Is Century Aluminum Stock a Good Investment?

Century Aluminum Investment Advice

  CENX
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Century Aluminum stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Century Aluminum. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Century Aluminum in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Century Aluminum's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Century Aluminum's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Century Aluminum navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Metals & Mining space and any emerging trends that could impact Century Aluminum's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Century Aluminum's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Century Aluminum is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Century Aluminum pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Century Aluminum's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Century Aluminum stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Century Aluminum is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Cautious Hold
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Century Aluminum and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Century Aluminum is not overpriced, please confirm all Century Aluminum fundamentals, including its price to sales, short ratio, net asset, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization . Given that Century Aluminum has a price to earning of 5.08 X, we suggest you to validate Century Aluminum market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Century Aluminum Stock

Researching Century Aluminum's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Century Aluminum was currently reported as 7.44. The company last dividend was issued on the 18th of September 2002.
To determine if Century Aluminum is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Century Aluminum's research are outlined below:
Century Aluminum had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Century Aluminum is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Century Aluminum currently holds about 64.8 M in cash with (24.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.71.
Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Hubei Century Network Technology shareholders are still up 73 percent over 5 years despite pulling back 6.6 percent in the past week
Century Aluminum uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Century Aluminum. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Century Aluminum's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Century Aluminum's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Century Aluminum's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2001-07-24
2001-06-300.030.040.0133 
1998-10-20
1998-09-300.090.10.0111 
2001-04-24
2001-03-310.170.15-0.0211 
1999-02-09
1998-12-310.080.10290.022928 
2024-08-08
2024-06-30-0.020.010.03150 
2010-04-27
2010-03-310.190.220.0315 
2004-02-24
2003-12-31-0.05-0.020.0360 
2003-04-29
2003-03-31-0.13-0.16-0.0323 

Know Century Aluminum's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Century Aluminum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Century Aluminum backward and forwards among themselves. Century Aluminum's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Century Aluminum's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
746 K
Impala Asset Management Llc2024-12-31
697.5 K
Moore Capital Management, Lp2024-12-31
658 K
Mountaineer Partners Management Llc2024-12-31
647.8 K
Yaupon Capital Management Lp2024-12-31
567.8 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
540.4 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
539.2 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-12-31
497 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
491.1 K
Glencore Plc2024-12-31
40 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
10.5 M
Note, although Century Aluminum's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Century Aluminum's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.78 B.

Market Cap

499.97 Million

Century Aluminum's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.17  0.18 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.17  0.18 
Return On Equity 0.49  0.51 
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.14 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.08 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.08.
Determining Century Aluminum's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Century Aluminum is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Century Aluminum's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Century Aluminum's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Century Aluminum's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Century Aluminum's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Century Aluminum. Check Century Aluminum's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Century Aluminum's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Century Aluminum's management efficiency

Century Aluminum has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0401 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0401 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.6015 %, meaning that it created $0.6015 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Century Aluminum's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Century Aluminum manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to rise to 0.18 in 2025. Return On Capital Employed is likely to rise to 0.09 in 2025. At this time, Century Aluminum's Non Currrent Assets Other are fairly stable compared to the past year. Net Tangible Assets is likely to rise to about 634.8 M in 2025, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 1.6 B in 2025.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 7.14  10.65 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 7.14  9.15 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 4.85  2.76 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.43  2.19 
Enterprise Value Multiple 4.85  2.76 
Price Fair Value 2.43  2.19 
Enterprise Value781.3 M736 M
Leadership effectiveness at Century Aluminum is a strong indicator of its financial stability. We analyze various metrics to provide insights into the stock's investment viability.
Beta
2.675

Basic technical analysis of Century Stock

As of the 23rd of March, Century Aluminum shows the Standard Deviation of 4.73, risk adjusted performance of 0.0074, and Mean Deviation of 3.44. Century Aluminum technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Century Aluminum's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Century Aluminum insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Century Aluminum's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Century Aluminum insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Century Aluminum's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Century Aluminum issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Century Aluminum uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Century bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Century Aluminum has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Century Aluminum's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Century Aluminum's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Century Aluminum's intraday indicators

Century Aluminum intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Century Aluminum stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Century Aluminum Corporate Filings

8K
21st of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
18th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
4th of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
10K
3rd of March 2025
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify
Century Aluminum time-series forecasting models is one of many Century Aluminum's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Century Aluminum's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Century Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Century Aluminum that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Century media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Century internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Century data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Century Aluminum news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Century Aluminum relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Century Aluminum's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Century Aluminum alpha.

Century Aluminum Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Century Aluminum can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Century Aluminum Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Century Aluminum's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Century. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Century can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Century Aluminum. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Century Aluminum's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Century Aluminum and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Century Aluminum news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Century Aluminum.

Century Aluminum Maximum Pain Price Across June 20th 2025 Option Contracts

Century Aluminum's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Century Aluminum close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Century Aluminum's options.

Century Aluminum Corporate Management

John JDGeneral VPProfile
Kenneth CallowaySenior ResourcesProfile
Matthew AboudSenior DevelopmentProfile
Ryan CrawfordFinancial ManagerProfile
Theresa BrainerdGlobal ControllerProfile
Agust HafbergSenior OfficerProfile
CPA BASr TreasurerProfile

Additional Tools for Century Stock Analysis

When running Century Aluminum's price analysis, check to measure Century Aluminum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Century Aluminum is operating at the current time. Most of Century Aluminum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Century Aluminum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Century Aluminum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Century Aluminum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.