Hollyfrontier Corp's average rating is Hold from 12 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Hollyfrontier Corp market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Hollyfrontier. Let us look at a few aspects of Hollyfrontier technical analysis. The company has Net Profit Margin of
(3.34) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of
2.69 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated 0.03 of operating income.
How does HollyFrontier Stands against Peers?
Analyzing HollyFrontier competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to HollyFrontier across multiple sectors and
thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be. Check out
HollyFrontier Competition DetailsCloser look at Hollyfrontier Corp Downside Variance
Hollyfrontier Corp has current Downside Variance of 7.92. Downside Variance (or DV) is measured by target semi-variance and is termed downside volatility. It is expressed in percentages and therefore allows for rankings in the same way as variance. One way to view downside volatility is the annualized variance of returns below the target.
Downside Variance is the probability-weighted squared below-target returns. The squaring of the below-target returns has the effect of penalizing failures at an exponential rate. This is consistent with observations made on the behavior of individual decision-making under.
Downside Variance | = | SUM(RET DEV)2 N(ER) |
| = | 7.92 |
| SUM | = | Summation notation |
| RET DEV | = | Actual returns deviation over selected period |
| N(ER) | = | Number of points with returns less than expected return for the period |
Let's now compare Hollyfrontier Corp Downside Variance to its closest peers:
| HFC | 7.92 |
| DK | 15.15 |
| CVI | 16.45 |
| CZZ | 9.78 |
Our Hollyfrontier analysis suggests possible reversion in March
The semi variance is down to 5.55 as of today. Hollyfrontier Corp currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.2 and Jensen Alpha of 0.72. However, we advise investors to further question Hollyfrontier Corp expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hollyfrontier Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hollyfrontier Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
Our Bottom Line On Hollyfrontier Corp
Whereas some other companies in the oil & gas refining & marketing industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Hollyfrontier may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. To summarize, as of the 24th of February 2021, we believe that at this point, Hollyfrontier Corp is
overvalued with
below average odds of financial turmoil within the next 2 years. However, our concluding buy-sell recommendation on the company is
Strong Buy.
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Raphi Shpitalnik is a Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Raphael is a young entrepreneur who joined Macroaxis on a part-time basis at the beginning of the pandemic and eventually acquired a real taste for investing and fintech. He likes to analyze different equity instruments across a wide range of industries, focusing primarily on consumer products, sports, fintech, cannabis, and AI.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of HollyFrontier. Please refer to our
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