Is Aspen Aerogels Stock a Good Investment?

Aspen Aerogels Investment Advice

  ASPN
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Aspen Aerogels stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Aspen Aerogels. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Aspen Aerogels in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Aspen Aerogels' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Aspen Aerogels' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Aspen Aerogels navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space and any emerging trends that could impact Aspen Aerogels' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Aspen Aerogels' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Aspen Aerogels is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Aspen Aerogels pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Aspen Aerogels' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Aspen Aerogels stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Aspen Aerogels is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Cautious Hold
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Aspen Aerogels. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Aspen Aerogels is not overpriced, please confirm all Aspen Aerogels fundamentals, including its price to book, current ratio, working capital, as well as the relationship between the net income and target price . Given that Aspen Aerogels has a number of shares shorted of 10.81 M, we suggest you to validate Aspen Aerogels market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails

Examine Aspen Aerogels Stock

Researching Aspen Aerogels' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aspen Aerogels had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Aspen Aerogels is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Aspen Aerogels' research are outlined below:
Aspen Aerogels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aspen Aerogels has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 452.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (45.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 182.9 M.
Aspen Aerogels currently holds about 102.4 M in cash with (42.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.59.
Aspen Aerogels has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Aspen Aerogels Given New 16.00 Price Target at Roth Mkm

Aspen Aerogels Quarterly Cash And Short Term Investments

220.88 Million

Aspen Aerogels uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Aspen Aerogels. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Aspen Aerogels' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
12th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
1st of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
12th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Aspen Aerogels' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Aspen Aerogels' investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2019-10-31
2019-09-30-0.1-0.090.0110 
2021-04-29
2021-03-31-0.2-0.22-0.0210 
2016-08-04
2016-06-30-0.04-0.06-0.0250 
2015-02-26
2014-12-31-0.14-0.120.0214 
2018-02-22
2017-12-31-0.1-0.070.0330 
2015-05-07
2015-03-31-0.15-0.120.0320 
2021-07-29
2021-06-30-0.27-0.230.0414 
2018-11-01
2018-09-30-0.23-0.27-0.0417 

Aspen Aerogels Target Price Consensus

Aspen target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Aspen Aerogels' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   11  Strong Buy
Most Aspen analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Aspen stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Aspen Aerogels, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Aspen Aerogels Target Price Projection

Aspen Aerogels' current and average target prices are 7.46 and 30.00, respectively. The current price of Aspen Aerogels is the price at which Aspen Aerogels is currently trading. On the other hand, Aspen Aerogels' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Aspen Aerogels Market Quote on 25th of February 2025

Low Price7.45Odds
High Price7.93Odds

7.46

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Aspen Aerogels Target Price

Low Estimate27.3Odds
High Estimate33.3Odds

30.0

Historical Lowest Forecast  27.3 Target Price  30.0 Highest Forecast  33.3
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Aspen Aerogels and the information provided on this page.

Aspen Aerogels Analyst Ratings

Aspen Aerogels' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Aspen Aerogels stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Aspen Aerogels' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Aspen Aerogels' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Aspen Aerogels' Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Aspen Aerogels is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aspen Aerogels backward and forwards among themselves. Aspen Aerogels' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Aspen Aerogels' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Cubist Systematic Strategies, Llc2024-12-31
1.4 M
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Awm Investment Company Inc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-12-31
1.1 M
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
M
Federated Hermes Inc2024-09-30
998.6 K
Royce & Associates, Lp2024-12-31
946.6 K
Samjo Management Llc2024-09-30
895.8 K
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.2024-12-31
800 K
Kim, Llc2024-12-31
12.3 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
M
Note, although Aspen Aerogels' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aspen Aerogels' market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 637.51 M.

Market Cap

967.17 Million

Aspen Aerogels' profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Capital Employed(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Equity(0.08)(0.09)
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.03 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.13 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.13.
Determining Aspen Aerogels' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Aspen Aerogels is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Aspen Aerogels' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Aspen Aerogels' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Aspen Aerogels' Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Evaluate Aspen Aerogels' management efficiency

Aspen Aerogels has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0454 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0454 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0243 %, meaning that it created $0.0243 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Aspen Aerogels' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Aspen Aerogels manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 25th of February 2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.06. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.07. At this time, Aspen Aerogels' Net Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of February 2025, Debt To Assets is likely to grow to 0.28, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.06).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 6.33  6.64 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 6.33  6.64 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(56.44)(59.27)
Price Book Value Ratio 2.58  3.51 
Price Fair Value 2.58  3.51 
Enterprise Value Multiple(56.44)(59.27)
Enterprise Value985.3 MB
Effective leadership at Aspen Aerogels drives its competitive edge in the market. Our analysis focuses on how this translates to financial performance and stock value.
Beta
2.139

Basic technical analysis of Aspen Stock

As of the 25th of February, Aspen Aerogels shows the Standard Deviation of 4.37, mean deviation of 2.92, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13). Aspen Aerogels technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Aspen Aerogels' insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Aspen Aerogels insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Aspen Aerogels' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Aspen Aerogels insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Stephanie Pittman over three months ago
Disposition of 1734 shares by Stephanie Pittman of Aspen Aerogels at 25.6 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Keith Schilling over three months ago
Disposition of 349 shares by Keith Schilling of Aspen Aerogels at 18.05 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Santhosh Daniel over three months ago
Disposition of 1711 shares by Santhosh Daniel of Aspen Aerogels at 24.84 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ricardo Rodriguez over six months ago
Disposition of 100 shares by Ricardo Rodriguez of Aspen Aerogels at 30.7 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Robinson Cari over six months ago
Insider Trading
 
Wood River Capital, Llc over six months ago
Acquisition by Wood River Capital, Llc of tradable shares of Aspen Aerogels at 29.9366 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Donald Young over six months ago
Disposition of 75885 shares by Donald Young of Aspen Aerogels at 23.85 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Virginia Johnson over six months ago
Disposition of 662 shares by Virginia Johnson of Aspen Aerogels at 29.92 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kool Kathleen over six months ago
Disposition of 4470 shares by Kool Kathleen of Aspen Aerogels at 12.15 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Keith Schilling over six months ago
Disposition of 500 shares by Keith Schilling of Aspen Aerogels at 27.42 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Gregg Landes over six months ago
Disposition of 25463 shares by Gregg Landes of Aspen Aerogels at 25.65 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Virginia Johnson over six months ago
Acquisition by Virginia Johnson of 8032 shares of Aspen Aerogels subject to Rule 16b-3

Aspen Aerogels' Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Aspen Aerogels issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Aspen Aerogels uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Aspen bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Aspen Aerogels has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Aspen Aerogels' technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Aspen Aerogels' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Aspen Aerogels' intraday indicators

Aspen Aerogels intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Aspen Aerogels stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Aspen Aerogels Corporate Filings

12th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
19th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
12th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
10Q
7th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
Aspen Aerogels time-series forecasting models is one of many Aspen Aerogels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aspen Aerogels' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Aspen Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Aspen Aerogels that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Aspen media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Aspen internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Aspen data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Aspen Aerogels news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Aspen Aerogels relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Aspen Aerogels' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Aspen Aerogels alpha.

Aspen Aerogels Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Aspen Aerogels can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Aspen Aerogels Maximum Pain Price Across May 16th 2025 Option Contracts

Aspen Aerogels' options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Aspen Aerogels close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Aspen Aerogels' options.

Aspen Aerogels Corporate Directors

Steven MitchellIndependent DirectorProfile
Rebecca BlalockIndependent DirectorProfile
Robert GervisIndependent DirectorProfile
Richard ReillyIndependent DirectorProfile

Already Invested in Aspen Aerogels?

The danger of trading Aspen Aerogels is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Aspen Aerogels is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Aspen Aerogels. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Aspen Aerogels is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Aspen Aerogels offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Aspen Aerogels' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Aspen Aerogels Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Aspen Aerogels Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aspen Aerogels. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
To learn how to invest in Aspen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aspen Aerogels guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aspen Aerogels. If investors know Aspen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aspen Aerogels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.17
Revenue Per Share
5.839
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.462
Return On Assets
0.0454
Return On Equity
0.0243
The market value of Aspen Aerogels is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aspen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aspen Aerogels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aspen Aerogels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aspen Aerogels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aspen Aerogels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Aspen Aerogels' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Aspen Aerogels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aspen Aerogels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.