Vanguard Health Care Fund Chance Of Distress

VGHCX Fund  USD 184.22  2.15  1.18%   
Vanguard Health's odds of distress is under 21% at this time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial trouble in the near future. Chance of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vanguard Health Care. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
  

Vanguard Health Care Mutual Fund chance of distress Analysis

Vanguard Health's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Vanguard Health Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 21%  
Most of Vanguard Health's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Vanguard Health Care is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Vanguard Health probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Vanguard Health odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Vanguard Health Care financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Vanguard Health Care has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 21.0%. This is much higher than that of the Vanguard family and significantly higher than that of the Health category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.

Vanguard Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Vanguard Health's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the mutual funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Vanguard Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vanguard Health by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Vanguard Health is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy among similar funds.

Vanguard Fundamentals

About Vanguard Health Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Vanguard Health Care's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Vanguard Health using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vanguard Health Care based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Health security.
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