Ulta Beauty Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

ULTA Stock

USD 375.25 14.78 4.10%

Ulta Beauty's likelihood of distress is under 6% at this time. It has tiny risk of undergoing some form of financial crisis in the near future. Chance of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Ulta balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Ulta Beauty Piotroski F Score and Ulta Beauty Altman Z Score analysis.

For information on how to trade Ulta Stock refer to our How to Trade Ulta Stock guide.

Ulta Beauty Company chance of distress Analysis

Ulta Beauty's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Ulta Beauty Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 6%

Most of Ulta Beauty's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Ulta Beauty is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Ulta Beauty probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Ulta Beauty odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Ulta Beauty financial health.

Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ulta Beauty. If investors know Ulta will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ulta Beauty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.12)

Earnings Share

24.91

Revenue Per Share

234.543

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.009

Return On Assets

0.1791

The market value of Ulta Beauty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ulta that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ulta Beauty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ulta Beauty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ulta Beauty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ulta Beauty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Common Stock	Current Deferred Revenue	Short Term Debt	Net Tangible Assets	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Short Term Investments	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Good Will	Capital Stock	Intangible Assets
Total Assets		0.92	0.85	0.98	0.98	0.85	0.98	0.96	0.15	0.94	0.85	0.87	0.91	-0.63	-0.8	0.7	0.08	0.59	-0.01	-0.53	-0.79	-0.87
Total Stockholder Equity	0.92		0.58	0.82	0.96	0.98	0.9	0.84	0.38	0.79	0.72	0.94	0.83	-0.3	-0.86	0.61	-0.12	0.6	0.16	-0.51	-0.64	-0.67
Net Debt	0.85	0.58		0.92	0.73	0.48	0.8	0.83	-0.19	0.87	0.72	0.57	0.75	-0.89	-0.54	0.59	0.33	0.44	-0.28	-0.42	-0.74	-0.85
Total Liab	0.98	0.82	0.92		0.93	0.73	0.96	0.96	0.03	0.97	0.87	0.79	0.89	-0.76	-0.73	0.7	0.17	0.56	-0.1	-0.51	-0.81	-0.91
Total Current Assets	0.98	0.96	0.73	0.93		0.9	0.97	0.95	0.26	0.91	0.86	0.9	0.91	-0.5	-0.83	0.69	0.03	0.59	0.06	-0.53	-0.76	-0.83
Retained Earnings	0.85	0.98	0.48	0.73	0.9		0.82	0.75	0.39	0.69	0.6	0.94	0.75	-0.18	-0.86	0.56	-0.25	0.6	0.25	-0.46	-0.53	-0.55
Accounts Payable	0.98	0.9	0.8	0.96	0.97	0.82		0.99	0.12	0.95	0.86	0.86	0.92	-0.56	-0.84	0.74	0.06	0.49	-0.09	-0.48	-0.76	-0.85
Net Receivables	0.96	0.84	0.83	0.96	0.95	0.75	0.99		0.06	0.96	0.89	0.81	0.9	-0.63	-0.79	0.79	0.09	0.46	-0.12	-0.48	-0.78	-0.89
Common Stock	0.15	0.38	-0.19	0.03	0.26	0.39	0.12	0.06		-0.05	0.22	0.24	0.07	0.3	-0.21	0.12	-0.17	-0.06	0.02	0.0	0.07	0.1
Current Deferred Revenue	0.94	0.79	0.87	0.97	0.91	0.69	0.95	0.96	-0.05		0.86	0.73	0.88	-0.73	-0.66	0.61	0.24	0.6	-0.02	-0.62	-0.89	-0.95
Short Term Debt	0.85	0.72	0.72	0.87	0.86	0.6	0.86	0.89	0.22	0.86		0.68	0.87	-0.66	-0.57	0.67	0.24	0.46	-0.04	-0.39	-0.73	-0.88
Net Tangible Assets	0.87	0.94	0.57	0.79	0.9	0.94	0.86	0.81	0.24	0.73	0.68		0.89	-0.26	-0.89	0.63	-0.21	0.57	0.14	-0.29	-0.48	-0.59
Capital Surpluse	0.91	0.83	0.75	0.89	0.91	0.75	0.92	0.9	0.07	0.88	0.87	0.89		-0.54	-0.75	0.62	0.13	0.56	-0.03	-0.35	-0.67	-0.82
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.63	-0.3	-0.89	-0.76	-0.5	-0.18	-0.56	-0.63	0.3	-0.73	-0.66	-0.26	-0.54		0.17	-0.42	-0.47	-0.44	0.16	0.42	0.7	0.81
Treasury Stock	-0.8	-0.86	-0.54	-0.73	-0.83	-0.86	-0.84	-0.79	-0.21	-0.66	-0.57	-0.89	-0.75	0.17		-0.72	0.31	-0.26	0.12	0.18	0.4	0.49
Property Plant Equipment	0.7	0.61	0.59	0.7	0.69	0.56	0.74	0.79	0.12	0.61	0.67	0.63	0.62	-0.42	-0.72		-0.26	0.07	-0.26	-0.1	-0.34	-0.52
Short Term Investments	0.08	-0.12	0.33	0.17	0.03	-0.25	0.06	0.09	-0.17	0.24	0.24	-0.21	0.13	-0.47	0.31	-0.26		0.03	-0.32	-0.34	-0.49	-0.42
Net Invested Capital	0.59	0.6	0.44	0.56	0.59	0.6	0.49	0.46	-0.06	0.6	0.46	0.57	0.56	-0.44	-0.26	0.07	0.03		0.7	-0.66	-0.62	-0.62
Net Working Capital	-0.01	0.16	-0.28	-0.1	0.06	0.25	-0.09	-0.12	0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.14	-0.03	0.16	0.12	-0.26	-0.32	0.7		-0.35	-0.08	-0.01
Good Will	-0.53	-0.51	-0.42	-0.51	-0.53	-0.46	-0.48	-0.48	0.0	-0.62	-0.39	-0.29	-0.35	0.42	0.18	-0.1	-0.34	-0.66	-0.35		0.86	0.69
Capital Stock	-0.79	-0.64	-0.74	-0.81	-0.76	-0.53	-0.76	-0.78	0.07	-0.89	-0.73	-0.48	-0.67	0.7	0.4	-0.34	-0.49	-0.62	-0.08	0.86		0.95
Intangible Assets	-0.87	-0.67	-0.85	-0.91	-0.83	-0.55	-0.85	-0.89	0.1	-0.95	-0.88	-0.59	-0.82	0.81	0.49	-0.52	-0.42	-0.62	-0.01	0.69	0.95

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Net Debt	1.5B	850.8M	1.4B	1.2B	1.1B	1.2B
Total Current Liabilities	1.1B	1.3B	1.6B	1.7B	1.7B	1.7B
Non Current Liabilities Total	1.8B	1.7B	1.7B	1.7B	1.8B	1.9B
Total Assets	4.9B	5.1B	4.8B	5.4B	5.7B	6.0B
Total Current Assets	2.1B	2.5B	2.3B	2.7B	2.8B	3.0B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	1.1B	810.4M	1.1B	1.5B	1.5B	1.6B

	Return On Equity	0.55
	Return On Asset	0.18
	Profit Margin	0.11 %
	Operating Margin	0.13 %
	Current Valuation	18.6 B
	Shares Outstanding	47.11 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.28 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	92.93 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	2.46 M
	Price To Earning	20.61 X
	Price To Book	7.28 X
	Price To Sales	1.50 X
	Revenue	11.21 B
	Gross Profit	4.04 B
	EBITDA	1.94 B
	Net Income	1.29 B
	Cash And Equivalents	434.23 M
	Cash Per Share	8.48 X
	Total Debt	1.91 B
	Debt To Equity	1.05 %
	Current Ratio	1.63 X
	Book Value Per Share	49.64 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	1.48 B
	Short Ratio	2.74 X
	Earnings Per Share	24.91 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	2.36 X
	Target Price	397.0
	Number Of Employees	20 K
	Beta	1.33
	Market Capitalization	16.98 B
	Total Asset	5.71 B
	Retained Earnings	1.29 B
	Working Capital	1.18 B
	Current Asset	1.38 B
	Current Liabilities	396.23 M
	Net Asset	5.71 B

Ulta Beauty Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Ulta Beauty Company chance of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Ulta Beauty Probability Of Bankruptcy

Ulta Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Ulta Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Ulta Beauty Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Ulta Beauty ESG Sustainability

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