Novavax Stock Z Score

NVAX Stock

USD 9.11 0.09 1.00%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Novavax Piotroski F Score and Novavax Valuation analysis.

For more information on how to buy Novavax Stock please use our How to Invest in Novavax guide.

At this time, Novavax's Capital Surpluse is fairly stable compared to the past year. Capital Lease Obligations is likely to rise to about 63.1 M in 2024, despite the fact that Net Invested Capital is likely to grow to (521.5 M). At this time, Novavax's Reconciled Depreciation is fairly stable compared to the past year.

Novavax Company Z Score Analysis

Novavax's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Novavax Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Novavax is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Novavax Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Novavax's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Novavax's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Novavax's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Net Receivables	Intangible Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Good Will	Short Term Investments	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		-0.55	-0.89	-0.91	0.93	0.96	0.99	0.88	-0.46	0.63	-0.37	0.33	-0.98	0.87	0.77	0.96	-0.19	-0.62	0.47	0.94	-0.21	0.67	-0.41	-0.61	-0.78
Total Stockholder Equity	-0.55		0.42	0.79	-0.72	-0.76	-0.48	-0.4	0.35	0.0	0.15	-0.19	0.67	-0.74	-0.3	-0.46	0.71	0.99	-0.27	-0.68	0.13	-0.59	0.92	0.93	0.45
Net Debt	-0.89	0.42		0.69	-0.83	-0.83	-0.91	-0.76	0.23	-0.57	0.46	-0.03	0.87	-0.66	-0.85	-0.76	0.23	0.5	-0.18	-0.72	-0.02	-0.35	0.34	0.58	0.58
Retained Earnings	-0.91	0.79	0.69		-0.93	-0.97	-0.85	-0.77	0.5	-0.41	0.28	-0.33	0.95	-0.97	-0.54	-0.89	0.38	0.83	-0.52	-0.98	0.25	-0.79	0.68	0.78	0.77
Accounts Payable	0.93	-0.72	-0.83	-0.93		0.96	0.89	0.68	-0.41	0.6	-0.36	0.17	-0.96	0.93	0.57	0.87	-0.32	-0.77	0.39	0.91	-0.16	0.63	-0.59	-0.82	-0.71
Total Liab	0.96	-0.76	-0.83	-0.97	0.96		0.93	0.82	-0.47	0.49	-0.34	0.32	-0.98	0.93	0.69	0.9	-0.38	-0.81	0.46	0.96	-0.21	0.72	-0.63	-0.78	-0.76
Total Current Assets	0.99	-0.48	-0.91	-0.85	0.89	0.93		0.87	-0.45	0.67	-0.38	0.36	-0.95	0.8	0.83	0.93	-0.16	-0.57	0.47	0.89	-0.21	0.63	-0.32	-0.54	-0.76
Net Receivables	0.88	-0.4	-0.76	-0.77	0.68	0.82	0.87		-0.38	0.35	-0.43	0.31	-0.85	0.74	0.78	0.87	-0.15	-0.45	0.34	0.85	-0.14	0.6	-0.34	-0.36	-0.72
Intangible Assets	-0.46	0.35	0.23	0.5	-0.41	-0.47	-0.45	-0.38		-0.29	0.08	-0.53	0.44	-0.43	-0.29	-0.52	-0.12	0.36	-0.64	-0.53	0.53	-0.59	0.22	0.28	0.49
Short Term Debt	0.63	0.0	-0.57	-0.41	0.6	0.49	0.67	0.35	-0.29		-0.32	0.37	-0.55	0.41	0.42	0.63	0.17	-0.12	0.34	0.48	-0.14	0.42	0.28	-0.12	-0.56
Common Stock	-0.37	0.15	0.46	0.28	-0.36	-0.34	-0.38	-0.43	0.08	-0.32		0.09	0.43	-0.3	-0.33	-0.34	0.22	0.2	0.25	-0.32	-0.27	-0.14	0.05	0.17	0.63
Long Term Debt	0.33	-0.19	-0.03	-0.33	0.17	0.32	0.36	0.31	-0.53	0.37	0.09		-0.24	0.15	0.37	0.36	-0.08	-0.25	0.67	0.35	-0.47	0.68	0.11	0.03	-0.48
Treasury Stock	-0.98	0.67	0.87	0.95	-0.96	-0.98	-0.95	-0.85	0.44	-0.55	0.43	-0.24		-0.93	-0.7	-0.93	0.31	0.73	-0.39	-0.96	0.15	-0.67	0.54	0.72	0.77
Property Plant Equipment	0.87	-0.74	-0.66	-0.97	0.93	0.93	0.8	0.74	-0.43	0.41	-0.3	0.15	-0.93		0.41	0.89	-0.28	-0.75	0.4	0.96	-0.18	0.68	-0.67	-0.76	-0.69
Current Deferred Revenue	0.77	-0.3	-0.85	-0.54	0.57	0.69	0.83	0.78	-0.29	0.42	-0.33	0.37	-0.7	0.41		0.63	-0.23	-0.4	0.31	0.58	-0.12	0.41	-0.17	-0.33	-0.54
Good Will	0.96	-0.46	-0.76	-0.89	0.87	0.9	0.93	0.87	-0.52	0.63	-0.34	0.36	-0.93	0.89	0.63		-0.08	-0.52	0.51	0.96	-0.21	0.73	-0.33	-0.49	-0.81
Short Term Investments	-0.19	0.71	0.23	0.38	-0.32	-0.38	-0.16	-0.15	-0.12	0.17	0.22	-0.08	0.31	-0.28	-0.23	-0.08		0.73	0.25	-0.25	-0.42	-0.34	0.62	0.6	0.25
Net Tangible Assets	-0.62	0.99	0.5	0.83	-0.77	-0.81	-0.57	-0.45	0.36	-0.12	0.2	-0.25	0.73	-0.75	-0.4	-0.52	0.73		-0.29	-0.72	0.11	-0.65	0.86	0.93	0.53
Long Term Debt Total	0.47	-0.27	-0.18	-0.52	0.39	0.46	0.47	0.34	-0.64	0.34	0.25	0.67	-0.39	0.4	0.31	0.51	0.25	-0.29		0.53	-0.82	0.62	-0.15	-0.23	-0.47
Capital Surpluse	0.94	-0.68	-0.72	-0.98	0.91	0.96	0.89	0.85	-0.53	0.48	-0.32	0.35	-0.96	0.96	0.58	0.96	-0.25	-0.72	0.53		-0.26	0.79	-0.57	-0.67	-0.81
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.21	0.13	-0.02	0.25	-0.16	-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	0.53	-0.14	-0.27	-0.47	0.15	-0.18	-0.12	-0.21	-0.42	0.11	-0.82	-0.26		-0.33	0.07	0.09	0.17
Short Long Term Debt	0.67	-0.59	-0.35	-0.79	0.63	0.72	0.63	0.6	-0.59	0.42	-0.14	0.68	-0.67	0.68	0.41	0.73	-0.34	-0.65	0.62	0.79	-0.33		-0.36	-0.43	-0.77
Net Invested Capital	-0.41	0.92	0.34	0.68	-0.59	-0.63	-0.32	-0.34	0.22	0.28	0.05	0.11	0.54	-0.67	-0.17	-0.33	0.62	0.86	-0.15	-0.57	0.07	-0.36		0.9	0.26
Net Working Capital	-0.61	0.93	0.58	0.78	-0.82	-0.78	-0.54	-0.36	0.28	-0.12	0.17	0.03	0.72	-0.76	-0.33	-0.49	0.6	0.93	-0.23	-0.67	0.09	-0.43	0.9		0.41
Capital Stock	-0.78	0.45	0.58	0.77	-0.71	-0.76	-0.76	-0.72	0.49	-0.56	0.63	-0.48	0.77	-0.69	-0.54	-0.81	0.25	0.53	-0.47	-0.81	0.17	-0.77	0.26	0.41

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To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict Novavax

Based on the company's disclosures, Novavax has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Biotechnology sector and 100.0% lower than that of the Health Care industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Novavax ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Novavax's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Novavax's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Novavax Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Novavax that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Novavax's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Novavax's value.

		Shares
Jane Street Group Llc	2024-06-30	1.9 M
Millennium Management Llc	2024-09-30	1.8 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts	2024-09-30	1.6 M
Northern Trust Corp	2024-09-30	1.4 M
Tsp Capital Management Group/llc	2024-09-30	1.4 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc	2024-09-30	1.3 M
Sg Americas Securities, Llc	2024-09-30	1.2 M
Citigroup Inc	2024-09-30	1.1 M
Bank Of America Corp	2024-09-30	1.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc	2024-09-30	15.4 M
Blackrock Inc	2024-06-30	11.8 M

Novavax Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	-8.98
	Return On Asset	-0.11
	Profit Margin	(0.32) %
	Operating Margin	(1.54) %
	Current Valuation	783.06 M
	Shares Outstanding	160.18 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	4.37 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	60.31 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	39.78 M
	Price To Earning	(1.36) X
	Price To Book	49.52 X
	Price To Sales	1.65 X
	Revenue	983.71 M
	Gross Profit	(156.04 M)
	EBITDA	(487.39 M)
	Net Income	(545.06 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	1.28 B
	Cash Per Share	16.31 X
	Total Debt	229.08 M
	Debt To Equity	8.24 %
	Current Ratio	1.05 X
	Book Value Per Share	(3.29) X
	Cash Flow From Operations	(713.97 M)
	Short Ratio	7.26 X
	Earnings Per Share	(2.18) X
	Target Price	16.0
	Number Of Employees	1.54 K
	Beta	2.09
	Market Capitalization	1.46 B
	Total Asset	1.8 B
	Retained Earnings	(4.82 B)
	Working Capital	(491.25 M)
	Current Asset	287.26 M
	Current Liabilities	76.49 M
	Net Asset	1.8 B

About Novavax Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Novavax's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Novavax using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Novavax based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Novavax Stock Analysis

When running Novavax's price analysis, check to measure Novavax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Novavax is operating at the current time. Most of Novavax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Novavax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Novavax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Novavax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Novavax Stock Z Score

Novavax Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Novavax Z Score Driver Correlations

Novavax ESG Sustainability

Novavax Institutional Holders

Novavax Fundamentals

About Novavax Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

Additional Tools for Novavax Stock Analysis

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