Our latest technical analysis of Xpeng Inc (USA Stocks:XPEV)

Buckle up, because Xpeng Inc. is making waves in the stock market. As a key player in the automobile sector, this electric vehicle manufacturer has caught the attention of investors with its recent price movements. With a beta of 2.79, Xpeng's stock is known for its volatility, suggesting that it can experience significant price swings compared to the broader market. Currently trading on the NYSE, the stock's day typical price hovers around $13.12, while analysts have set a lowest estimated target price of $17.18, indicating potential room for growth. Despite a net income loss of $10.4 billion, the analyst consensus remains a strong buy, hinting at optimism for a potential rally. As we navigate these developments, the question remains: is Xpeng poised for a significant surge? Many baby boomers might not be particularly interested in the automotive sector, but Xpeng Inc presents a compelling case worth considering. Despite current market trends, there are reasons to remain optimistic about its potential recovery. Xpeng's performance tends to mirror broader market movements, so as the market fluctuates, Xpeng is likely to do the same. However, some unusual technical and fundamental indicators could signal potential long-term challenges for savvy investors. Notably, Xpeng Inc is set to release its earnings today, which could provide further insights into its financial health and future prospects.
Published over a week ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

Xpeng Inc has received a "Strong Buy" rating from 28 analysts. But what drives this consensus? Analysts often consider technical analysis, which examines price momentum, patterns, and trends based on historical data. This approach seeks to gauge market sentiment and predict future price movements. For Xpeng, a few technical aspects stand out: the company's book value is reported at 36.02, and it recently posted a loss per share of 1.21. Additionally, Xpeng has not distributed dividends in recent years. These factors provide insight into the company's current financial health and potential future performance.

Main Points

Xpeng Inc. has recently caught the attention of traders as its stock opened at 12.74, well above its 200-day moving average of 8.98, indicating a potential upward momentum. With a beta of 2.79, the stock is quite volatile, suggesting that while there could be significant gains, investors should also be prepared for potential swings in price.
Using predictive technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xpeng Inc. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing Xpeng stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build Xpeng's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Xpeng's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Xpeng, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect Xpeng price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xpeng's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

How does Xpeng Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Xpeng competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Xpeng across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be. Check out Xpeng Competition Details

Xpeng Gross Profit

Xpeng Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Xpeng previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Xpeng Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Xpeng's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Closer look at Xpeng Mean Deviation

Xpeng Inc has current Mean Deviation of 4.27. The mean deviation of the equity instrument is the first measure of the distances between each value of security historical prices and the mean. It gives us an idea of how spread out from the center the distribution of returns.
Mean Deviation is the average of the absolute values of the differences between price distribution numbers and their mean. Mean deviation of equity instrument with a lot of historical data is a biased estimator because the time horizon used in calculation will always be much smaller than the entire price history of the equity.
The mean deviation is typically used as a measure of dispersion for small investment horizon, otherwise standard deviation is a better measure of dispersion.

Mean Deviation

 = 

SUM(RET DEV)

N

 = 
4.27
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Sum of return deviations of Xpeng
N = Number of calculation points for selected time horizon
Let's now compare Xpeng Mean Deviation to its closest peers:
XPEV
NXPL
HWKN
SXT
BCPC
XPEV4.269682694214877
NXPL2.98
HWKN1.71
SXT1.08
BCPC1.14
Warren Buffett once said, "Price is what you pay. Value is what you get." Xpeng Inc. has recently caught the attention of investors as its stock price climbs, currently hovering around $13.12, significantly above its 50-day moving average of $11.44. With a beta of 2.79, the stock exhibits high volatility, suggesting potential for further upward momentum, albeit with increased risk. Despite a challenging financial backdrop, including a net income loss of 10.4 billion, the company's robust cash flow from operations of 956.16 million provides a cushion for future growth. As the stock approaches its 52-week high of $18.74, investors are keenly watching for signs of a sustained rally..

Over 3 percent climb for Xpeng. What does it mean for sophisticated investors?

Xpeng Inc's recent rise of over 3% might intrigue savvy investors, but a slight skewness increase to 0.04 paints a more complex picture. This minor positive skew in the stock's return distribution doesn't necessarily indicate ongoing upward momentum. There's still a chance for a price drop, so cautious optimism is key. Investors should consider this alongside broader market trends and company fundamentals, as skewness alone isn't a reliable predictor of future gains. Xpeng's stock shows above-average semi-deviation, suggesting notable volatility.
Understanding these volatility trends can help investors make informed decisions. In bear markets, heightened volatility can significantly affect Xpeng's stock price, potentially prompting investors to adjust their portfolios by diversifying their holdings as prices decline.Considering the current momentum of Xpeng Inc, it's important to weigh both the potential and the risks. With an analyst overall consensus of "Strong Buy" and a highest estimated target price of 20.96, there is optimism surrounding the stock's future performance. However, investors should remain cautious and consider the possible downside price of 7.45. Balancing these factors, Xpeng presents an intriguing opportunity for those willing to navigate the volatility inherent in the electric vehicle sector. As always, thorough research and a clear understanding of your investment strategy are key..

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Xpeng Inc. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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