Willdan Group Stock Beneish M Score

WLDN Stock  USD 36.60  0.53  1.43%   
This module uses fundamental data of Willdan to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Willdan M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Willdan Piotroski F Score and Willdan Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Willdan's Interest Debt Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 8th of January 2025, Debt To Assets is likely to grow to 0.26, while Short Term Debt is likely to drop about 8.3 M. At this time, Willdan's EV To Sales is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 8th of January 2025, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 13.05, while PTB Ratio is likely to drop 2.45.
At this time, it appears that Willdan Group is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Willdan's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Willdan executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Willdan's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.65
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.07

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Willdan Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Willdan's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables198.9 M189.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue615.9 M586.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets501.8 M477.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets231.9 M220.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total270 M257.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment42.2 M40.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative170.6 M162.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities138.5 M131.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total122 M116.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt8.3 M16.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt107.4 M102.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.470.44
Notably Up
Pretty Stable

Willdan Group Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Willdan's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Willdan in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Willdan's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Willdan Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

19.84 Million

At this time, Willdan's Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

Willdan Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Willdan. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables115.5M126.5M148.0M164.7M189.4M198.9M
Total Revenue391.0M353.8M429.1M510.1M586.6M615.9M
Total Assets410.3M394.4M409.7M415.6M477.9M501.8M
Total Current Assets163.2M149.0M174.0M192.0M220.8M231.9M
Net Debt106.7M107.0M114.6M90.7M104.3M109.5M
Short Term Debt21.7M27.3M22.6M14.2M16.3M8.3M
Long Term Debt98.2M85.5M90.5M89.0M102.3M107.4M
Operating Income(14.6M)(8.5M)(6.1M)22.1M19.9M20.9M
Investments(5.1M)(8.5M)(9.5M)(11.7M)(13.5M)(14.2M)

Willdan ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Willdan's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Willdan's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Willdan Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Willdan Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Willdan using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Willdan Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Willdan

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Willdan position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Willdan will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Willdan Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Willdan could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Willdan when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Willdan - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Willdan Group to buy it.
The correlation of Willdan is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Willdan moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Willdan Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Willdan can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Willdan Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Willdan's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Willdan Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Willdan Group Stock:
Check out Willdan Piotroski F Score and Willdan Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Research & Consulting Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Willdan. If investors know Willdan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Willdan listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.636
Earnings Share
1.64
Revenue Per Share
42.175
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.192
Return On Assets
0.0475
The market value of Willdan Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Willdan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Willdan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Willdan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Willdan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Willdan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Willdan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Willdan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Willdan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.