Our current technical analysis of Hollyfrontier Corp (NYSE:HFC)

As many millenniums are trying to avoid energy space, it makes sense to go over Hollyfrontier Corp a little further and try to understand its current market patterns. As expected, Hollyfrontier Corp is starting to reaffirm its true potential as investors are becoming more and more confident in the future outlook. The returns on investing in Hollyfrontier Corp and the market returns of the last few months appear uncorrelated. Strong technical and fundamental indicators of the company may also suggest signals of long term gains for Hollyfrontier investors. Hollyfrontier Corp is scheduled to announce its earnings today. The next earnings report is expected on the 23rd of February 2022.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

Hollyfrontier Corp's average rating is Hold from 9 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Hollyfrontier Corp market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Hollyfrontier. Let us look at a few aspects of Hollyfrontier technical analysis. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. Hollyfrontier Corp has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.03. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.94. The firm next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 26th of February 2021. Hollyfrontier Corp had 1:1 split on the 22nd of August 2013.

How does HollyFrontier Stands against Peers?

Analyzing HollyFrontier competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to HollyFrontier across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be. Check out HollyFrontier Competition Details

Closer look at Hollyfrontier Corp Standard Deviation

Hollyfrontier Corp has current Standard Deviation of 2.3. The Standard Deviation is a measure of how spread out the prices or returns of an asset are on average. It is the most widely used risk indicator in the field of investing and finance. Standard Deviation is commonly used to measure confidence in statistical conclusions regarding certain equity instruments or portfolios of equities.
Standard deviation is applied to the annual rate of return of an investment to measure the investment's volatility. Standard deviation is also known as historical volatility and is used by investors as a gauge for the amount of expected market volatility. A large standard deviation usually indicates that the data points are far from the mean and a small standard deviation indicates that they are clustered closely around the mean.
Standard Deviation 
=  
SQRT(V) 
 = 
2.3
SQRT = Square root notation
V =   Variance of Hollyfrontier Corp returns
Let's now compare Hollyfrontier Corp Standard Deviation to its closest peers:
HFC
INT
NGL
CAPL
MITSY
HFC2.3001782326161364
INT2.36
NGL4.34
CAPL1.75
MITSY1.79

Hollyfrontier showing appearance of lower volatility

The semi variance is down to 3.48 as of today. Hollyfrontier Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.31 and kurtosis of 0.27. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Hollyfrontier Corp to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hollyfrontier Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hollyfrontier Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Hollyfrontier Corp Implied Volatility

Hollyfrontier Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hollyfrontier Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hollyfrontier Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hollyfrontier Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hollyfrontier Corp's options are near their expiration.

Our Final Perspective on Hollyfrontier Corp

Whereas some other companies under the oil & gas refining & marketing industry are still a bit expensive, Hollyfrontier Corp may offer a potential longer-term growth to investors. To conclude, as of the 3rd of November 2021, we believe that at this point, Hollyfrontier Corp is very steady with below average probability of distress within the next 2 years. From a slightly different point of view, the entity appears to be undervalued. Our concluding 90 days Buy-Hold-Sell recommendation on the company is Buy.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Gabriel Shpitalnik do not own shares of HollyFrontier. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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