Is CF Industries Stock a Good Investment?

CF Industries Investment Advice

To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on CF Industries Holdings stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating CF Industries Holdings. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include CF Industries in one of your diversified portfolios:

Examine CF Industries' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
Research CF Industries' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help CF Industries navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
Consider the overall health of the Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals space and any emerging trends that could impact CF Industries' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
Compare CF Industries' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how CF Industries is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
Check if CF Industries pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
Review what financial analysts are saying about CF Industries' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.

It's important to note that investing in CF Industries Holdings stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if CF Industries Holdings is a good investment.

Sell

Buy

Hold

Macroaxis provides unbiased advice on CF Industries Holdings that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on CF Industries. Our trade recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure CF Industries Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all CF Industries Holdings fundamentals, including its profit margin, shares owned by insiders, price to book, as well as the relationship between the current valuation and number of shares shorted . Given that CF Industries Holdings has a price to earning of 72.32 X, we suggest you to validate CF Industries market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself this quarter and beyond given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance	Very Weak	Details
Volatility	Very steady	Details
Hype Condition	Low key	Details
Current Valuation	Undervalued	Details
Odds Of Distress	Low	Details
Economic Sensitivity	Follows the market closely	Details
Investor Sentiment	Alarmed	Details
Analyst Consensus	Buy	Details
Financial Strenth (F Score)	Healthy	Details
Financial Leverage	Not Rated	Details
Reporting Quality (M-Score)	Unlikely Manipulator	Details

Examine CF Industries Stock

Researching CF Industries' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CF Industries was currently reported as 29.34. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.67. CF Industries Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.74. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2025. The firm had 5:1 split on the 18th of June 2015.

To determine if CF Industries is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding CF Industries' research are outlined below:

	CF Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
	Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
	On 28th of February 2025 CF Industries paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
	Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Top Fertilizer Stocks To Keep An Eye On March 23rd

CF Industries uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in CF Industries Holdings. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to CF Industries' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.

	14th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report	View
	6th of May 2024 Next Financial Report	View
	31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End	View
	14th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End	View
	30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report	View
	31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement	View

Earnings surprises can significantly impact CF Industries' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises CF Industries' investors have experienced.

Reported	Fiscal Date	Estimated EPS	Reported EPS	Surprise
2007-02-08	2006-12-31	0.05	0.03	-0.02	40
2006-07-27	2006-06-30	0.13	0.15	0.02	15
2017-05-03	2017-03-31	0.02	0.05	0.03	150
2007-07-30	2007-06-30	0.3	0.33	0.03	10
2009-10-26	2009-09-30	0.2	0.16	-0.04	20
2016-05-04	2016-03-31	0.45	0.4	-0.05	11
2010-02-16	2009-12-31	0.23	0.18	-0.05	21
2020-05-06	2020-03-31	0.25	0.31	0.06	24

CF Industries Target Price Consensus

CF Industries target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. CF Industries' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.

Buy

Most CF Industries analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand CF Industries stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of CF Industries Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.

Macroaxis Advice Exposure Valuation

CF Industries Target Price Projection

CF Industries' current and average target prices are 75.03 and 88.99, respectively. The current price of CF Industries is the price at which CF Industries Holdings is currently trading. On the other hand, CF Industries' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

CF Industries Market Quote on 26th of March 2025

Low Price	73.7	Odds
High Price	77.1	Odds

75.03 Target Price

Analyst Consensus On CF Industries Target Price

Low Estimate	80.98	Odds
High Estimate	98.78	Odds

88.9867

Historical

Lowest Forecast 80.98

Target Price 88.99

Highest Forecast 98.78

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on CF Industries Holdings and the information provided on this page.

CF Industries Analyst Ratings

CF Industries' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about CF Industries stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of CF Industries' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. CF Industries' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know CF Industries' Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as CF Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CF Industries Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. CF Industries' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase CF Industries' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.

		Shares
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc	2024-12-31	2.9 M
Northern Trust Corp	2024-12-31	2.9 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc	2024-12-31	2.8 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.	2024-12-31	2.8 M
William Blair Investment Management, Llc	2024-12-31	2.4 M
Eminence Capital Llc	2024-12-31	2.3 M
Earnest Partners Llc	2024-12-31	2.2 M
Bank Of America Corp	2024-12-31	2.2 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts	2024-12-31	2.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc	2024-12-31	20.7 M
Blackrock Inc	2024-12-31	15.7 M

Note, although CF Industries' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

CF Industries' market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 13.03 B.

Market Cap

9.09 Billion

CF Industries' profitablity analysis

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets	0.12	0.08
Return On Capital Employed	0.14	0.21
Return On Assets	0.09	0.07
Return On Equity	0.24	0.16

The company has Net Profit Margin (PM) of 0.21 %, which suggests that even a small decline in it sales will erase profits and may result in a net loss, or a negative profit margin. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows Net Operating Margin (NOM) of 0.27 %, which signifies that for every $100 of sales, it has a net operating income of $0.27.

Determining CF Industries' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if CF Industries is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures CF Industries' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of CF Industries' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate CF Industries' management efficiency

CF Industries Holdings has Return on Asset (ROA) of 0.0775 % which means that for every $100 of assets, it generated a profit of $0.0775. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows a return on total equity (ROE) of 0.185 %, which means that it produced $0.185 on every 100 dollars invested by current stockholders. CF Industries' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well CF Industries manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The CF Industries' current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to 0.21, while Return On Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to 0.08. At this time, CF Industries' Other Current Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The CF Industries' current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.80, while Non Current Assets Total are projected to decrease to roughly 7.5 B.

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share	42.08	44.19
Tangible Book Value Per Share	25.46	26.73
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA	6.02	6.33
Price Book Value Ratio	3.09	2.09
Enterprise Value Multiple	6.02	6.33
Price Fair Value	3.09	2.09
Enterprise Value	15.3 B	11.6 B

The strategic decisions made by CF Industries management significantly impact its financial stability and market performance. Evaluating these factors helps determine whether the stock is a worthwhile investment.

Dividend Yield

0.0267

Forward Dividend Yield

0.0267

Forward Dividend Rate

Beta

0.979

Basic technical analysis of CF Industries Stock

As of the 26th of March, CF Industries owns the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.22), information ratio of (0.08), and Variance of 5.58. CF Industries Holdings technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of past data patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm CF Industries Holdings information ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown to decide if CF Industries Holdings is priced fairly, providing market reflects its prevailing price of 75.03 per share. Given that CF Industries Holdings has information ratio of (0.08), we suggest you to validate CF Industries's latest market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself sooner or later.

CF Industries' insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific CF Industries insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on CF Industries' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases CF Industries insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

		Gregory Cameron few days ago Acquisition by Gregory Cameron of 12377 shares of CF Industries subject to Rule 16b-3
		Michael McGrane over three weeks ago Disposition of 968 shares by Michael McGrane of CF Industries at 81.02 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Susan Menzel over three weeks ago Acquisition by Susan Menzel of 6873 shares of CF Industries subject to Rule 16b-3
		Bert Frost over two months ago Disposition of 2726 shares by Bert Frost of CF Industries at 88.51 subject to Rule 16b-3
		W Will over two months ago Disposition of 10168 shares by W Will of CF Industries at 88.51 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Bert Frost over a year ago Disposition of 6000 shares by Bert Frost of CF Industries at 85.0027 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Wilson Stephen R 1 over a year ago Sale by Wilson Stephen R 1 of 10300 shares of CF Industries
		Wilson Stephen R 1 over a year ago Sale by Wilson Stephen R 1 of 21850 shares of CF Industries
		Wilson Stephen R 1 over a year ago Sale by Wilson Stephen R 1 of 10000 shares of CF Industries

CF Industries' Outstanding Corporate Bonds

CF Industries issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. CF Industries Holdings uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most CF Industries bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when CF Industries Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

	CF Industries 515 Corp Bond US12527GAF00	View
	CF Industries 495 Corp Bond US12527GAD51	View
	CF INDS INC Corp Bond US12527GAE35	View
	US12527GAH65 Corp Bond US12527GAH65	View

View All CF Industries Corporate Bonds

Understand CF Industries' technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing CF Industries' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

	Risk Adjusted Performance	(0.06)
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	(0.22)
	Mean Deviation	1.66
	Coefficient Of Variation	(1,301)
	Standard Deviation	2.36
	Variance	5.58
	Information Ratio	(0.08)
	Jensen Alpha	(0.19)
	Total Risk Alpha	(0.20)
	Treynor Ratio	(0.23)
	Maximum Drawdown	15.08
	Value At Risk	(4.59)
	Potential Upside	2.51
	Skewness	(0.43)
	Kurtosis	2.27

	Risk Adjusted Performance	(0.06)
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	(0.22)
	Mean Deviation	1.66
	Coefficient Of Variation	(1,301)
	Standard Deviation	2.36
	Variance	5.58
	Information Ratio	(0.08)
	Jensen Alpha	(0.19)
	Total Risk Alpha	(0.20)
	Treynor Ratio	(0.23)
	Maximum Drawdown	15.08
	Value At Risk	(4.59)
	Potential Upside	2.51
	Skewness	(0.43)
	Kurtosis	2.27

Consider CF Industries' intraday indicators

CF Industries intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of CF Industries stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

	Accumulation Distribution	131787.0
	Daily Balance Of Power	(0.53)
	Rate Of Daily Change	0.98
	Day Median Price	75.4
	Day Typical Price	75.28
	Price Action Indicator	(1.27)
	Period Momentum Indicator	(1.80)
	Relative Strength Index	44.06

CF Industries Corporate Filings

	25th of March 2025 Other Reports	View Verify
F4	4th of March 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities	View Verify
10K	20th of February 2025 Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance	View Verify
8K	19th of February 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about	View Verify

CF Industries time-series forecasting models is one of many CF Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary CF Industries' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

CF Industries Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about CF Industries that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through CF Industries media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via CF Industries internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of CF Industries data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.

A primary focus of CF Industries news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of CF Industries relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to CF Industries' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive CF Industries alpha.

CF Industries Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards CF Industries can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.

Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

CF Industries Holdings Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to CF Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CF Industries. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CF Industries can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CF Industries Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

CF Industries' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for CF Industries and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average CF Industries news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on CF Industries.

CF Industries Maximum Pain Price Across June 20th 2025 Option Contracts

CF Industries' options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of CF Industries close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of CF Industries' options.