Microsoft Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

MSFT Stock

USD 423.46 0.47 0.11%

Microsoft's threat of distress is under 6% at this time. It has tiny chance of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate Microsoft's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Microsoft balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Microsoft Piotroski F Score and Microsoft Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Microsoft Stock please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.

Market Cap is likely to gain to about 1.9 T in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 2 T in 2024

Microsoft Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Microsoft's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Microsoft Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 6%

Most of Microsoft's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Microsoft is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Microsoft probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Microsoft odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Microsoft financial health.

Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Microsoft. If investors know Microsoft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Microsoft listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.104

Dividend Share

3.08

Earnings Share

12.1

Revenue Per Share

34.202

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.16

The market value of Microsoft is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Microsoft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Microsoft's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Microsoft's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Microsoft's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Microsoft's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Microsoft's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Microsoft is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Microsoft's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Microsoft Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Microsoft is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Microsoft Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Microsoft's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Microsoft's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Microsoft's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Cash And Equivalents	Property Plant Equipment	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Accounts Payable	Common Stock	Short Term Investments	Current Deferred Revenue	Good Will	Long Term Debt	Long Term Debt Total	Net Tangible Assets	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Capital Surpluse	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.96	0.73	0.91	0.99	0.96	0.78	0.92	0.95	0.66	0.88	0.98	0.7	0.22	0.99	0.96	0.49	0.62	0.86	-0.44	0.19	-0.65	0.84	0.83	-0.72	0.86
Total Stockholder Equity	0.96		0.55	0.97	0.98	0.84	0.61	0.96	0.97	0.63	0.91	0.97	0.62	-0.03	0.96	0.97	0.24	0.39	0.96	-0.47	0.41	-0.48	0.83	0.88	-0.84	0.94
Net Debt	0.73	0.55		0.48	0.62	0.85	0.74	0.52	0.55	0.72	0.7	0.61	0.48	0.57	0.7	0.68	0.83	0.85	0.34	-0.08	-0.2	-0.7	0.45	0.41	-0.37	0.41
Retained Earnings	0.91	0.97	0.48		0.93	0.76	0.45	0.96	0.97	0.59	0.9	0.93	0.45	-0.21	0.9	0.97	0.12	0.29	0.97	-0.53	0.45	-0.4	0.83	0.91	-0.9	0.98
Net Receivables	0.99	0.98	0.62	0.93		0.91	0.73	0.93	0.97	0.57	0.86	0.99	0.69	0.12	0.98	0.96	0.38	0.53	0.91	-0.53	0.23	-0.6	0.87	0.85	-0.74	0.89
Total Liab	0.96	0.84	0.85	0.76	0.91		0.89	0.8	0.85	0.64	0.78	0.9	0.72	0.45	0.95	0.87	0.72	0.81	0.69	-0.37	-0.06	-0.78	0.78	0.7	-0.53	0.7
Total Current Assets	0.78	0.61	0.74	0.45	0.73	0.89		0.53	0.6	0.46	0.47	0.71	0.85	0.76	0.77	0.58	0.82	0.85	0.43	-0.2	-0.24	-0.79	0.59	0.42	-0.16	0.39
Cash And Equivalents	0.92	0.96	0.52	0.96	0.93	0.8	0.53		0.95	0.62	0.89	0.9	0.51	-0.11	0.91	0.94	0.22	0.37	0.94	-0.47	0.4	-0.43	0.81	0.88	-0.83	0.95
Property Plant Equipment	0.95	0.97	0.55	0.97	0.97	0.85	0.6	0.95		0.57	0.86	0.97	0.55	-0.05	0.96	0.96	0.28	0.44	0.94	-0.53	0.29	-0.54	0.89	0.91	-0.81	0.95
Short Term Debt	0.66	0.63	0.72	0.59	0.57	0.64	0.46	0.62	0.57		0.73	0.57	0.36	0.18	0.66	0.67	0.35	0.38	0.55	0.17	0.4	-0.39	0.37	0.51	-0.65	0.57
Intangible Assets	0.88	0.91	0.7	0.9	0.86	0.78	0.47	0.89	0.86	0.73		0.85	0.43	-0.06	0.86	0.96	0.28	0.4	0.83	-0.31	0.43	-0.39	0.66	0.79	-0.89	0.86
Accounts Payable	0.98	0.97	0.61	0.93	0.99	0.9	0.71	0.9	0.97	0.57	0.85		0.66	0.11	0.98	0.95	0.37	0.52	0.9	-0.5	0.24	-0.61	0.88	0.85	-0.75	0.89
Common Stock	0.7	0.62	0.48	0.45	0.69	0.72	0.85	0.51	0.55	0.36	0.43	0.66		0.54	0.7	0.52	0.54	0.61	0.49	-0.17	0.02	-0.55	0.64	0.55	-0.24	0.45
Short Term Investments	0.22	-0.03	0.57	-0.21	0.12	0.45	0.76	-0.11	-0.05	0.18	-0.06	0.11	0.54		0.21	-0.02	0.85	0.76	-0.24	0.19	-0.59	-0.6	0.01	-0.22	0.43	-0.28
Current Deferred Revenue	0.99	0.96	0.7	0.9	0.98	0.95	0.77	0.91	0.96	0.66	0.86	0.98	0.7	0.21		0.95	0.48	0.61	0.86	-0.38	0.21	-0.63	0.85	0.83	-0.72	0.86
Good Will	0.96	0.97	0.68	0.97	0.96	0.87	0.58	0.94	0.96	0.67	0.96	0.95	0.52	-0.02	0.95		0.32	0.47	0.9	-0.47	0.31	-0.51	0.81	0.87	-0.86	0.93
Long Term Debt	0.49	0.24	0.83	0.12	0.38	0.72	0.82	0.22	0.28	0.35	0.28	0.37	0.54	0.85	0.48	0.32		0.97	0.0	0.01	-0.59	-0.74	0.32	0.13	0.12	0.07
Long Term Debt Total	0.62	0.39	0.85	0.29	0.53	0.81	0.85	0.37	0.44	0.38	0.4	0.52	0.61	0.76	0.61	0.47	0.97		0.17	-0.15	-0.54	-0.79	0.53	0.34	-0.02	0.26
Net Tangible Assets	0.86	0.96	0.34	0.97	0.91	0.69	0.43	0.94	0.94	0.55	0.83	0.9	0.49	-0.24	0.86	0.9	0.0	0.17		-0.52	0.54	-0.34	0.8	0.89	-0.87	0.95
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.44	-0.47	-0.08	-0.53	-0.53	-0.37	-0.2	-0.47	-0.53	0.17	-0.31	-0.5	-0.17	0.19	-0.38	-0.47	0.01	-0.15	-0.52		0.15	0.3	-0.59	-0.5	0.26	-0.47
Long Term Investments	0.19	0.41	-0.2	0.45	0.23	-0.06	-0.24	0.4	0.29	0.4	0.43	0.24	0.02	-0.59	0.21	0.31	-0.59	-0.54	0.54	0.15		0.34	0.07	0.36	-0.69	0.47
Short Long Term Debt	-0.65	-0.48	-0.7	-0.4	-0.6	-0.78	-0.79	-0.43	-0.54	-0.39	-0.39	-0.61	-0.55	-0.6	-0.63	-0.51	-0.74	-0.79	-0.34	0.3	0.34		-0.53	-0.37	0.14	-0.35
Capital Surpluse	0.84	0.83	0.45	0.83	0.87	0.78	0.59	0.81	0.89	0.37	0.66	0.88	0.64	0.01	0.85	0.81	0.32	0.53	0.8	-0.59	0.07	-0.53		0.94	-0.6	0.86
Net Invested Capital	0.83	0.88	0.41	0.91	0.85	0.7	0.42	0.88	0.91	0.51	0.79	0.85	0.55	-0.22	0.83	0.87	0.13	0.34	0.89	-0.5	0.36	-0.37	0.94		-0.8	0.96
Net Working Capital	-0.72	-0.84	-0.37	-0.9	-0.74	-0.53	-0.16	-0.83	-0.81	-0.65	-0.89	-0.75	-0.24	0.43	-0.72	-0.86	0.12	-0.02	-0.87	0.26	-0.69	0.14	-0.6	-0.8		-0.9
Capital Stock	0.86	0.94	0.41	0.98	0.89	0.7	0.39	0.95	0.95	0.57	0.86	0.89	0.45	-0.28	0.86	0.93	0.07	0.26	0.95	-0.47	0.47	-0.35	0.86	0.96	-0.9

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Microsoft

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Microsoft has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 6.0%. This is 85.17% lower than that of the Software sector and significantly higher than that of the Information Technology industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 84.94% higher than that of the company.

Microsoft Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Microsoft's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Microsoft could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Microsoft by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Microsoft is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Microsoft Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Net Debt	57.4B	53.6B	47.3B	25.3B	79.5B	83.5B
Total Current Liabilities	72.3B	88.7B	95.1B	104.1B	125.3B	131.6B
Non Current Liabilities Total	110.7B	103.1B	103.2B	101.6B	118.4B	124.3B
Total Assets	301.3B	333.8B	364.8B	412.0B	512.2B	537.8B
Total Current Assets	181.9B	184.4B	169.7B	184.3B	159.7B	167.7B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	60.7B	76.7B	89.0B	87.6B	118.5B	124.5B

Microsoft ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Microsoft's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Microsoft's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Microsoft Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.36
	Return On Asset	0.15
	Profit Margin	0.36 %
	Operating Margin	0.47 %
	Current Valuation	3.13 T
	Shares Outstanding	7.43 B
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.06 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	73.53 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	56.02 M
	Price To Earning	26.64 X
	Price To Book	10.93 X
	Price To Sales	12.39 X
	Revenue	245.12 B
	Gross Profit	165.36 B
	EBITDA	133.01 B
	Net Income	88.14 B
	Cash And Equivalents	34.7 B
	Cash Per Share	14.39 X
	Total Debt	97.85 B
	Debt To Equity	0.44 %
	Current Ratio	1.84 X
	Book Value Per Share	38.69 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	118.55 B
	Short Ratio	2.58 X
	Earnings Per Share	12.10 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	2.24 X
	Target Price	504.9
	Number Of Employees	228 K
	Beta	0.9
	Market Capitalization	3.15 T
	Total Asset	512.16 B
	Retained Earnings	173.14 B
	Working Capital	34.45 B
	Current Asset	139.66 B
	Current Liabilities	59.36 B
	Annual Yield	0.01 %
	Five Year Return	1.18 %
	Net Asset	512.16 B
	Last Dividend Paid	3.08

About Microsoft Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Microsoft's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Microsoft using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Microsoft based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Microsoft Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Microsoft Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Microsoft Probability Of Bankruptcy

Microsoft Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Microsoft Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Microsoft Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Microsoft ESG Sustainability

Microsoft Fundamentals

About Microsoft Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Microsoft Stock Analysis

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