Jakks Pacific Stock Beneish M Score

JAKK Stock  USD 24.59  0.46  1.84%   
This module uses fundamental data of JAKKS Pacific to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. JAKKS Pacific M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out JAKKS Pacific Piotroski F Score and JAKKS Pacific Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy JAKKS Stock please use our How to buy in JAKKS Stock guide.
  
At this time, JAKKS Pacific's Long Term Debt Total is quite stable compared to the past year. Debt To Assets is expected to rise to 0.18 this year, although the value of Short Term Debt will most likely fall to about 7.7 M. At this time, JAKKS Pacific's Net Income Per Share is quite stable compared to the past year. Days Of Inventory On Hand is expected to rise to 53.77 this year, although Book Value Per Share will most likely fall to 21.22.
At this time, it appears that JAKKS Pacific is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if JAKKS Pacific's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by JAKKS Pacific executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of JAKKS Pacific's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.35
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.07

Focus
Asset Quality

0.88

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.08

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.2

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.08

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.02

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.89

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.75

Focus

JAKKS Pacific Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if JAKKS Pacific's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables124.7 M131.6 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Total Revenue612.7 M691 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets515.3 M444.9 M
Fairly Up
Very volatile
Total Current Assets331.7 M268.7 M
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total133.5 M176.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment20.5 M17.1 M
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Selling General Administrative127.6 M132.8 M
Sufficiently Down
Pretty Stable
Total Current Liabilities131.5 M149.4 M
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Liabilities Total108.5 M54.6 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Short Term Debt7.7 M8.1 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt45.5 M47.9 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Gross Profit Margin0.370.3083
Fairly Up
Very volatile

JAKKS Pacific Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between JAKKS Pacific's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards JAKKS Pacific in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find JAKKS Pacific's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About JAKKS Pacific Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Accumulated Depreciation

(109.22 Million)

The company's current value of Accumulated Depreciation is estimated at (109.22 Million)

JAKKS Pacific Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as JAKKS Pacific. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables102.3M147.4M102.8M123.8M131.6M124.7M
Total Revenue515.9M621.1M796.2M711.6M691.0M612.7M
Total Assets329.4M357.0M399.3M399.0M444.9M515.3M
Total Current Assets250.8M287.6M275.2M255.4M268.7M331.7M
Net Debt95.2M69.5M2.5M(48.3M)(13.4M)(14.1M)
Short Term Debt25.8M12.6M36.3M7.4M8.1M7.7M
Long Term Debt175.0M150.4M93.4M41.6M47.9M45.5M
Operating Income12.9M29.0M61.0M59.1M39.7M41.7M
Investments(8.2M)(8.2M)(10.4M)(8.0M)(12.9M)(12.2M)

JAKKS Pacific ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, JAKKS Pacific's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to JAKKS Pacific's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About JAKKS Pacific Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze JAKKS Pacific's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of JAKKS Pacific using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of JAKKS Pacific based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether JAKKS Pacific is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if JAKKS Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Jakks Pacific Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Jakks Pacific Stock:
Check out JAKKS Pacific Piotroski F Score and JAKKS Pacific Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy JAKKS Stock please use our How to buy in JAKKS Stock guide.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Leisure Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JAKKS Pacific. If investors know JAKKS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JAKKS Pacific listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.024
Earnings Share
3.14
Revenue Per Share
64.098
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.026
Return On Assets
0.0588
The market value of JAKKS Pacific is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JAKKS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JAKKS Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JAKKS Pacific's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JAKKS Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JAKKS Pacific's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JAKKS Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JAKKS Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JAKKS Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.