Is Exxon Stock a Good Investment?

Exxon Investment Advice

  XOM
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Exxon Mobil Corp stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Exxon Mobil Corp. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Exxon in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Exxon's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Exxon's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Exxon navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space and any emerging trends that could impact Exxon's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Exxon's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Exxon is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Exxon pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Exxon's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Exxon Mobil Corp stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Exxon Mobil Corp is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Hold
Macroaxis provides advice on Exxon Mobil Corp to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Exxon Mobil Corp. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Exxon is not overpriced, please confirm all Exxon Mobil Corp fundamentals, including its short ratio, and the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization . Given that Exxon Mobil Corp has a price to earning of 9.24 X, we urge you to verify Exxon Mobil Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Exxon Stock

Researching Exxon's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.83. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Exxon Mobil Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.84. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of February 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 19th of July 2001.
To determine if Exxon is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Exxon's research are outlined below:
Exxon Mobil Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Exxon Mobil Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Exxon Mobil Co. is Beaton Management Co. Inc.s 8th Largest Position

Exxon Quarterly Gross Profit

28.1 Billion

Exxon uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Exxon Mobil Corp. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Exxon's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
26th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
26th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
7th of February 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Exxon's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Exxon's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-02-02
2020-12-310.010.030.02200 
1998-04-21
1998-03-310.340.380.0411 
1997-01-21
1996-12-310.380.420.0410 
1997-07-21
1997-06-300.350.40.0514 
2021-04-30
2021-03-310.590.650.0610 
2003-07-31
2003-06-300.560.620.0610 
2003-01-30
2002-12-310.50.560.0612 
2000-07-25
2000-06-300.530.590.0611 

Exxon Target Price Consensus

Exxon target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Exxon's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   28  Buy
Most Exxon analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Exxon stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Exxon Mobil Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Exxon Target Price Projection

Exxon's current and average target prices are 109.73 and 129.75, respectively. The current price of Exxon is the price at which Exxon Mobil Corp is currently trading. On the other hand, Exxon's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Exxon Market Quote on 25th of February 2025

Low Price108.89Odds
High Price112.13Odds

109.73

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Exxon Target Price

Low Estimate118.07Odds
High Estimate144.02Odds

129.7477

Historical Lowest Forecast  118.07 Target Price  129.75 Highest Forecast  144.02
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Exxon Mobil Corp and the information provided on this page.

Exxon Analyst Ratings

Exxon's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Exxon stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Exxon's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Exxon's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Exxon's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Exxon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exxon Mobil Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Exxon's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Exxon's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
44 M
Franklin Resources Inc2024-12-31
35.7 M
Capital Research Global Investors2024-12-31
34.8 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
33.1 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
31.9 M
State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co2024-12-31
30.5 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-12-31
29.9 M
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
29.8 M
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32024-12-31
27.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
431.4 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
306.6 M
Note, although Exxon's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Exxon's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mega-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 482.82 B.

Market Cap

391.82 Billion

Exxon's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.13  0.15 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.20 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.1 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.09 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.09 of operating income.
Determining Exxon's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Exxon is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Exxon's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Exxon's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Exxon's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Evaluate Exxon's management efficiency

Exxon Mobil Corp has Return on Asset of 0.0625 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0625 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1452 %, implying that it generated $0.1452 on every 100 dollars invested. Exxon's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Exxon manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Exxon's Return On Capital Employed is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of February 2025, Return On Equity is likely to grow to 0.20, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop 0.07. At this time, Exxon's Non Currrent Assets Other are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of February 2025, Other Current Assets is likely to grow to about 26.4 B, while Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop about 185.5 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 62.96  66.11 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 58.32  61.23 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 6.93  7.21 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.71  2.81 
Enterprise Value Multiple 6.93  7.21 
Price Fair Value 1.71  2.81 
Enterprise Value387.7 B407.1 B
The management team at Exxon has a track record of steering the company towards sustained growth. Evaluating their strategies helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Dividend Yield
0.0358
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0358
Forward Dividend Rate
3.96
Beta
0.875

Basic technical analysis of Exxon Stock

As of the 25th of February, Exxon shows the Mean Deviation of 0.9313, standard deviation of 1.22, and Variance of 1.49. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model provides you with a way to check existing technical drivers of Exxon, as well as the relationship between them. Please confirm Exxon Mobil Corp market risk adjusted performance and treynor ratio to decide if Exxon Mobil Corp is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 109.73 per share. Given that Exxon has information ratio of (0.07), we urge you to verify Exxon Mobil Corp's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Exxon's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Exxon insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Exxon's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Exxon insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Daniel Ammann over three weeks ago
Insider Trading
 
Darren Woods over a year ago
Exxon exotic insider transaction detected
 
Darren Woods over a year ago
Payment of 25971 shares by Darren Woods of Exxon subject to Rule 16b-3

Exxon's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Exxon issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Exxon Mobil Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Exxon bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Exxon Mobil Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Exxon's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Exxon's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Exxon's intraday indicators

Exxon intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Exxon stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Exxon Corporate Filings

10K
19th of February 2025
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify
F4
5th of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
4th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
31st of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
Exxon time-series forecasting models is one of many Exxon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Exxon's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Exxon Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Exxon that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Exxon media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Exxon internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Exxon data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Exxon news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Exxon relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Exxon's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Exxon alpha.

Exxon Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Exxon can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Exxon Mobil Corp Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Exxon's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Exxon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Exxon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Exxon Mobil Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Exxon's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Exxon and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Exxon news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Exxon.

Exxon Maximum Pain Price Across May 16th 2025 Option Contracts

Exxon's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Exxon close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Exxon's options.

Exxon Corporate Directors

Steven ReinemundPresiding Independent DirectorProfile
Wan AriffinIndependent DirectorProfile
Samuel PalmisanoPresiding Independent DirectorProfile
William WeldonIndependent DirectorProfile

Already Invested in Exxon Mobil Corp?

The danger of trading Exxon Mobil Corp is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Exxon is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Exxon. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Exxon Mobil Corp is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Exxon Mobil Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Exxon's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Exxon's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Exxon Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Exxon Mobil Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exxon. If investors know Exxon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exxon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.1)
Dividend Share
3.84
Earnings Share
7.84
Revenue Per Share
79.239
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Exxon Mobil Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exxon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exxon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exxon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exxon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exxon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Exxon's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Exxon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exxon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.