Mister Car Wash, Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

MCW Stock

USD 7.15 0.09 1.24%

Mister Car's odds of distress is under 38% at this time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial distress in the near future. Mister Car's Odds of financial turmoil is determined by interpolating and adjusting Mister Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Mister balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Mister Car Piotroski F Score and Mister Car Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is likely to climb to about 5.1 B in 2025. Enterprise Value is likely to climb to about 6.8 B in 2025

Mister Car Wash, Company odds of financial turmoil Analysis

Mister Car's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Mister Car Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 38%

Most of Mister Car's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Mister Car Wash, is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Mister Car probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Mister Car odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Mister Car Wash, financial health.

Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mister Car. If investors know Mister will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mister Car listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.157

Earnings Share

0.22

Revenue Per Share

3.062

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.065

Return On Assets

0.0396

The market value of Mister Car Wash, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mister that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mister Car's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mister Car's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mister Car's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mister Car's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mister Car's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mister Car is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mister Car's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mister Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Mister Car is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Mister Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Mister Car's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Mister Car's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Mister Car's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Tangible Assets	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Good Will	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Total Liab	Deferred Long Term Liab	Net Invested Capital	Short Long Term Debt	Total Current Assets	Capital Stock	Cash And Equivalents	Net Working Capital	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Treasury Stock
Total Assets		0.95	0.96	0.98	0.97	0.92	0.98	-0.84	0.77	0.97	-0.86	0.95	0.97	0.89	0.98	0.86	0.67	0.94	0.77	-0.52	0.88	-0.82	0.94	0.77	0.62
Total Stockholder Equity	0.95		0.97	0.95	0.9	0.95	0.92	-0.96	0.84	0.96	-0.97	0.93	0.89	0.97	0.96	0.84	0.55	0.95	0.62	-0.68	0.85	-0.89	0.95	0.64	0.65
Net Tangible Assets	0.96	0.97		0.92	0.9	0.9	0.91	-0.88	0.83	0.96	-0.9	0.97	0.89	0.92	0.96	0.74	0.6	0.9	0.64	-0.59	0.92	-0.78	0.9	0.66	0.49
Current Deferred Revenue	0.98	0.95	0.92		0.94	0.94	0.99	-0.87	0.8	0.98	-0.89	0.93	0.94	0.92	0.99	0.9	0.56	0.98	0.71	-0.62	0.79	-0.86	0.98	0.7	0.73
Net Debt	0.97	0.9	0.9	0.94		0.9	0.97	-0.79	0.64	0.9	-0.8	0.87	1.0	0.82	0.92	0.87	0.78	0.88	0.86	-0.37	0.88	-0.82	0.88	0.89	0.62
Retained Earnings	0.92	0.95	0.9	0.94	0.9		0.92	-0.89	0.67	0.9	-0.9	0.83	0.91	0.96	0.92	0.86	0.62	0.92	0.75	-0.6	0.74	-0.95	0.92	0.73	0.69
Accounts Payable	0.98	0.92	0.91	0.99	0.97	0.92		-0.82	0.75	0.94	-0.84	0.91	0.97	0.86	0.96	0.89	0.62	0.94	0.77	-0.55	0.8	-0.84	0.94	0.78	0.68
Long Term Debt	-0.84	-0.96	-0.88	-0.87	-0.79	-0.89	-0.82		-0.83	-0.9	1.0	-0.84	-0.78	-0.95	-0.88	-0.86	-0.41	-0.92	-0.47	0.74	-0.75	0.92	-0.92	-0.5	-0.75
Net Receivables	0.77	0.84	0.83	0.8	0.64	0.67	0.75	-0.83		0.89	-0.86	0.91	0.62	0.78	0.86	0.64	0.1	0.86	0.19	-0.83	0.68	-0.6	0.86	0.23	0.53
Good Will	0.97	0.96	0.96	0.98	0.9	0.9	0.94	-0.9	0.89		-0.92	0.98	0.89	0.93	1.0	0.85	0.49	0.98	0.59	-0.68	0.83	-0.81	0.98	0.6	0.67
Long Term Debt Total	-0.86	-0.97	-0.9	-0.89	-0.8	-0.9	-0.84	1.0	-0.86	-0.92		-0.87	-0.79	-0.95	-0.9	-0.85	-0.41	-0.94	-0.47	0.75	-0.76	0.9	-0.94	-0.5	-0.74
Capital Surpluse	0.95	0.93	0.97	0.93	0.87	0.83	0.91	-0.84	0.91	0.98	-0.87		0.86	0.87	0.98	0.75	0.48	0.92	0.56	-0.63	0.87	-0.7	0.92	0.57	0.53
Total Liab	0.97	0.89	0.89	0.94	1.0	0.91	0.97	-0.78	0.62	0.89	-0.79	0.86		0.83	0.92	0.87	0.8	0.88	0.88	-0.35	0.87	-0.83	0.88	0.9	0.63
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.89	0.97	0.92	0.92	0.82	0.96	0.86	-0.95	0.78	0.93	-0.95	0.87	0.83		0.93	0.82	0.5	0.93	0.59	-0.7	0.75	-0.91	0.93	0.56	0.68
Net Invested Capital	0.98	0.96	0.96	0.99	0.92	0.92	0.96	-0.88	0.86	1.0	-0.9	0.98	0.92	0.93		0.85	0.54	0.98	0.65	-0.64	0.83	-0.82	0.98	0.65	0.66
Short Long Term Debt	0.86	0.84	0.74	0.9	0.87	0.86	0.89	-0.86	0.64	0.85	-0.85	0.75	0.87	0.82	0.85		0.55	0.93	0.68	-0.5	0.65	-0.92	0.93	0.69	0.93
Total Current Assets	0.67	0.55	0.6	0.56	0.78	0.62	0.62	-0.41	0.1	0.49	-0.41	0.48	0.8	0.5	0.54	0.55		0.45	0.94	0.22	0.76	-0.55	0.45	0.95	0.27
Capital Stock	0.94	0.95	0.9	0.98	0.88	0.92	0.94	-0.92	0.86	0.98	-0.94	0.92	0.88	0.93	0.98	0.93	0.45		0.59	-0.7	0.75	-0.88	1.0	0.59	0.8
Cash And Equivalents	0.77	0.62	0.64	0.71	0.86	0.75	0.77	-0.47	0.19	0.59	-0.47	0.56	0.88	0.59	0.65	0.68	0.94	0.59		0.04	0.69	-0.66	0.59	0.98	0.43
Net Working Capital	-0.52	-0.68	-0.59	-0.62	-0.37	-0.6	-0.55	0.74	-0.83	-0.68	0.75	-0.63	-0.35	-0.7	-0.64	-0.5	0.22	-0.7	0.04		-0.27	0.6	-0.7	0.05	-0.52
Short Term Debt	0.88	0.85	0.92	0.79	0.88	0.74	0.8	-0.75	0.68	0.83	-0.76	0.87	0.87	0.75	0.83	0.65	0.76	0.75	0.69	-0.27		-0.63	0.75	0.75	0.36
Intangible Assets	-0.82	-0.89	-0.78	-0.86	-0.82	-0.95	-0.84	0.92	-0.6	-0.81	0.9	-0.7	-0.83	-0.91	-0.82	-0.92	-0.55	-0.88	-0.66	0.6	-0.63		-0.88	-0.66	-0.83
Common Stock	0.94	0.95	0.9	0.98	0.88	0.92	0.94	-0.92	0.86	0.98	-0.94	0.92	0.88	0.93	0.98	0.93	0.45	1.0	0.59	-0.7	0.75	-0.88		0.59	0.8
Property Plant Equipment	0.77	0.64	0.66	0.7	0.89	0.73	0.78	-0.5	0.23	0.6	-0.5	0.57	0.9	0.56	0.65	0.69	0.95	0.59	0.98	0.05	0.75	-0.66	0.59		0.42
Treasury Stock	0.62	0.65	0.49	0.73	0.62	0.69	0.68	-0.75	0.53	0.67	-0.74	0.53	0.63	0.68	0.66	0.93	0.27	0.8	0.43	-0.52	0.36	-0.83	0.8	0.42

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Mister Car

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Mister Car Wash, has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 38.0%. This is 8.19% lower than that of the Diversified Consumer Services sector and 3.37% higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 4.59% higher than that of the company.

Mister Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Mister Car's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Mister Car could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mister Car by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Mister Car is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Mister Car Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.031	(0.009005)	0.042	0.0278	0.025	0.0148
Asset Turnover	0.3	0.31	0.33	0.32	0.37	0.4
Net Debt	1.7B	1.6B	1.6B	1.7B	2.0B	1.7B
Total Current Liabilities	122.9M	130.2M	154.5M	169.6M	195.0M	145.8M
Non Current Liabilities Total	1.8B	1.7B	1.7B	1.8B	2.1B	1.8B
Total Assets	1.9B	2.4B	2.7B	2.9B	3.3B	2.4B
Total Current Assets	135.0M	58.8M	106.1M	60.9M	70.0M	86.7M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	101.8M	173.4M	229.2M	204.7M	235.4M	171.4M

Mister Car ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Mister Car's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Mister Car's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Mister Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0785
	Return On Asset	0.0396
	Profit Margin	0.08 %
	Operating Margin	0.19 %
	Current Valuation	4.12 B
	Shares Outstanding	322.25 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	2.03 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	97.97 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	9.19 M
	Price To Book	2.35 X
	Price To Sales	2.37 X
	Revenue	927.07 M
	Gross Profit	303.23 M
	EBITDA	248.14 M
	Net Income	80.13 M
	Cash And Equivalents	65.15 M
	Cash Per Share	0.14 X
	Total Debt	1.77 B
	Debt To Equity	2.24 %
	Current Ratio	0.56 X
	Book Value Per Share	3.04 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	204.65 M
	Short Ratio	8.29 X
	Earnings Per Share	0.22 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	1.63 X
	Target Price	9.34
	Number Of Employees	6.6 K
	Beta	1.61
	Market Capitalization	2.3 B
	Total Asset	2.88 B
	Retained Earnings	94.61 M
	Working Capital	(108.67 M)
	Net Asset	2.88 B

About Mister Car Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Mister Car Wash,'s financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Mister Car using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mister Car Wash, based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Mister Stock Analysis

When running Mister Car's price analysis, check to measure Mister Car's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mister Car is operating at the current time. Most of Mister Car's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mister Car's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mister Car's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mister Car to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Mister Car Wash, Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Mister Car Wash, Company odds of financial turmoil Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Mister Car Probability Of Bankruptcy

Mister Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Mister Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Mister Car Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Mister Car ESG Sustainability

Mister Fundamentals

About Mister Car Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

Additional Tools for Mister Stock Analysis

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