Is ARMOUR Residential Stock a Good Investment?
ARMOUR Residential Investment Advice | ARR |
- Examine ARMOUR Residential's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research ARMOUR Residential's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help ARMOUR Residential navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space and any emerging trends that could impact ARMOUR Residential's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare ARMOUR Residential's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how ARMOUR Residential is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if ARMOUR Residential pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about ARMOUR Residential's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in ARMOUR Residential REIT stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if ARMOUR Residential REIT is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | About Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine ARMOUR Residential Stock
Researching ARMOUR Residential's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 43.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ARMOUR Residential REIT recorded a loss per share of 0.51. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of March 2025. The firm had 1:5 split on the 2nd of October 2023.
To determine if ARMOUR Residential is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding ARMOUR Residential's research are outlined below:
| ARMOUR Residential has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (14.39 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 39.26 M. | |
| ARMOUR Residential has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 27th of February 2025 ARMOUR Residential paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc Announces April 2025 Dividend Details |
ARMOUR Residential Quarterly Cash And Short Term Investments |
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ARMOUR Residential uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in ARMOUR Residential REIT. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to ARMOUR Residential's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 21st of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 24th of April 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 21st of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact ARMOUR Residential's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises ARMOUR Residential's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-07-27 | 2022-06-30 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.03 | 11 | ||
2022-10-26 | 2022-09-30 | 0.28 | 0.32 | 0.04 | 14 | ||
2021-07-22 | 2021-06-30 | 0.27 | 0.21 | -0.06 | 22 | ||
2020-07-22 | 2020-06-30 | 0.26 | 0.19 | -0.07 | 26 | ||
2017-05-01 | 2017-03-31 | 0.62 | 0.69 | 0.07 | 11 | ||
2017-02-15 | 2016-12-31 | 0.64 | 0.71 | 0.07 | 10 | ||
2021-04-21 | 2021-03-31 | 0.31 | 0.23 | -0.08 | 25 | ||
2016-08-02 | 2016-06-30 | 0.71 | 0.63 | -0.08 | 11 |
ARMOUR Residential Target Price Consensus
ARMOUR target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. ARMOUR Residential's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 6 | Hold |
Most ARMOUR analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand ARMOUR stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of ARMOUR Residential REIT, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationARMOUR Residential Target Price Projection
ARMOUR Residential's current and average target prices are 17.59 and 20.00, respectively. The current price of ARMOUR Residential is the price at which ARMOUR Residential REIT is currently trading. On the other hand, ARMOUR Residential's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
ARMOUR Residential Market Quote on 26th of March 2025
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On ARMOUR Residential Target Price
ARMOUR Residential Analyst Ratings
ARMOUR Residential's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about ARMOUR Residential stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of ARMOUR Residential's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. ARMOUR Residential's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know ARMOUR Residential's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as ARMOUR Residential is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ARMOUR Residential REIT backward and forwards among themselves. ARMOUR Residential's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase ARMOUR Residential's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-06-30 | 1.3 M | Van Eck Associates Corporation | 2023-06-30 | 1.2 M | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2023-06-30 | 1.1 M | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2023-06-30 | 746.6 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2023-06-30 | 712.2 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-06-30 | 694.5 K | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2023-06-30 | 658.5 K | Rhumbline Advisers | 2023-06-30 | 557.5 K | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-06-30 | 546.3 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-06-30 | 33.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-06-30 | 21.4 M |
ARMOUR Residential's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 1.48 B.Market Cap |
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ARMOUR Residential's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.09) | (0.08) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.01) | (0.01) |
Determining ARMOUR Residential's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if ARMOUR Residential is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures ARMOUR Residential's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of ARMOUR Residential's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Evaluate ARMOUR Residential's management efficiency
As of 03/26/2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.0011. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to -0.08. At this time, ARMOUR Residential's Other Current Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/26/2025, Other Assets is likely to grow to about 13.4 B, while Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop slightly above 610.4 M. ARMOUR Residential's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well ARMOUR Residential manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 26.10 | 24.80 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 26.10 | 24.80 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 20.16 | 37.94 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 0.72 | 0.69 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 20.16 | 37.94 | |
| Price Fair Value | 0.72 | 0.69 | |
| Enterprise Value | 6.6 B | 6.9 B |
The strategic initiatives led by ARMOUR Residential's management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Basic technical analysis of ARMOUR Stock
As of the 26th of March, ARMOUR Residential shows the Coefficient Of Variation of (16,546), mean deviation of 0.838, and insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance. ARMOUR Residential REIT technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm ARMOUR Residential REIT standard deviation and value at risk to decide if ARMOUR Residential REIT is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 17.59 per share. Given that ARMOUR Residential has information ratio of (0.02), we suggest you to validate ARMOUR Residential REIT's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.ARMOUR Residential's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific ARMOUR Residential insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on ARMOUR Residential's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases ARMOUR Residential insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
ARMOUR Residential's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
ARMOUR Residential issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. ARMOUR Residential REIT uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most ARMOUR bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when ARMOUR Residential REIT has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
Understand ARMOUR Residential's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing ARMOUR Residential's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.838 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (16,546) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Variance | 1.19 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.93 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.13) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.59 | |||
| Skewness | (0.47) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4849 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.838 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (16,546) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Variance | 1.19 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.93 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.13) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.59 | |||
| Skewness | (0.47) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4849 |
Consider ARMOUR Residential's intraday indicators
ARMOUR Residential intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of ARMOUR Residential stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.59 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.59 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.29) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.57) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.71 |
ARMOUR Residential Corporate Filings
8K | 25th of March 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
| 20th of March 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F4 | 25th of February 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
| 13th of February 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify |
ARMOUR Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about ARMOUR Residential that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through ARMOUR media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via ARMOUR internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of ARMOUR data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of ARMOUR Residential news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of ARMOUR Residential relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to ARMOUR Residential's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive ARMOUR Residential alpha.
ARMOUR Residential Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards ARMOUR Residential can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
ARMOUR Residential Corporate Directors
| Carolyn Downey | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Thomas Guba | Lead Independent Director | Profile | |
| John Hollihan | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Robert Hain | Independent Director | Profile |
Already Invested in ARMOUR Residential REIT?
The danger of trading ARMOUR Residential REIT is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of ARMOUR Residential is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than ARMOUR Residential. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile ARMOUR Residential REIT is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
Additional Tools for ARMOUR Stock Analysis
When running ARMOUR Residential's price analysis, check to measure ARMOUR Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ARMOUR Residential is operating at the current time. Most of ARMOUR Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ARMOUR Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ARMOUR Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ARMOUR Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.