Will Lumen (USA Stocks:LUMN) traders stop to exit in September?

In the world of finance, every cloud has a silver lining, and for Lumen Technologies, the upcoming debt obligations in September present a pivotal moment. With total liabilities soaring to $33.6 billion and a staggering net income loss of 10.3 billion, the company faces significant challenges. However, their operating income stands at a respectable $1.2 billion, hinting at potential resilience. As Lumen navigates its short and long-term debt of $20.1 billion, investors should keep a close eye on how these obligations impact cash flow and operational efficiency. The stock, currently hovering around $3.80, could see volatility as analysts set a low target price of $2.13. The interplay between managing debt and unlocking value will be crucial for Lumen's future, making this a critical time for both the company and its shareholders. Lumen Technologies' stock is currently experiencing above-average trading activity. As of August 7, 2024, the company's price-to-book ratio remains stable compared to the previous year. Analysts predict that its return on invested capital (ROIC) could rise to 0.08, while its enterprise value may decrease by about $12.6 billion. With growing investor interest in the telecommunications sector, Lumen Technologies is worth considering as a potential investment. The key question now is whether this year could bring better returns for Lumen's shareholders.
Published over six months ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Lumen Technologies has significant liabilities amounting to $20.1 billion, resulting in a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.33. This suggests that the company heavily relies on borrowed funds to finance its operations. However, Lumen's current ratio stands at 2.0, which is considered healthy for its sector. It's essential to evaluate Lumen's debt in conjunction with its cash reserves and equity to get a clearer picture of its financial health. Overall, while the company leans on debt, its liquidity position appears stable.

Primary Takeaways

Investing in Lumen Technologies stock could be a high-stakes game, especially with upcoming debt obligations totaling 20.1B that may impact its financial stability. With a net income loss of 10.3B from continuing operations, investors should weigh the potential for recovery against the risks of leveraging in a volatile telecom market.
Lumen Technologies financial leverage ratio helps determine the effect of debt on the overall profitability of the company. It measures the total debt position of Lumen Technologies, including all of Lumen Technologies's outstanding debt obligations, and compares it with the equity. In simple terms, the high financial leverage means the cost of production, together with running the business day-to-day, is high, whereas, lower financial leverage implies lower fixed cost investment in the business and generally considered by investors to be a good sign. So if creditors own a majority of Lumen Technologies assets, the company is considered highly leveraged. Understanding the composition and structure of overall Lumen Technologies debt and outstanding corporate bonds gives a good idea of how risky the capital structure of a business is and if it is worth investing in it. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Understanding Lumen Total Debt

Lumen Technologies liabilities are broken down into two parts on the balance sheet. These are short-term (or current) obligations and long-term debt. Lumen Technologies has to fulfill its short-term liabilities in this reporting year and should be no more than 12 months old. Long-term debt, on the other hand, is anything beyond the 12-month payment timeframe. Common short-term liabilities found on Lumen Technologies balance sheet include debt obligations and money owed to different Lumen Technologies vendors, workers, and loan providers. Below is the chart of Lumen main long-term debt accounts currently reported on its balance sheet.
You can use Lumen Technologies financial leverage analysis tool to get a better grip on understanding its financial position

How important is Lumen Technologies's Liquidity

Lumen Technologies financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Lumen Technologies ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Lumen Technologies financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Lumen Technologies' owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Lumen Technologies' financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Lumen Technologies's total debt and its cash.

Breaking it down

The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 14.56 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.3 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.61 B.

Liabilities Breakdown

Total Current Liabilities
15.3 B
Non Current Liabilities Total
3.2 B
Non Current Liabilities Other
Total Current Liabilities2.25 Billion
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity24.67 Billion
Non Current Liabilities Total15.28 Billion
Non Current Liabilities Other3.18 Billion
In the world of finance, timing is everything, and Lumen Technologies is at a pivotal moment as it approaches significant debt obligations this September.
With a current ratio of 2.04X, the company appears to have a solid buffer to meet its short-term liabilities, which total $3.5 billion. However, the looming long-term debt of $19.8 billion, coupled with a staggering probability of bankruptcy at 72.76%, raises concerns about its financial health. Despite generating $14.6 billion in revenue, Lumen reported losses in free cash flow amounting to 940 million, indicating that cash generation remains a challenge. Investors should closely monitor how the company navigates these upcoming obligations, as it could unlock or further hinder its potential value in the telecom sector..

Our perspective of the recent Lumen Technologies roll up

Lumen Technologies is attracting investor interest, especially with its stock price around $10.48, which may indicate a period of reduced volatility. This stabilization could present a good opportunity for those looking to benefit from the company's strategic initiatives. As Lumen undergoes its transformation, the market's reaction to this price point might uncover growth opportunities, making it an appealing choice for investors interested in a company in transition. Currently, Lumen's stock shows above-average volatility, which can help investors time their trades. By using volatility indicators, traders can assess Lumen's risk compared to overall market trends. Increased volatility during bear markets can affect Lumen's stock price, often leading investors to adjust their portfolios as they respond to falling prices.Investing in Lumen Technologies presents a mixed bag of opportunities and risks as we head into September.
With a market value of 5 billion and an overall analyst consensus rating of "Hold," investors should approach this stock with caution. The estimated target price ranges from a low of 2.13 to a high of 2.6, suggesting limited upside potential in the near term. While the hype value stands at 5.43, indicating some investor interest, the reality is that Lumen's performance may not align with expectations. As the fiscal year ends in December, keeping an eye on upcoming developments will be crucial for those considering this stock. Balancing potential gains against the current valuation could lead to a more informed investment decision..

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Editorial Staff

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