining Freshpet's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Freshpet is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Freshpet's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Freshpet's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Freshpet's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Freshpet. Check Freshpet's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Freshpet's management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Freshpet's management efficiency
Freshpet has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0159 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0159 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0467 %, meaning that it created $0.0467 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Freshpet's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Freshpet manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Freshpet's Return On Tangible Assets are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Return On Capital Employed is likely to gain to 0.03 in 2025, whereas Return On Equity is likely to drop 0.04 in 2025. At this time, Freshpet's Total Current Liabilities is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to gain to about 1.7 B in 2025, despite the fact that Change To Liabilities is likely to grow to (2.6 M).| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 21.77 | 22.85 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 21.77 | 22.85 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 193.08 | 202.73 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 6.80 | 7.14 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 193.08 | 202.73 | |
| Price Fair Value | 6.80 | 7.14 | |
| Enterprise Value | 6.6 B | 6.9 B |
Effective leadership at Freshpet drives its competitive edge in the market. Our analysis focuses on how this translates to financial performance and stock value.
Beta 1.579 |
Basic technical analysis of Freshpet Stock
As of the 19th of March, Freshpet shows the Mean Deviation of 2.32, standard deviation of 3.88, and Variance of 15.04. Freshpet technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.Freshpet's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Freshpet insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Freshpet's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Freshpet insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Freshpet's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Freshpet issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Freshpet uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Freshpet bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Freshpet has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| FMEGR 375 15 JUN 29 Corp BondUS35805BAA61 | View | |
| FMEGR 2375 16 FEB 31 Corp BondUS35805BAB45 | View | |
| FMEGR 1875 01 DEC 26 Corp BondUS35805BAC28 | View | |
| FRESLN 425 02 OCT 50 Corp BondUS358070AB61 | View | |
| FMEGR 3 01 DEC 31 Corp BondUS35805BAE83 | View |
Understand Freshpet's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Freshpet's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.16) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.41) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (518.53) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.88 | |||
| Variance | 15.04 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.58) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.33) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.42) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 20.84 | |||
| Value At Risk | (10.18) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.33 | |||
| Skewness | (2.26) | |||
| Kurtosis | 7.79 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.16) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.41) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (518.53) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.88 | |||
| Variance | 15.04 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.58) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.33) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.42) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 20.84 | |||
| Value At Risk | (10.18) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.33 | |||
| Skewness | (2.26) | |||
| Kurtosis | 7.79 |
Consider Freshpet's intraday indicators
Freshpet intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Freshpet stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
| Accumulation Distribution | 51016.02 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1743 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 86.27 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 86.08 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.26) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.61 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 27.37 |
Freshpet Corporate Filings
F4 | 17th of March 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 20th of February 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
13A | 14th of November 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
| 12th of November 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify |
Freshpet Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Freshpet that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Freshpet media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Freshpet internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Freshpet data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Freshpet news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Freshpet relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Freshpet's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Freshpet alpha.
Freshpet Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Freshpet can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Freshpet Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to Freshpet's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Freshpet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Freshpet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Freshpet. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Freshpet's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Freshpet and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Freshpet news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Freshpet.
Freshpet Corporate Executives
Elected by the shareholders, the Freshpet's board of directors comprises two types of representatives: Freshpet inside directors who are chosen from within the company, and outside directors, selected externally and held independent of Freshpet. The board's role is to monitor Freshpet's management team and ensure that shareholders' interests are well served. Freshpet's inside directors are responsible for reviewing and approving budgets prepared by upper management to implement core corporate initiatives and projects. On the other hand, Freshpet's outside directors are responsible for providing unbiased perspectives on the board's policies.
| Cathal Walsh | Co-Founder and Sr. VP of Cooler Operations | Profile |
Additional Tools for Freshpet Stock Analysis
When running Freshpet's price analysis, check to measure Freshpet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freshpet is operating at the current time. Most of Freshpet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freshpet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freshpet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freshpet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.