Is Applied Digital Stock a Good Investment?

Applied Digital Investment Advice

  APLD
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Applied Digital stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Applied Digital. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Applied Digital in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Applied Digital's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Applied Digital's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Applied Digital navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Application Software space and any emerging trends that could impact Applied Digital's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Applied Digital's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Applied Digital is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Applied Digital pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Applied Digital's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Applied Digital stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Applied Digital is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Sell
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Applied Digital. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Applied Digital is not overpriced, please confirm all Applied Digital fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, ebitda, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and cash per share . Given that Applied Digital has a number of shares shorted of 42.79 M, we suggest you to validate Applied Digital market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Applied Digital Stock

Researching Applied Digital's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.23. Applied Digital had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:6 split on the 13th of April 2022.
To determine if Applied Digital is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Applied Digital's research are outlined below:
Applied Digital had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Applied Digital currently holds 427.81 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Applied Digital has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Applied Digital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 165.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (149.27 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (957 K).
About 65.0% of Applied Digital shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Applied Digital Sets Fiscal Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call for Tuesday, January 14, 2025, at 500 p.m. Eastern Time

Applied Digital Quarterly Accounts Payable

140.26 Million

Applied Digital uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Applied Digital. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Applied Digital's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
4th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
22nd of July 2024
Next Financial Report
View
29th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
22nd of July 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of November 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of May 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Applied Digital's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Applied Digital's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-07-24
2023-05-31-0.04-0.07-0.0375 
2023-04-06
2023-02-28-0.05-0.08-0.0360 
2023-10-09
2023-08-31-0.04-0.1-0.06150 
2022-10-11
2022-08-31-0.1-0.040.0660 
2022-08-25
2022-05-31-0.13-0.040.0969 
2024-01-16
2023-11-300.01-0.1-0.111100 
2024-10-09
2024-08-31-0.29-0.150.1448 
2024-04-11
2024-02-29-0.1-0.32-0.22220 

Applied Digital Target Price Consensus

Applied target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Applied Digital's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   8  Strong Buy
Most Applied analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Applied stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Applied Digital, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Applied Digital Target Price Projection

Applied Digital's current and average target prices are 7.78 and 15.21, respectively. The current price of Applied Digital is the price at which Applied Digital is currently trading. On the other hand, Applied Digital's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Applied Digital Market Quote on 2nd of January 2025

Low Price7.5Odds
High Price8.23Odds

7.78

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Applied Digital Target Price

Low Estimate13.84Odds
High Estimate16.88Odds

15.21

Historical Lowest Forecast  13.84 Target Price  15.21 Highest Forecast  16.88
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Applied Digital and the information provided on this page.

Applied Digital Analyst Ratings

Applied Digital's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Applied Digital stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Applied Digital's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Applied Digital's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Applied Digital's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Applied Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Applied Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Applied Digital's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Applied Digital's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
2.5 M
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd.2024-09-30
2.4 M
State Street Corp2024-09-30
2.3 M
Van Eck Associates Corporation2024-09-30
2.1 M
Plustick Management Llc2024-09-30
M
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
1.9 M
Moore Capital Management, Lp2024-09-30
1.9 M
Ing Investment Management Llc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Pertento Partners Llp2024-09-30
1.7 M
Hood River Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
13.7 M
Clearfield Capital Management Lp2024-09-30
12.1 M
Note, although Applied Digital's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Applied Digital's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.61 B.

Market Cap

14.02 Million

Applied Digital's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(8.06)(7.65)
Return On Capital Employed 7.84  8.23 
Return On Assets(8.06)(7.65)
Return On Equity 7.84  8.23 
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.75) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.24) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.24.
Determining Applied Digital's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Applied Digital is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Applied Digital's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Applied Digital's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the presentation of Applied Digital's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Applied Digital's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Applied Digital's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Applied Digital's management efficiency

Applied Digital has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0883) % which means that it has lost $0.0883 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.6686) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Applied Digital's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Applied Digital manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At present, Applied Digital's Return On Equity is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. At present, Applied Digital's Total Current Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Current Assets Total is expected to grow to about 884.6 M, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are projected to grow to (7.65).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(19.47)(20.44)
Price Book Value Ratio-5.8 K-5.5 K
Enterprise Value Multiple(19.47)(20.44)
Price Fair Value-5.8 K-5.5 K
Enterprise Value14.8 M14 M
The decision-making processes within Applied Digital are key to its success in a competitive market. By evaluating these processes, we assess the stock's potential for future gains.
Beta
4.517

Basic technical analysis of Applied Stock

As of the 2nd of January, Applied Digital shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0202, downside deviation of 5.53, and Mean Deviation of 5.25. Applied Digital technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Applied Digital maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if Applied Digital is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 7.78 per share. Given that Applied Digital has jensen alpha of 0.0794, we suggest you to validate Applied Digital's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Applied Digital's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Applied Digital insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Applied Digital's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Applied Digital insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Applied Digital's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Applied Digital issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Applied Digital uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Applied bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Applied Digital has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Applied Digital's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Applied Digital's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Applied Digital's intraday indicators

Applied Digital intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Applied Digital stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Applied Digital Corporate Filings

F4
31st of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
4th of December 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
27th of November 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
26th of November 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
Applied Digital time-series forecasting models is one of many Applied Digital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Applied Digital's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Applied Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Applied Digital that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Applied media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Applied internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Applied data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Applied Digital news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Applied Digital relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Applied Digital's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Applied Digital alpha.

Applied Digital Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Applied Digital can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Applied Digital Corporate Management

Regina IngelChief OfficerProfile
Michael ManiscalcoEx TechnologyProfile
David RenchChief OfficerProfile
Chris JacksonSenior OperationsProfile
Nick PhillipsExecutive AcquisitionsProfile
Saidal MohmandEx FinProfile
Brad BartonExecutive DevelopmentProfile

Already Invested in Applied Digital?

The danger of trading Applied Digital is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Applied Digital is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Applied Digital. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Applied Digital is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Applied Digital is a strong investment it is important to analyze Applied Digital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Applied Digital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Applied Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Applied Digital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
For information on how to trade Applied Stock refer to our How to Trade Applied Stock guide.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Applied Digital. If investors know Applied will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Applied Digital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.23)
Revenue Per Share
1.505
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.671
Return On Assets
(0.09)
Return On Equity
(0.67)
The market value of Applied Digital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Applied that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Applied Digital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Applied Digital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Applied Digital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Applied Digital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Applied Digital's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Applied Digital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Applied Digital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.