Global Arena slips -4.87 percent albeit market build-up
 | By Ellen Johnson | Macroaxis Story |
Today post will go over Global Arena. I will look into why albeit cyclical Global Arena disturbance, the long term basic indicators of the company are still strong. Global Arena Holding is currently traded for0.004376. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.26. The firm is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 0.004548736842105263. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1696000.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 3.95% where as daily expected return is currently at 1.28%. The volatility of related hype on Global Arena is about 6281.48% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 0.26. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in a few days. What is Global Arena Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price? Depending on normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Arena to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 41.39%. The Global Arena Holding probability density function shows the probability of Global Arena Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days . Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Global Arena Holding has beta of -0.7078 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Global Arena are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Global Arena Holding is likely to outperform the market. Moreover, the company has an alpha of 1.5874 implying that it can potentially generate 1.5874% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
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Reviewed by Gabriel Shpitalnik
Global Arena holds performance score of 6 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains Market Volatility (i.e. Beta) of -0.7078 which attests that as returns on market increase, returns on owning Global Arena are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, Global Arena is likely to outperform the market. Although it is vital to follow to Global Arena Holding current price history, it is good to be conservative about what you can actually do with the information regarding equity current price movements. Macroaxis philosophy towards determining future performance of any stock is to look not only at its past charts but also at the business as a whole, including all fundamental and technical indicators. To evaluate if Global Arena Holding expected return of 1.2791 will be sustainable into the future, we have found twenty-one different technical indicators which can help you to check if the expected returns are sustainable. Use Global Arena Holding Value At Risk, Expected Short fall and the relationship between Treynor Ratio and Downside Variance to analyze future returns on Global Arena Holding. The successful prediction of Global Arena stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Global Arena Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Global Arena based on Global Arena hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Global Arena's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Global Arena's related companies.
A focus of Global Arena technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Global Arena trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...
Watch out for price decline
Please consider monitoring Global Arena on a daily basis if you are holding a position in it. Global Arena is trading at a penny-stock level, and the possibility of delisting is much higher compared to other pink sheets. However, just because the pink sheet is trading under one dollar, does not mean it will be marked for deletion. Most exchanges require public instruments, such as Global Arena stock to be traded above the $1 level to remain listed. If Global Arena pink sheet price falls below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days, the exchange can delist it. Once the company reaches this point, they will be sent an initial price violation notice directly from an exchange.
Use Technical Analysis to project Global expected Price
Global Arena technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
What is the case for Global Arena Investors
This firm currently falls under 'Nano-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 4.14M. The latest price spikes of Global Arena may raise some interest from investors. The Stock closed today at a share price of 0.0036 on 1598773.000 in trading volume. The company management were quite successful positioning the corporation components to exploit market volatility in June 2019. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 12.7171. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earning reports from some ot the Global Arena Holding partners. Global Arena maintains current valuation of 7.33m. Global Arena is trading at 0.004376 which is 4.87 percent decrease. Day Low was 0.0036. To conclude, our up-to-date buy vs hold vs sell advice on the company is Strong Sell. We believe Global Arena is overvalued with average chance of bankruptcy for the next two years.
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