Shake Shack Stock Beneish M Score

SHAK Stock  USD 132.35  0.26  0.20%   
This module uses fundamental data of Shake Shack to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Shake Shack M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Shake Shack Piotroski F Score and Shake Shack Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Shake Stock please use our How to buy in Shake Stock guide.
  
At this time, Shake Shack's Debt To Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Total Debt To Capitalization is expected to rise to 0.76 this year, although the value of Long Term Debt Total will most likely fall to about 4 M. At this time, Shake Shack's ROE is quite stable compared to the past year. PE Ratio is expected to rise to 255.54 this year, although Book Value Per Share will most likely fall to 1.07.
At this time, it appears that Shake Shack is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Shake Shack's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Shake Shack executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Shake Shack's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-4.28
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.49

Focus
Asset Quality

0.14

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.7

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.05

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.7

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

2.08

Focus

Shake Shack Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Shake Shack's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables8.7 M16.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue1.1 B1.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets811.5 M1.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets351.2 M334.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total648.6 M1.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment563.9 M537.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization97.7 M93 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative92.2 M126.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities172.3 M164.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities TotalB972.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt35.5 M52.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt257.9 M245.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities138.7 M132.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments53.9 M68.6 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.480.4581
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Shake Shack Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Shake Shack's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Shake Shack in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Shake Shack's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Shake Shack Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

97.69 Million

At this time, Shake Shack's Depreciation And Amortization is quite stable compared to the past year.

Shake Shack Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Shake Shack. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables10.0M9.5M13.7M12.2M16.8M8.7M
Total Revenue594.5M522.9M739.9M900.5M1.1B1.1B
Total Assets968.3M1.1B1.5B1.5B1.6B811.5M
Total Current Assets87.7M203.2M409.7M344.0M334.4M351.2M
Net Debt303.3M238.1M383.8M483.5M546.7M574.0M
Short Term Debt31.9M37.7M38.2M44.8M52.4M35.5M
Operating Income25.7M(34.5M)(14.1M)(20.3M)5.9M5.1M
Investments25.8M(359K)(43.4M)(143.4M)(174.5M)(165.8M)

Shake Shack ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Shake Shack's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Shake Shack's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Shake Shack Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Shake Shack's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Shake Shack using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shake Shack based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Shake Shack is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Shake Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Shake Shack Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Shake Shack Stock:
Check out Shake Shack Piotroski F Score and Shake Shack Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Shake Stock please use our How to buy in Shake Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shake Shack. If investors know Shake will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shake Shack listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.397
Earnings Share
0.2
Revenue Per Share
30.494
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.147
Return On Assets
0.0102
The market value of Shake Shack is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shake that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shake Shack's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shake Shack's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shake Shack's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shake Shack's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shake Shack's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shake Shack is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shake Shack's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.