Should you trade your AAR Corp (USA Stocks:AIR) positions in consequence of the latest analyst consensus?

AAR Corp (AIR), a key player in the Aerospace & Defense industry, presents a potential buying opportunity amidst the current market surge. Despite a challenging year with a net income loss from continuing operations of $1.9B, the company has shown resilience with a net income applicable to common shares of $90.2M. AAR Corp's enterprise value revenue stands at 1.0977, indicating a reasonable valuation. The company's risk-adjusted performance is 0.0874, reflecting a relatively stable investment. The stock's potential upside of 2.37, coupled with a maximum drawdown of 12.62, suggests a favorable risk-reward ratio. The company's short ratio of 2.39 and short percent of 0.0382 indicate a low level of short interest, which could be a positive sign. Furthermore, the company's quarterly revenue growth of 0.089 and operating income of $133.9M demonstrate its operational efficiency. Given these factors, AAR Corp could be a promising addition to your portfolio. AAR Corp is set to release its earnings report today, with the subsequent financial statement expected on July 16, 2024. Given the growing interest from retail investors in the aerospace and defense sector, it's pertinent to evaluate AAR Corp's prospects under current economic conditions. This article will explore why retail investors have overlooked this company since the onset of the recent economic scenario.
Published over six months ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

AAR Corp, with a performance score of 5 out of 100, demonstrates a low market volatility, indicated by its Beta of 0.0295. This suggests minimal fluctuations relative to the market. When the market rises, AAR Corp's returns are likely to increase, but at a slower pace. Conversely, in a bear market, losses from holding AAR Corp are expected to be less severe. Currently, AAR Corp presents a risk factor of 1.45%. It's crucial to validate AAR Corp's maximum drawdown and the correlation between the expected shortfall and the day median price. This information will help determine if AAR Corp is likely to follow its typical price patterns.

Top Findings

As an aerospace and defense industry player, AAR Corp (USA Stocks:AIR) presents an attractive investment opportunity, especially considering its promising Jensen Alpha of 0.2029 and a Potential Upside of 2.37%. These indicators suggest that the stock is poised to outperform the market, potentially providing a higher return on investment. Despite a maximum drawdown of 12.62%, the company's resilience is demonstrated by its 200 Day Moving Average of $63.00, indicating a stable performance over a longer-term period. Investors seeking to diversify their portfolio within the aerospace and defense sector should consider capitalizing on this potential buying opportunity.
What is the right price you would pay to acquire a share of AAR Corp? For most investors, it would be the price that gives them a wide margin of safety to have minimal downside risk. In other words, most investors are always looking for undervalued stocks. Even if the future performance is not entirely as expected, the loss of holding it is minimized, and the downside risk is negated. Please read more on our stock advisor page.

What is happening with AAR Corp this year

Annual and quarterly reports issued by AAR Corp are formal financial statements that are published yearly and quarterly and sent to AAR stockholders. The reports show and break down the current year's ongoing operations and discuss plans for the upcoming year. Annual reports have been a requirement from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for businesses owned by the public since 1934.
Companies such as AAR Corp often view their annual report as an effective marketing tool to disseminate their perspective on company future earnings or innovations. With this in mind, many companies devote large sums of money to making their reports attractive and informative. In such instances, the annual report becomes a forum through which a company can communicate to the general public any number of topics that may or may not be directly related to the actual data published in the reports.

AAR Corp Gross Profit

AAR Corp Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing AAR Corp previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show AAR Corp Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check AAR Corp's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Is AAR a risky opportunity?

Let's check the volatility. AAR is looking slightly risky at this time. Whether you invest your money or manage your clients' funds, remember that it is easy to forget that behind AAR (USA Stocks:AIR) stock is an actual business venture. So, do not let stock picking become an abstract concept by ignoring the elementary risk calculations. buying a share of an AAR Corp stock makes you a part-owner of that company.

AAR Corp Current Consensus

Here is the latest trade recommendation based on an ongoing consensus estimate among financial analysis covering AAR Corp. The AAR consensus assessment is calculated by taking the average estimates from all of the analysts covering AAR Corp.
Strong Buy
5
Buy
1
Strong Buy583.33
Buy116.67
Hold00.0
Sell00.0
Strong Sell00.0
As the saying goes, 'buy low, sell high', AAR Corp (AIR) seems to be presenting a potential buying opportunity amidst the current market surge. Despite the market's volatility, the company's strong fundamentals, such as a healthy current ratio of 2.89X and a low debt to equity ratio of 0.16%, indicate a robust financial position. With a market capitalization of $2.55B and a positive net income of $89.8M, the company's financial health appears stable. Furthermore, the company's shares are primarily owned by institutions, accounting for 94.05% of the total shares, which often signifies confidence in the company's future prospects. Therefore, considering these factors, AAR Corp (AIR) could be an attractive investment opportunity.

AAR Corp has a small chance to finish above $73 in 2 months

AAR Corp, a prominent player in the aviation services sector, currently offers a modest potential upside of 2.37, indicating a slight chance of the stock surpassing the $73 mark in the next two months. However, investors should tread carefully as the scope for significant gains seems limited. It's vital to keep a close eye on market trends and the company's performance to make informed investment decisions. As of May 16, 2024, AAR Corp's technical analysis, which includes a Semi Deviation of 1.36, mean deviation of 1.17, and Coefficient Of Variation of 785.43, provides a method to use historical prices and volume patterns to predict future prices. We've analyzed data for 19 technical drivers for AAR Corp, which can be compared to its peers. Please verify AAR Corp's standard deviation, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to determine if the current market price of $71.95 per share is fair.
With a Jensen Alpha of 0.2029, it's recommended to assess AAR Corp's current market performance to ensure its future sustainability.Despite the recent slump of AAR Corp (USA Stocks:AIR), it is important to consider the potential for growth. With a valuation real value at $68.69 and a naive expected forecast value of $70.66, the stock exhibits promising potential for appreciation. The possible upside price of $72.11 further emphasizes this potential. Moreover, with 5 strong buy recommendations from analysts, there is a strong consensus that AAR Corp is a valuable investment. However, investors should also consider the possible downside price of $69.21. In conclusion, despite the recent slump, AAR Corp's stock presents an attractive investment opportunity based on its potential for growth and strong buy recommendations from analysts..

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Nico Santiago do not own shares of AAR Corp. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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