Is FedEx Stock a Good Investment?

FedEx Investment Advice

  FDX
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on FedEx stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating FedEx. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include FedEx in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine FedEx's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research FedEx's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help FedEx navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Air Freight & Logistics space and any emerging trends that could impact FedEx's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare FedEx's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how FedEx is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if FedEx pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about FedEx's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in FedEx stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if FedEx is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Cautious Hold
Macroaxis provides advice on FedEx to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on FedEx. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure FedEx is not overpriced, please confirm all FedEx fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, cash and equivalents, target price, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and book value per share . Given that FedEx has a price to earning of 15.53 X, we urge you to verify FedEx market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails

Examine FedEx Stock

Researching FedEx's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of FedEx was currently reported as 111.23. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.21. FedEx recorded earning per share (EPS) of 16.2. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 7th of May 1999.
To determine if FedEx is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding FedEx's research are outlined below:
FedEx has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from usatoday.com: Are banks, post offices, UPS and FedEx open on Thanksgiving Will mail be delivered What to know

FedEx Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

86.71 Billion

FedEx uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in FedEx. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to FedEx's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
21st of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
18th of June 2024
Next Financial Report
View
29th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
18th of June 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of November 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of May 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact FedEx's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises FedEx's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
1999-03-18
1999-02-280.230.270.0417 
1998-03-25
1998-02-280.290.330.0413 
2001-09-20
2001-08-310.310.360.0516 
2000-03-23
2000-02-290.340.390.0514 
1996-09-16
1996-08-310.320.27-0.0515 
1996-07-01
1996-05-310.420.50.0819 
1998-12-17
1998-11-300.530.620.0916 
2001-06-28
2001-05-310.520.640.1223 

Know FedEx's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as FedEx is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FedEx backward and forwards among themselves. FedEx's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase FedEx's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
3.2 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
2.8 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-06-30
2.6 M
Gates Bill & Melinda Foundation2024-09-30
2.5 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
2.5 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
2.2 M
Mawer Investment Management Ltd2024-06-30
2.2 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
2.2 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
2.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
20.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
14.9 M
Note, although FedEx's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

FedEx's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 73.95 B.

Market Cap

60.4 Billion

FedEx's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.16  0.09 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.05 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.08 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.08 of operating income.
Determining FedEx's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if FedEx is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures FedEx's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of FedEx's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in FedEx's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of FedEx. Check FedEx's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of FedEx's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate FedEx's management efficiency

FedEx has Return on Asset of 0.0473 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0473 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1507 %, implying that it generated $0.1507 on every 100 dollars invested. FedEx's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well FedEx manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Capital Employed is likely to rise to 0.11 in 2024, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop 0.04 in 2024. At this time, FedEx's Total Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Non Current Assets Total is likely to rise to about 72.2 B in 2024, whereas Non Currrent Assets Other are likely to drop slightly above 1.2 B in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 109.60  115.08 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 84.08  88.28 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 8.75  6.01 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.32  1.85 
Enterprise Value Multiple 8.75  6.01 
Price Fair Value 2.32  1.85 
Enterprise Value85.6 B89.9 B
Management at FedEx focuses on leveraging technology and optimizing operations. We evaluate the impact of these focuses on the company's financial health and stock performance.
Dividend Yield
0.0182
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0182
Forward Dividend Rate
5.52
Beta
1.177

Basic technical analysis of FedEx Stock

As of the 30th of November, FedEx shows the Downside Deviation of 3.3, mean deviation of 1.16, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3336.73. FedEx technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.

FedEx's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific FedEx insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on FedEx's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases FedEx insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

FedEx's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

FedEx issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. FedEx uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most FedEx bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when FedEx has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand FedEx's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing FedEx's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider FedEx's intraday indicators

FedEx intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of FedEx stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

FedEx Corporate Filings

8K
24th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
26th of August 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
12th of August 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
26th of July 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
FedEx time-series forecasting models is one of many FedEx's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary FedEx's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

FedEx Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about FedEx that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through FedEx media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via FedEx internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of FedEx data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of FedEx news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of FedEx relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to FedEx's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive FedEx alpha.

FedEx Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards FedEx can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

FedEx Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to FedEx's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FedEx. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FedEx can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FedEx. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
FedEx's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for FedEx and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average FedEx news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on FedEx.

FedEx Corporate Directors

Marvin EllisonIndependent DirectorProfile
Kimberly JabalIndependent DirectorProfile
Shirley JacksonIndependent DirectorProfile
Joshua RamoIndependent DirectorProfile

Additional Tools for FedEx Stock Analysis

When running FedEx's price analysis, check to measure FedEx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FedEx is operating at the current time. Most of FedEx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FedEx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FedEx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FedEx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.