From a technical perspective, Aeterna Zentaris (AEZS) appears to be a risky investment, as evidenced by its high Beta of
2.07 and significant Maximum Drawdown of
298.6. However, the stock's Potential Upside of
8.5 and 50 Day Moving Average of
8.00 suggest some potential for future gains, despite a recent Price Percent Change of
-2.99.
Main Points
Aeterna Zentaris stock has an average 'Buy' rating from one analyst. This consensus may be based on technical analysis, which typically uses price momentum, patterns, and trends from historical prices. The goal is to identify signals reflecting the market sentiment of Aeterna Zentaris investors, which is their perception of the company's future value. Let's examine some aspects of Aeterna's technical analysis.
Using predictive
technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and
diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AEZS Old. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing AEZS Old stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build AEZS Old's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as
momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional
technical analysis and
fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of
AEZS Old's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for AEZS Old, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect AEZS Old price patterns. Please read more on our
technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AEZS Old. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AEZS Old's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AEZS Old's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AEZS Old.
How does AEZS Stands against Peers?
Analyzing AEZS Old competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to AEZS Old across multiple sectors and
thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be. Check out
AEZS Old Competition DetailsCloser look at Aeterna Zentaris Semi Variance
Aeterna Zentaris has current Semi Variance of 106.0. Semi-variance provides a good measure of downside volatility for equity or a portfolio. It is similar to variance, but it only looks at periods where the returns are less than the target or average level.
Semi-variance is the square of semi-deviation.
Semi-variance is calculated by averaging the deviations of returns that have a result that is less than the mean.
Semi Variance | = | SUM(RET DEV)2N(ZERO) |
| = | 106.0 |
| SUM | = | Summation notation |
| RET DEV | = | Actual return deviation over selected period |
| N(ZERO) | = | Number of points with returns less than zero |
Let's now compare Aeterna Zentaris Semi Variance to its closest peers:
| AEZS | 106 |
| PULM | 7.9 |
| ONTX | 0.91 |
| CBIO | 29.74 |
| ADIL | 57.31 |
"Buy low, sell high" is a classic investment adage that could potentially apply to Aeterna Zentaris (AEZS). Despite a 52-week low of $1.36, the stock has shown considerable resilience with a current typical day price of $7.96, and a Wall Street target price of $15, indicating a potential upside of 8.5. The company's financial health is robust, with a current ratio of 9.86X, indicating its ability to meet short-term obligations. However, investors should be cautious of the high beta of 2.07, suggesting the stock is more volatile than the market. Despite a net income loss of $16.6M from continuing operations, the company's strong working capital of $31.83M and zero debt to equity ratio could make AEZS a promising investment opportunity..
How will Aeterna private investors react to the next drop?
Aeterna Zentaris' stock has shown a significant decrease in its coefficient of variation, now at 1066.44, indicating reduced volatility and risk. This could potentially attract private investors. However, they should remain alert to any potential downturn that could trigger a sell-off. Despite the reduced volatility, the stock's performance should be closely monitored. Aeterna Zentaris has demonstrated high volatility of returns over the selected period. Understanding market volatility trends can help investors time the market.
Using volatility indicators properly allows traders to measure Aeterna Zentaris' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The increased volatility in bear markets can directly affect Aeterna Zentaris' stock price and stress investors as they see their shares' value drop, often leading them to rebalance their portfolios by purchasing different financial instruments as prices fall.In conclusion, Aeterna Zentaris, despite a market gain, has seen a reset of over 2 percent. However, with a valuation market value of
7.8 and a valuation real value of
12.48, the stock still holds potential. The analyst overall consensus leans towards a 'Buy' with one analyst recommending a buy. The possible upside price stands at 48.83, which is significantly higher than the possible downside price of 0.078. The naive expected forecast value is 11.11, indicating a potential for growth. Therefore, investors should consider the potential upside and analyst recommendations when making their investment decisions..
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Ellen Johnson is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Ellen covers public companies in North America, focusing primarily on valuation and volatility. Six years of experience in predictive investment analytics and risk management.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of AEZS Old. Please refer to our
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