Swvl Holdings Corp (USA Stocks:SWVL), a key player in the Software - Application industry, is showing promising signs as a potential breakout investment opportunity in 2024. The company's stock has seen a price change of
0.72, with a high price of
3.71 and a low of
2.35, indicating a potential for significant returns. The company's risk-adjusted performance stands at
0.1529, and with a Treynor Ratio of
3.9, it suggests that the stock is generating adequate returns for the risks it's taking. Furthermore, the company's Information Ratio of
0.2036 indicates that it has been able to generate a decent return compared to the risk it has taken on. With a trading volume of
3.1M today, the stock is gaining attention from investors, making it a potential breakout investment opportunity.
Main Considerations
Swvl Holdings Corp has an average rating of 'Hold' from one analyst. We offer advice to supplement the current
expert consensus on Swvl Holdings. Our advanced recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's growth potential, taking into account all available technical and fundamental data.
The company has a Profit Margin (PM) of
1.11 %. This indicates that even a minor decrease in revenue could wipe out profits, resulting in a net loss. This is significantly below average. Similarly, it has an Operating Margin (OM) of
(0.29) %, suggesting that for every $100 in sales, it incurs a net operating loss of $0.29.
The successful prediction of Swvl Holdings
stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published
stock prices of traded companies, such as Swvl Holdings Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at
the intrinsic value of Swvl Holdings based on Swvl Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used
predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Swvl Holdings's
market risk, different
technical and
fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then
comparing them to Swvl Holdings's related companies.
Use Technical Analysis to project Swvl expected Price
Swvl Holdings technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Swvl Holdings technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Swvl Holdings trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions.
More Info...Swvl Holdings Gross Profit
Swvl Holdings Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Swvl Holdings previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Swvl Holdings Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Swvl Holdings'
gross profit and other
fundamental indicators for more details.
Another angle On Swvl Holdings
The latest price rise of Swvl Holdings created some momentum for institutional investors as it was traded today as low as
2.35 and as high as
3.71 per share. The company executives may have good odds in positioning the company resources to exploit
market volatility in
February. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 7.91. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Swvl Holdings Corp partners.
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) |
Current Assets | 34.6M | 20.3M | 23.3M | 24.7M | Total Assets | 59.3M | 57.5M | 66.1M | 59.0M |
Cost of Revenue Breakdown
Swvl Holdings Cost of Revenue yearly trend continues to be quite stable with very little volatility. The value of Cost of Revenue is projected to decrease to about 48.8
M. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Where this item is not contained on the company consolidated financial statements and cannot otherwise be imputed the value of 0 is used. At this time, Swvl Holdings' Cost of Revenue is quite stable as compared to the past year.
| 2010 | 33.78 Million |
| 2020 | 19.2 Million |
| 2021 | 31.35 Million |
| 2022 | 48.74 Million |
| 2023 | 56.05 Million |
| 2024 | 48.76 Million |
Every cloud has a silver lining, and Swvl Holdings Corp (USA Stocks:SWVL) might just be that silver lining for savvy investors in 2024. Despite a high probability of bankruptcy at 96%, the company's stock presents a potential upside of 21.25, making it a potential breakout investment opportunity. The company's low Price to Sales ratio of 0.38X and a target price of 125 further underscore its potential for significant returns. However, investors should be aware of the company's high risk, as indicated by a total risk alpha of -0.33 and a downside deviation of 3.81. Despite these risks, the company's market risk adjusted performance of 3.91 and a Treynor Ratio of 3.9 suggest that the potential rewards could outweigh the risks for investors with a high risk tolerance. As always, investors should conduct thorough due diligence before making investment decisions.
Will Swvl Holdings latest rise continue?
The latest value-at-risk indicator for Swvl Holdings Corp has decreased to -5.61, suggesting a potential for an upward price movement. This development could indicate a lower risk associated with the stock, which may appeal to investors looking for a safer option in the current market climate. Consequently, we might see a continuation of Swvl Holdings Corp's recent upward trend. However, as with any investment, it's essential to conduct comprehensive research and consider other market factors before making a decision. Swvl Holdings Corp is exhibiting above-average volatility over the chosen time horizon. Investors should examine Swvl Holdings Corp independently to ensure that their intended
market timing strategies align with their expectations about Swvl Holdings' volatility. Understanding different
market volatility trends can often assist investors in timing the market. Proper use of volatility indicators allows traders to gauge Swvl Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends.
The heightened level of volatility that accompanies bear markets can directly affect
Swvl Holdings' stock price, adding stress for investors as they watch the value of their shares decline. This typically compels investors to rebalance their portfolios by purchasing different stocks as prices drop. In light of the data provided, the future of Swvl Holdings Corp (SWVL) is a toss-up between significant growth and potential decline. Analysts' target prices range from a low of
$1.5 to a high of
$5, with a consensus of 'Hold'. This suggests that while there is potential for upside price as high as $11, there is also a possible downside risk of $0.0301. The company's valuation hype value is at $3.43, slightly above its market value of $3.01, indicating that the market may be overvaluing the stock. However, the company's real value is estimated at $2.91, close to its current market value, suggesting that the stock may be fairly priced. In conclusion, investors should exercise caution and closely monitor SWVL's performance, particularly as we approach the fiscal year-end in December. .
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Raphi Shpitalnik is a Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Raphael is a young entrepreneur who joined Macroaxis on a part-time basis at the beginning of the pandemic and eventually acquired a real taste for investing and fintech. He likes to analyze different equity instruments across a wide range of industries, focusing primarily on consumer products, sports, fintech, cannabis, and AI.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Swvl Holdings Corp. Please refer to our
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