With a Coefficient of Variation at
838.71 and a Mean Deviation of 1.01, Bank of America's stock shows a high level of volatility, indicating a potential pullback in June. Despite a promising EPS Estimate for the current quarter at $0.76, the high Beta of 1.388 suggests that the stock is more reactive to market volatility, which could lead to a potential downside.
Main Points
Approximately 13.0% of Bank of America's shares are owned by company insiders. This refers to the stake held by the bank's officers, directors, relatives of the leadership team, or any individuals with access to non-public information. These insider holdings can provide insights into the company's strategic direction. For our latest analysis of Bank of America, including detailed ownership information, click here.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as
predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of America. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the
market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Predictive Modules for Bank of America
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank of America. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank of America's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank of America's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank of America.
How important is Bank of America's Liquidity
Bank of America
financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Bank of America ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Bank of America financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Bank of America's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Bank of America's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the
breakdown between Bank of America's total debt and its cash.
Bank of America Gross Profit
Bank of America Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Bank of America previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Bank of America Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Bank of America's
gross profit and other
fundamental indicators for more details.
Breaking down Bank of America Indicators
Bank of America has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.12 and kurtosis of 0.41. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bank of America's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bank of America's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Margin Breakdown
0.31
Operating Profit Margin
| Pretax Profit Margin | 0.31 |
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.31 |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.17 |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.7 |
As the saying goes, "buy on the rumor, sell on the news." Bank of America (BAC) has been on a steady climb, with a 50-day moving average of $36.31 and a 200-day moving average of $31.79. However, with a PEG ratio of 3.69, which is higher than the industry average, and a probability of bankruptcy at 46.21%, the stock may be overvalued. The Wall Street target price is $37.09, slightly below the current price, indicating a potential pullback. Furthermore, the short ratio of 1.65X suggests that some investors are betting on a price decline. While the bank's net income of $26.52 billion and cash flow from operations of $44.98 billion are robust, investors should tread carefully in June..
Momentum Analysis of Bank of America suggests possible reversal in June
Recent analysis of Bank of America's stock indicates a potential upward shift in the coming month. The Value at Risk (VaR), a crucial risk measure, has fallen to -1.54, implying a reduced risk of potential loss. This decrease in VaR could hint at an upcoming positive change in the stock's performance. Investors should closely track these changes as they could signal a prime opportunity to benefit from a potential surge in Bank of America's stock in June. As of May 6th, Bank of America exhibits a Mean Deviation of 1.01, a risk-adjusted performance of 0.082, and a Downside Deviation of 1.27. The company's technical analysis allows the use of historical prices and volume patterns to predict future prices.
It's essential to verify Bank of America's maximum drawdown, semi-variance, and the relationship between the Jensen Alpha and potential upside to determine if the current market price of $37.25 per share is accurate.In conclusion, Bank of America (BAC) presents a compelling investment opportunity. Despite the potential for a slight pullback in June, the stock's fundamentals remain strong. The analyst overall consensus is a 'Buy', with
7 buys,
5 strong buys, and only 1 sell. The analyst target price estimated value stands at $32.07, with a possible upside price of $38.94, indicating a significant potential for growth. Even the possible downside price of $36.3 is above the current market value. Therefore, while short-term fluctuations are always possible, the long-term outlook for Bank of America remains positive..
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Aina Ster is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Aina delivers weekly perspective on ongoing market and economic trends, analysis and tips from predictive analysis to forecasting across various financial instruments.
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