Volatility may be your only friend when it comes to investing in Timber Pharmaceuticals

Timber Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, has been making waves in the Biotechnology industry with its focus on developing and commercializing treatments for orphan dermatologic diseases. Despite the company's recent loss, market volatility has created a unique investment opportunity that savvy investors should not overlook. The company's lead product candidates include TMB-001, a patented topical formulation of isotretinoin that has completed Phase 2b clinical trial for the treatment of moderate to severe subtypes of CI, a group of rare genetic keratinization disorders. This promising development has the potential to significantly increase the company's market value, currently standing at $3.03 billion. The company's stock, traded on the NYSE MKT, has been experiencing some fluctuations, with a Day Median Price of $3.05 and a Day Typical Price of $3.04. Despite the slight negative Daily Balance Of Power of -0.29, the company's Valuation Real Value stands at an impressive $4.79, significantly higher than the Valuation Hype Value of $2.59. Analysts have a strong consensus on Timber Pharmaceuticals, with an overall consensus rating of 'Strong Buy'. This is supported by the fact that out of the total analyst estimates, there is one 'Strong Buy' recommendation. Furthermore, the Analyst Target Price Estimated Value stands at a whopping $11, indicating a significant potential for growth. In addition, the company has a healthy Accumulation Distribution of 8.4K, indicating a strong interest from investors. Despite the Rate Of Daily Change standing at 0.98, the Price Action Indicator is at -0.04, suggesting that the stock's price is relatively stable. In conclusion, Timber Pharmaceuticals presents a promising investment opportunity amidst market volatility. The company's strong product pipeline, coupled with its robust market valuation and positive analyst consensus, make it a stock to watch in the coming months. Generally, our analysis concentrates on examining the price patterns of Timber Pharmaceuticals (USA Stocks: TMBR) and their correlations with various microeconomic environments and drivers. We also utilize predictive analytics to construct daily price indicators for Timber Pharmaceuticals and compare them with related drivers. Amidst the unprecedented political and economic uncertainty, let's attempt to summarize the current situation of Timber Pharmaceuticals.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

We provide insights to supplement the current expert consensus on Timber Pharmaceuticals. Our innovative recommendation engine employs a multidimensional algorithm to assess the company's growth potential using all available technical and fundamental data. The company's price-to-book ratio stands at 0.62. Generally, companies with similar Price to Book (P/B) ratios are known to outperform the market over the long term. Timber Pharmaceuticals reported a loss per share of 8.29. The company's last dividend was issued on May 19, 2020. The company underwent a 1:50 split on November 9, 2022.

Deep-dive analysis

Timber Pharmaceuticals, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, presents an enticing investment opportunity in the midst of current market volatility. Despite its high Coefficient of Variation at 784.15, the company's promising pipeline, particularly its lead product candidate TMB-001, demonstrates potential for significant upside. With a Potential Upside of 15.25, the stock could provide substantial returns for investors willing to take on the associated risk. Moreover, the company's Information Ratio of 0.125 indicates that it has been able to generate a decent amount of return relative to the risk it has taken on with its investments. Despite the stock's recent Price Change of a loss of 0.05, the company's solid fundamentals and promising pipeline could drive its stock price higher in the future. Furthermore, Timber Pharmaceuticals' Accumulation Distribution of 8.4K suggests that the stock is being accumulated rather than distributed, indicating that investors are buying up the stock. With the biotechnology industry on the rise, Timber Pharmaceuticals could offer a promising investment opportunity for those looking to capitalize on market volatility.
The successful prediction of Timber Pharmaceuticals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Timber Pharmaceuticals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Timber Pharmaceuticals based on Timber Pharmaceuticals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Timber Pharmaceuticals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Timber Pharmaceuticals's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Timber expected Price

Timber Pharmaceuticals technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, delisted stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Timber Pharmaceuticals technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Timber Pharmaceuticals trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Breaking down Timber Pharmaceuticals Further

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 83.18 K. Net Loss for the year was (19.38 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.26 M).
 2019 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Revenues USD453.81 K886.53 K83.18 K85.37 K
Revenues453.81 K886.53 K83.18 K85.37 K

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Timber Pharmaceuticals Cost of Revenue yearly trend continues to be relatively stable with very little volatility. Cost of Revenue is likely to grow to about 76.7 K this year. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Where this item is not contained on the company consolidated financial statements and cannot otherwise be imputed the value of 0 is used. Timber Pharmaceuticals Cost of Revenue is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Timber Pharmaceuticals reported last year Cost of Revenue of 74,700
2010
2016
2017
2018
2022
2023
2010237,000
2016516,000
2017250,000
201883,000
202274,700
202376,665.79
Timber Pharmaceuticals, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, is emerging as a promising investment opportunity amidst market volatility. With a market capitalization of 9.51M and a total asset of 10.28M, Timber Pharmaceuticals is a small yet promising player in the healthcare and biotechnology sector. The company's debt to equity ratio is remarkably low at 0.06%, indicating a strong financial position with minimal total debt of 331.15K. Despite a negative return on asset of 1.37 and return on equity of 3.43, the company's potential upside of 15.25 and a target price of 11 offer a promising outlook. Furthermore, the company's current ratio of 2.45X indicates a healthy short-term liquidity position, and its cash per share ratio of 3.78X further strengthens its financial stability. The company's shares are largely held by insiders and institutions, with 1.11% and 7.78% respectively, indicating a strong belief in the company's potential. However, the stock has a beta of -0.4, suggesting it may move in the opposite direction of the market, and a standard deviation of 15.09, indicating a high level of volatility. In conclusion, while Timber Pharmaceuticals carries certain risks, its strong financial position and potential upside make it a promising investment opportunity in the current volatile market. Investors should consider the company's financial health, market position, and potential growth before making an investment decision.

Is Timber showing record of lower volatility?

The skewness level of Timber Pharmaceuticals has recently decreased to 5.95, indicating a potential reduction in volatility. This suggests that the stock's returns might be becoming more normally distributed, potentially reducing the risk for investors. Therefore, this emerging pattern could signify a transition towards a more stable period for Timber Pharmaceuticals, which could be attractive to investors seeking a less volatile investment within the pharmaceutical sector. Timber Pharmaceuticals is demonstrating above-average volatility over the chosen time frame. Investors should independently examine Timber Pharmaceuticals to ensure that their intended market timing strategies align with their expectations about the company's volatility. Understanding various market volatility trends often assists investors in timing the market. The correct use of volatility indicators allows traders to gauge the risk of Timber Pharmaceuticals' stock against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The heightened level of volatility that accompanies bear markets can directly affect Timber Pharmaceuticals' stock price, adding stress to investors as they watch the value of their shares plummet.
This usually compels investors to rebalance their portfolios by purchasing different stocks as prices drop. Despite a slight slump of 1 percent, Timber Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, continues to show promise in the market. The company's focus on the development and commercialization of treatments for orphan dermatologic diseases, including its lead product candidate TMB-001, positions it well in a niche market. The company's valuation real value stands at 4.79, with a market value of 3.03, indicating potential for growth. The single analyst covering the stock has a strong buy recommendation with a target price of 11, which is significantly higher than the current trading price. This suggests a strong upside potential. As the fiscal year end approaches in December, investors should keep a close eye on Timber Pharmaceuticals. Despite the recent slump, the company's strong fundamentals and the analyst's strong buy consensus could provide an attractive investment opportunity. .

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Timber Pharmaceuticals. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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