Will Aspen sophisticated investors stop to sell in January?

Today's article will review Aspen. What exactly are Aspen shareholders getting in January? Aspen Group is presently traded for 2.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about -0.01. The firm is projected to decline in value after the next press release, with the price expected to drop to 2.75. The average volatility of headline impact on the company stock price is huge, making predictions on the news or social media along less reliable. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.83%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -1.02 percent. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected announcement will be in about 8 days.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Aspen has an asset utilization ratio of 1599.29 percent. This implies that the company is making $15.99 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Aspen Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (14.4) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (8.83) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of -0.09.
The successful prediction of Aspen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aspen Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aspen based on Aspen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Aspen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aspen's related companies.

Watch out for price decline

Please consider monitoring Aspen on a daily basis if you are holding a position in it. Aspen is trading at a penny-stock level, and the possibility of delisting is much higher compared to other pink sheets. However, just because the pink sheet is trading under one dollar, does not mean it will be marked for deletion. Most exchanges require public instruments, such as Aspen stock to be traded above the $1 level to remain listed. If Aspen pink sheet price falls below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days, the exchange can delist it. Once the company reaches this point, they will be sent an initial price violation notice directly from an exchange.

Use Technical Analysis to project Aspen expected Price

Aspen technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Aspen technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Aspen trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Going after Aspen Financials

Aspen Group reported the previous year's revenue of 72.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 52.54 M.

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Aspen Deferred Revenue yearly trend continues to be comparatively stable with very little volatility. Deferred Revenue will likely drop to about 4.1 M in 2021. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Aspen Deferred Revenue is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Aspen reported Deferred Revenue of 6.83 Million in 2020
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2014784,818
20151.01 Million
20161.35 Million
20171.81 Million
20182.46 Million
20193.71 Million
20206.83 Million
20214.14 Million

Our take on today Aspen drop

Aspen newest standard deviation boosts over 4.49. Aspen Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.22 and kurtosis of 3.98. However, we advise investors to further study Aspen Group technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aspen's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aspen's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Aspen Implied Volatility

Aspen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aspen Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aspen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aspen stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aspen's options are near their expiration.

Our Final Take On Aspen

Whereas other companies in the education & training services industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Aspen may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. With an impartial outlook on the current market volatility, it may be better to hold off any inventment activity and neither take in nor drop any shares of Aspen at this time. The Aspen Group risk-reward trade off is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Aspen.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Gabriel Shpitalnik do not own shares of Aspen Group. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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