Mbank Sa Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

MBK Stock   533.20  9.60  1.77%   
MBank SA's likelihood of distress is over 50% at this time. It has a moderate risk of going through some financial crisis in the next 2 years. MBank SA's Probability of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting MBank Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the MBank balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in mBank SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
  

mBank SA Company probability of distress Analysis

MBank SA's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current MBank SA Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  50%  
Most of MBank SA's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, mBank SA is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of MBank SA probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting MBank SA odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of mBank SA financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MBank SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MBank SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MBank SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, mBank SA has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 50.0%. This indicator is about the same for the Financial Services average (which is currently at 49.93) sector and significantly higher than that of the Banks-Regional industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Poland stocks is 25.53% lower than that of the firm.

MBank Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses MBank SA's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of MBank SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MBank SA by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
MBank SA is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

MBank Fundamentals

About MBank SA Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze mBank SA's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of MBank SA using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of mBank SA based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with MBank SA

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if MBank SA position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MBank SA will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with MBank Stock

  0.77PEO Bank Polska KasaPairCorr
  0.73ING ING Bank lskiPairCorr

Moving against MBank Stock

  0.75CEZ CEZ asPairCorr
  0.68UCG UniCredit SpAPairCorr
  0.43SAN Banco Santander SAPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to MBank SA could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace MBank SA when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back MBank SA - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling mBank SA to buy it.
The correlation of MBank SA is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as MBank SA moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if mBank SA moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for MBank SA can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for MBank Stock Analysis

When running MBank SA's price analysis, check to measure MBank SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MBank SA is operating at the current time. Most of MBank SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MBank SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MBank SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MBank SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.