Heritage Commerce Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| HTBK Stock | USD 9.62 0.10 1.03% |
Heritage | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Heritage Commerce Corp Company odds of financial distress Analysis
Heritage Commerce's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Heritage Commerce Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 6% |
Most of Heritage Commerce's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Heritage Commerce Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Heritage Commerce probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Heritage Commerce odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Heritage Commerce Corp financial health.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Heritage Commerce. If investors know Heritage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Heritage Commerce listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Dividend Share 0.52 | Earnings Share 0.66 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.025 |
The market value of Heritage Commerce Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Heritage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Heritage Commerce's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Heritage Commerce's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Heritage Commerce's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Heritage Commerce's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Heritage Commerce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heritage Commerce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heritage Commerce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Heritage Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Heritage Commerce is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Heritage Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Heritage Commerce's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Heritage Commerce's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Heritage Commerce's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Heritage Commerce Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 6.0%. This is 87.98% lower than that of the Banks sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 84.94% higher than that of the company.
Heritage Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Heritage Commerce's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Heritage Commerce could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Heritage Commerce by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Heritage Commerce is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Heritage Commerce Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | 0.007617 | 0.008674 | 0.0129 | 0.0124 | 0.007179 | 0.004829 | |
| Asset Turnover | 0.0346 | 0.0328 | 0.0283 | 0.0369 | 0.0302 | 0.0451 | |
| Net Debt | (1.1B) | (1.3B) | (267.3M) | (368.6M) | 9.8M | 10.3M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 102.0M | 102.0M | 96.2M | 4.7M | 95.6M | 99.1M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 39.7M | 39.9M | 96.2M | 4.5B | 4.9B | 5.1B | |
| Total Assets | 4.6B | 5.5B | 5.2B | 5.2B | 5.6B | 5.9B | |
| Total Current Assets | 1.5B | 1.5B | 889.7M | 408.1M | 29.9M | 28.4M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 58.1M | 56.8M | 69.9M | 73.0M | 39.0M | 29.8M |
Heritage Commerce ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Heritage Commerce's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Heritage Commerce's managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Heritage Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.0595 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0075 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.24 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.33 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | (306.82 M) | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 61.44 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.02 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 78.86 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 551.73 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | 19.19 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.86 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.51 X | ||||
| Revenue | 170.26 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 170.26 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 90.42 K | ||||
| Net Income | 40.53 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 876.59 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 14.45 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 39.65 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.05 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 11.24 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 38.97 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 2.14 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.66 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.88 X | ||||
| Target Price | 11.75 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 345 | ||||
| Beta | 0.9 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 597.22 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 5.65 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 187.76 M | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.05 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 4.30 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 5.65 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.52 |
About Heritage Commerce Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Heritage Commerce Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Heritage Commerce using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Heritage Commerce Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Heritage Commerce. If investors know Heritage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Heritage Commerce listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Dividend Share 0.52 | Earnings Share 0.66 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.025 |
The market value of Heritage Commerce Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Heritage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Heritage Commerce's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Heritage Commerce's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Heritage Commerce's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Heritage Commerce's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Heritage Commerce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heritage Commerce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heritage Commerce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.