Mediaco Holding Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

MDIA Stock

USD 1.12 0.05 4.27%

Mediaco Holding's odds of distress is over 60% at this time. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial trouble in the next 2 years. Chance of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Mediaco balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Mediaco Holding Piotroski F Score and Mediaco Holding Altman Z Score analysis.

For information on how to trade Mediaco Stock refer to our How to Trade Mediaco Stock guide.

As of March 26, 2025, Market Cap is expected to decline to about 12.3 M. In addition to that, Enterprise Value is expected to decline to about 13.7 M

Mediaco Holding Company chance of distress Analysis

Mediaco Holding's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Mediaco Holding Probability Of Bankruptcy

Over 63%

Most of Mediaco Holding's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Mediaco Holding is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Mediaco Holding probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Mediaco Holding odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Mediaco Holding financial health.

Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mediaco Holding. If investors know Mediaco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mediaco Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Earnings Share

(0.13)

Revenue Per Share

1.486

Quarterly Revenue Growth

3.631

Return On Assets

(0.07)

Return On Equity

0.0008

The market value of Mediaco Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mediaco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mediaco Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mediaco Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mediaco Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mediaco Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Current Deferred Revenue	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Net Invested Capital	Total Current Assets	Net Working Capital	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Net Tangible Assets	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Good Will	Short Term Investments	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Long Term Debt	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Long Term Debt	Capital Stock	Accumulated Depreciation
Total Assets		-0.85	0.8	0.28	0.63	0.94	0.06	0.6	-0.74	0.79	-0.02	-0.71	0.16	-0.62	0.41	-0.49	0.13	0.8	-0.17	-0.47	0.21	-0.25	-0.31	0.22	0.17
Total Stockholder Equity	-0.85		-0.61	-0.55	-0.34	-0.85	0.26	-0.62	0.52	-0.58	0.18	0.86	0.0	0.91	-0.72	0.79	-0.38	-0.87	0.42	0.78	-0.4	0.33	0.58	-0.54	-0.35
Current Deferred Revenue	0.8	-0.61		0.01	0.86	0.86	0.43	0.44	-0.55	0.59	0.26	-0.39	0.51	-0.49	0.05	-0.22	-0.28	0.44	0.26	-0.22	-0.2	0.1	-0.06	-0.17	-0.23
Accounts Payable	0.28	-0.55	0.01		-0.1	0.28	-0.73	0.83	0.05	0.06	-0.28	-0.84	-0.6	-0.71	0.85	-0.92	0.77	0.74	-0.81	-0.94	0.46	-0.31	-0.83	0.69	0.41
Net Receivables	0.63	-0.34	0.86	-0.1		0.72	0.56	0.39	-0.36	0.39	0.48	-0.19	0.54	-0.26	-0.2	0.01	-0.43	0.26	0.5	0.0	-0.43	0.35	0.02	-0.34	-0.45
Total Liab	0.94	-0.85	0.86	0.28	0.72		0.18	0.56	-0.73	0.78	0.22	-0.66	0.34	-0.69	0.34	-0.48	-0.05	0.73	-0.05	-0.49	0.01	0.02	-0.23	0.1	-0.02
Net Invested Capital	0.06	0.26	0.43	-0.73	0.56	0.18		-0.46	-0.29	0.22	0.56	0.59	0.92	0.33	-0.77	0.66	-0.95	-0.52	0.86	0.66	-0.69	0.53	0.79	-0.88	-0.67
Total Current Assets	0.6	-0.62	0.44	0.83	0.39	0.56	-0.46		-0.12	0.24	-0.17	-0.87	-0.42	-0.67	0.68	-0.8	0.59	0.83	-0.54	-0.8	0.3	-0.27	-0.78	0.5	0.24
Net Working Capital	-0.74	0.52	-0.55	0.05	-0.36	-0.73	-0.29	-0.12		-0.99	-0.31	0.32	-0.34	0.19	-0.03	0.09	0.21	-0.48	0.07	0.1	0.08	-0.09	-0.26	0.18	0.09
Short Term Debt	0.79	-0.58	0.59	0.06	0.39	0.78	0.22	0.24	-0.99		0.26	-0.43	0.27	-0.27	0.11	-0.19	-0.12	0.57	-0.15	-0.19	-0.03	0.03	0.16	-0.11	-0.05
Intangible Assets	-0.02	0.18	0.26	-0.28	0.48	0.22	0.56	-0.17	-0.31	0.26		0.27	0.57	0.23	-0.57	0.4	-0.7	-0.19	0.53	0.29	-0.83	0.97	0.51	-0.67	-0.79
Net Tangible Assets	-0.71	0.86	-0.39	-0.84	-0.19	-0.66	0.59	-0.87	0.32	-0.43	0.27		0.43	0.84	-0.84	0.94	-0.7	-0.97	0.72	0.93	-0.46	0.41	0.82	-0.68	-0.4
Net Debt	0.16	0.0	0.51	-0.6	0.54	0.34	0.92	-0.42	-0.34	0.27	0.57	0.43		0.05	-0.56	0.47	-0.91	-0.38	0.8	0.43	-0.57	0.54	0.66	-0.7	-0.55
Retained Earnings	-0.62	0.91	-0.49	-0.71	-0.26	-0.69	0.33	-0.67	0.19	-0.27	0.23	0.84	0.05		-0.77	0.89	-0.44	-0.75	0.45	0.89	-0.35	0.3	0.71	-0.56	-0.3
Good Will	0.41	-0.72	0.05	0.85	-0.2	0.34	-0.77	0.68	-0.03	0.11	-0.57	-0.84	-0.56	-0.77		-0.92	0.83	0.78	-0.8	-0.91	0.8	-0.62	-0.85	0.91	0.77
Short Term Investments	-0.49	0.79	-0.22	-0.92	0.01	-0.48	0.66	-0.8	0.09	-0.19	0.4	0.94	0.47	0.89	-0.92		-0.75	-0.83	0.78	0.99	-0.53	0.46	0.87	-0.74	-0.47
Common Stock	0.13	-0.38	-0.28	0.77	-0.43	-0.05	-0.95	0.59	0.21	-0.12	-0.7	-0.7	-0.91	-0.44	0.83	-0.75		0.62	-0.9	-0.71	0.75	-0.71	-0.86	0.88	0.7
Property Plant Equipment	0.8	-0.87	0.44	0.74	0.26	0.73	-0.52	0.83	-0.48	0.57	-0.19	-0.97	-0.38	-0.75	0.78	-0.83	0.62		-0.65	-0.83	0.46	-0.36	-0.71	0.64	0.42
Long Term Debt	-0.17	0.42	0.26	-0.81	0.5	-0.05	0.86	-0.54	0.07	-0.15	0.53	0.72	0.8	0.45	-0.8	0.78	-0.9	-0.65		0.75	-0.62	0.57	0.67	-0.73	-0.57
Long Term Debt Total	-0.47	0.78	-0.22	-0.94	0.0	-0.49	0.66	-0.8	0.1	-0.19	0.29	0.93	0.43	0.89	-0.91	0.99	-0.71	-0.83	0.75		-0.49	0.35	0.85	-0.73	-0.44
Capital Surpluse	0.21	-0.4	-0.2	0.46	-0.43	0.01	-0.69	0.3	0.08	-0.03	-0.83	-0.46	-0.57	-0.35	0.8	-0.53	0.75	0.46	-0.62	-0.49		-0.84	-0.58	0.88	0.99
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.25	0.33	0.1	-0.31	0.35	0.02	0.53	-0.27	-0.09	0.03	0.97	0.41	0.54	0.3	-0.62	0.46	-0.71	-0.36	0.57	0.35	-0.84		0.53	-0.68	-0.8
Short Long Term Debt	-0.31	0.58	-0.06	-0.83	0.02	-0.23	0.79	-0.78	-0.26	0.16	0.51	0.82	0.66	0.71	-0.85	0.87	-0.86	-0.71	0.67	0.85	-0.58	0.53		-0.85	-0.53
Capital Stock	0.22	-0.54	-0.17	0.69	-0.34	0.1	-0.88	0.5	0.18	-0.11	-0.67	-0.68	-0.7	-0.56	0.91	-0.74	0.88	0.64	-0.73	-0.73	0.88	-0.68	-0.85		0.86
Accumulated Depreciation	0.17	-0.35	-0.23	0.41	-0.45	-0.02	-0.67	0.24	0.09	-0.05	-0.79	-0.4	-0.55	-0.3	0.77	-0.47	0.7	0.42	-0.57	-0.44	0.99	-0.8	-0.53	0.86

	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025 (projected)
Net Debt	115.3M	114.9M	649K	18.4M	16.6M	15.7M
Total Current Liabilities	77.7M	14.0M	11.1M	11.7M	13.5M	22.5M
Non Current Liabilities Total	55.4M	123.8M	12.3M	17.6M	20.3M	19.2M
Total Assets	146.4M	148.2M	96.7M	95.5M	109.8M	129.4M
Total Current Assets	15.2M	21.6M	26.3M	13.9M	16.0M	17.6M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	(9.6M)	2.9M	2.2M	(5.3M)	(4.8M)	(4.5M)

	Return On Equity	8.0E-4
	Return On Asset	-0.07
	Profit Margin	0 %
	Operating Margin	(0.18) %
	Current Valuation	170.2 M
	Shares Outstanding	41.33 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	2.00 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	92.31 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	117.62 K
	Price To Book	0.77 X
	Price To Sales	0.78 X
	Revenue	32.39 M
	Gross Profit	(10.45 M)
	EBITDA	(6.12 M)
	Net Income	(7.63 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	6.53 M
	Cash Per Share	0.31 X
	Total Debt	22.23 M
	Current Ratio	1.05 X
	Book Value Per Share	1.46 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	(5.32 M)
	Short Ratio	3.26 X
	Earnings Per Share	(0.13) X
	Number Of Employees	116
	Beta	-0.056
	Market Capitalization	53.75 M
	Total Asset	95.49 M
	Retained Earnings	(23.15 M)
	Working Capital	2.19 M
	Net Asset	95.49 M

Mediaco Holding Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Mediaco Holding Company chance of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Mediaco Holding Probability Of Bankruptcy

Mediaco Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Mediaco Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Mediaco Holding Main Bankruptcy Drivers

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About Mediaco Holding Fundamental Analysis

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