Is Blue Owl Stock a Good Investment?

Blue Owl Investment Advice

  OWL
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Blue Owl Capital stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Blue Owl Capital. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Blue Owl in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Blue Owl's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Blue Owl's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Blue Owl navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Asset Management & Custody Banks space and any emerging trends that could impact Blue Owl's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Blue Owl's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Blue Owl is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Blue Owl pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Blue Owl's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Blue Owl Capital stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Blue Owl Capital is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Buy
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Blue Owl. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Blue Owl is not overpriced, please confirm all Blue Owl Capital fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Blue Owl Capital has a price to book of 6.91 X, we suggest you to validate Blue Owl Capital market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Blue Owl Stock

Researching Blue Owl's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.56. Blue Owl Capital last dividend was issued on the 27th of November 2024.
To determine if Blue Owl is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Blue Owl's research are outlined below:
Blue Owl Capital has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of November 2024 Blue Owl paid $ 0.18 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Blue Owl Capitals SWOT analysis merger boosts stock outlook
Blue Owl uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Blue Owl Capital. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Blue Owl's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
9th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
9th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Blue Owl's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Blue Owl's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-08-04
2022-06-300.110.130.0218 
2021-11-09
2021-09-300.080.110.0337 
2021-08-12
2021-06-300.06-0.01-0.07116 
2023-05-04
2023-03-310.150.450.3200 

Blue Owl Target Price Consensus

Blue target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Blue Owl's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   15  Strong Buy
Most Blue analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Blue stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Blue Owl Capital, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Blue Owl Target Price Projection

Blue Owl's current and average target prices are 23.77 and 15.50, respectively. The current price of Blue Owl is the price at which Blue Owl Capital is currently trading. On the other hand, Blue Owl's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Blue Owl Market Quote on 28th of November 2024

Low Price23.75Odds
High Price24.57Odds

23.77

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Blue Owl Target Price

Low Estimate14.11Odds
High Estimate17.21Odds

15.5

Historical Lowest Forecast  14.11 Target Price  15.5 Highest Forecast  17.21
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Blue Owl Capital and the information provided on this page.

Blue Owl Analyst Ratings

Blue Owl's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Blue Owl stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Blue Owl's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Blue Owl's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Blue Owl's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Blue Owl is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blue Owl Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Blue Owl's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Blue Owl's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corp2024-06-30
M
Regents Of The University Of California2024-09-30
M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
7.7 M
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-06-30
7.3 M
Westfield Capital Management Company, Lp2024-09-30
6.7 M
Stone Point Capital Llc2024-09-30
6.4 M
Brown University2024-09-30
5.9 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
5.8 M
Beck, Mack & Oliver Llc2024-06-30
5.8 M
Capital World Investors2024-09-30
67.4 M
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32024-09-30
47.8 M
Note, although Blue Owl's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Blue Owl's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 36.38 B.

Market Cap

3.73 Billion

Blue Owl's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.04  0.04 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.05 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.34 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.34 of operating income.
Determining Blue Owl's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Blue Owl is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Blue Owl's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Blue Owl's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Blue Owl's management efficiency

Blue Owl Capital has Return on Asset of 0.0482 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0482 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0769 %, implying that it generated $0.0769 on every 100 dollars invested. Blue Owl's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Blue Owl manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to 0.02 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to 0.10 this year. At this time, Blue Owl's Total Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Non Current Assets Total is expected to rise to about 8.3 B this year, although the value of Other Current Assets will most likely fall to about 6.4 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 11.39  5.78 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(2.28)(2.39)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 10.71  18.01 
Price Book Value Ratio 4.52  4.74 
Enterprise Value Multiple 10.71  18.01 
Price Fair Value 4.52  4.74 
Enterprise Value8.8 B4.8 B
Effective management at Blue Owl has been a driving force behind its market achievements. We assess the correlation between management practices and financial success to determine the stock's value.
Dividend Yield
0.0296
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0296
Forward Dividend Rate
0.72
Beta
1.142

Basic technical analysis of Blue Stock

As of the 28th of November, Blue Owl shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1936, mean deviation of 1.62, and Downside Deviation of 1.93. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model gives you tools to check existing technical drivers of Blue Owl, as well as the relationship between them. Please confirm Blue Owl Capital jensen alpha and downside variance to decide if Blue Owl Capital is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 23.77 per share. Given that Blue Owl has jensen alpha of 0.2993, we suggest you to validate Blue Owl Capital's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Blue Owl's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Blue Owl insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Blue Owl's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Blue Owl insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Blue Owl's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Blue Owl issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Blue Owl Capital uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Blue bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Blue Owl Capital has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Blue Owl's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Blue Owl's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Blue Owl's intraday indicators

Blue Owl intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Blue Owl stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Blue Owl Corporate Filings

13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
12th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
F4
8th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
6th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
Blue Owl time-series forecasting models is one of many Blue Owl's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Blue Owl's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Blue Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Blue Owl that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Blue media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Blue internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Blue data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Blue Owl news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Blue Owl relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Blue Owl's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Blue Owl alpha.

Blue Owl Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Blue Owl can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Blue Owl Capital Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Blue Owl's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Blue. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Blue can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Blue Owl Capital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Blue Owl's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Blue Owl and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Blue Owl news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Blue Owl.

Blue Owl Maximum Pain Price across 2024-12-20 Option Contracts

Blue Owl's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Blue Owl close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Blue Owl's options.

Blue Owl Corporate Management

CPA CPAChief OfficerProfile
Marc LipschultzCo-President Co-Founder, DirectorProfile
Andrew LaurinoSenior Managing DirectorProfile
Chris EbyHead DevelopmentProfile
When determining whether Blue Owl Capital is a strong investment it is important to analyze Blue Owl's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Blue Owl's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Blue Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Blue Owl Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Owl. If investors know Blue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Owl listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.487
Dividend Share
0.68
Earnings Share
0.18
Revenue Per Share
4.18
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.399
The market value of Blue Owl Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Owl's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Owl's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Owl's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Owl's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Blue Owl's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Blue Owl is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Owl's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.