Greenbrier Companies Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

GBX Stock

USD 68.00 0.10 0.15%

Greenbrier Companies' odds of distress is under 6% at this time. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. Probability of bankruptcy shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Greenbrier balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Greenbrier Companies Piotroski F Score and Greenbrier Companies Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Greenbrier Stock please use our How to Invest in Greenbrier Companies guide.

Market Cap is likely to rise to about 194.1 M in 2024, whereas Enterprise Value is likely to drop slightly above 334.8 M in 2024.

Greenbrier Companies Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Greenbrier Companies' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Greenbrier Companies Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 6%

Most of Greenbrier Companies' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Greenbrier Companies is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Greenbrier Companies probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Greenbrier Companies odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Greenbrier Companies financial health.

Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Greenbrier Companies. If investors know Greenbrier will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Greenbrier Companies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

1.413

Dividend Share

1.2

Earnings Share

4.96

Revenue Per Share

113.97

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.035

The market value of Greenbrier Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Greenbrier that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Greenbrier Companies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Greenbrier Companies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Greenbrier Companies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Greenbrier Companies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Greenbrier Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Greenbrier Companies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Greenbrier Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Greenbrier Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Greenbrier Companies is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Greenbrier Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Greenbrier Companies' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Greenbrier Companies' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Greenbrier Companies' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Current Deferred Revenue	Long Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Short Term Investments	Good Will	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital
Total Assets		0.93	0.78	0.94	0.68	0.96	0.97	0.97	0.84	0.01	0.94	0.53	0.3	0.86	0.1	0.25	0.84	0.91	0.77	-0.72	0.62	-0.4	0.53	0.91	-0.07
Total Stockholder Equity	0.93		0.52	0.99	0.59	0.87	0.81	0.96	0.7	0.3	0.77	0.56	0.3	0.69	0.1	0.13	0.95	0.71	0.88	-0.5	0.56	-0.62	0.65	0.76	0.05
Net Debt	0.78	0.52		0.56	0.62	0.81	0.9	0.61	0.76	-0.47	0.89	0.22	0.1	0.9	0.11	0.38	0.39	0.94	0.36	-0.85	0.51	0.04	0.04	0.87	-0.36
Retained Earnings	0.94	0.99	0.56		0.57	0.88	0.84	0.96	0.72	0.27	0.79	0.52	0.28	0.74	0.12	0.15	0.95	0.76	0.86	-0.51	0.6	-0.61	0.62	0.78	-0.01
Accounts Payable	0.68	0.59	0.62	0.57		0.77	0.7	0.66	0.45	0.0	0.7	0.48	0.14	0.5	0.24	0.15	0.57	0.61	0.45	-0.56	0.44	-0.21	-0.01	0.67	-0.23
Net Receivables	0.96	0.87	0.81	0.88	0.77		0.95	0.91	0.74	0.01	0.93	0.46	0.14	0.85	0.24	0.18	0.79	0.9	0.67	-0.69	0.61	-0.42	0.35	0.87	-0.25
Total Liab	0.97	0.81	0.9	0.84	0.7	0.95		0.89	0.86	-0.19	0.98	0.46	0.27	0.9	0.09	0.31	0.7	0.97	0.65	-0.81	0.61	-0.22	0.41	0.95	-0.15
Total Current Assets	0.97	0.96	0.61	0.96	0.66	0.91	0.89		0.78	0.14	0.86	0.63	0.41	0.71	0.05	0.19	0.89	0.8	0.84	-0.61	0.56	-0.48	0.67	0.84	0.08
Short Term Debt	0.84	0.7	0.76	0.72	0.45	0.74	0.86	0.78		-0.37	0.86	0.51	0.43	0.74	-0.07	0.39	0.6	0.81	0.64	-0.87	0.56	0.08	0.54	0.9	0.25
Current Deferred Revenue	0.01	0.3	-0.47	0.27	0.0	0.01	-0.19	0.14	-0.37		-0.22	0.15	-0.15	-0.16	0.36	-0.43	0.37	-0.29	0.15	0.64	-0.02	-0.74	0.19	-0.3	-0.02
Long Term Debt	0.94	0.77	0.89	0.79	0.7	0.93	0.98	0.86	0.86	-0.22		0.55	0.22	0.88	0.1	0.39	0.69	0.95	0.63	-0.83	0.6	-0.18	0.37	0.95	-0.07
Intangible Assets	0.53	0.56	0.22	0.52	0.48	0.46	0.46	0.63	0.51	0.15	0.55		0.51	0.22	0.04	0.38	0.58	0.36	0.61	-0.42	0.09	-0.23	0.5	0.55	0.56
Common Stock	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.28	0.14	0.14	0.27	0.41	0.43	-0.15	0.22	0.51		-0.03	-0.41	0.28	0.22	0.25	0.41	-0.32	-0.14	0.05	0.59	0.38	0.47
Property Plant Equipment	0.86	0.69	0.9	0.74	0.5	0.85	0.9	0.71	0.74	-0.16	0.88	0.22	-0.03		0.27	0.27	0.62	0.92	0.49	-0.7	0.59	-0.22	0.21	0.84	-0.34
Short Term Investments	0.1	0.1	0.11	0.12	0.24	0.24	0.09	0.05	-0.07	0.36	0.1	0.04	-0.41	0.27		-0.41	0.17	0.04	-0.18	0.07	-0.06	-0.14	-0.34	0.01	-0.32
Good Will	0.25	0.13	0.38	0.15	0.15	0.18	0.31	0.19	0.39	-0.43	0.39	0.38	0.28	0.27	-0.41		0.16	0.42	0.4	-0.45	0.12	0.07	0.21	0.5	0.18
Net Tangible Assets	0.84	0.95	0.39	0.95	0.57	0.79	0.7	0.89	0.6	0.37	0.69	0.58	0.22	0.62	0.17	0.16		0.61	0.88	-0.4	0.6	-0.64	0.58	0.71	0.07
Long Term Debt Total	0.91	0.71	0.94	0.76	0.61	0.9	0.97	0.8	0.81	-0.29	0.95	0.36	0.25	0.92	0.04	0.42	0.61		0.58	-0.8	0.57	-0.19	0.33	0.94	-0.25
Capital Surpluse	0.77	0.88	0.36	0.86	0.45	0.67	0.65	0.84	0.64	0.15	0.63	0.61	0.41	0.49	-0.18	0.4	0.88	0.58		-0.51	0.41	-0.57	0.72	0.7	0.25
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.72	-0.5	-0.85	-0.51	-0.56	-0.69	-0.81	-0.61	-0.87	0.64	-0.83	-0.42	-0.32	-0.7	0.07	-0.45	-0.4	-0.8	-0.51		-0.4	-0.22	-0.21	-0.87	-0.08
Long Term Investments	0.62	0.56	0.51	0.6	0.44	0.61	0.61	0.56	0.56	-0.02	0.6	0.09	-0.14	0.59	-0.06	0.12	0.6	0.57	0.41	-0.4		-0.12	0.21	0.59	-0.16
Short Long Term Debt	-0.4	-0.62	0.04	-0.61	-0.21	-0.42	-0.22	-0.48	0.08	-0.74	-0.18	-0.23	0.05	-0.22	-0.14	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-0.57	-0.22	-0.12		-0.37	-0.11	0.23
Cash And Equivalents	0.53	0.65	0.04	0.62	-0.01	0.35	0.41	0.67	0.54	0.19	0.37	0.5	0.59	0.21	-0.34	0.21	0.58	0.33	0.72	-0.21	0.21	-0.37		0.4	0.55
Net Invested Capital	0.91	0.76	0.87	0.78	0.67	0.87	0.95	0.84	0.9	-0.3	0.95	0.55	0.38	0.84	0.01	0.5	0.71	0.94	0.7	-0.87	0.59	-0.11	0.4		-0.02
Net Working Capital	-0.07	0.05	-0.36	-0.01	-0.23	-0.25	-0.15	0.08	0.25	-0.02	-0.07	0.56	0.47	-0.34	-0.32	0.18	0.07	-0.25	0.25	-0.08	-0.16	0.23	0.55	-0.02

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Greenbrier Companies

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Greenbrier Companies has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 6.0%. This is 85.91% lower than that of the Machinery sector and 85.47% lower than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 84.94% higher than that of the company.

Greenbrier Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Greenbrier Companies' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Greenbrier Companies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Greenbrier Companies by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Greenbrier Companies is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Greenbrier Companies Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0267	0.009556	0.0122	0.0157	0.0376	0.0213
Asset Turnover	0.88	0.52	0.77	0.99	0.83	0.81
Net Debt	321.9M	551.9M	1.0B	1.3B	1.5B	1.5B
Total Current Liabilities	815.4M	942.0M	1.0B	789.7M	928.6M	975.0M
Non Current Liabilities Total	854.3M	942.6M	1.4B	1.7B	1.7B	1.7B
Total Assets	3.2B	3.4B	3.9B	4.0B	4.3B	4.5B
Total Current Assets	1.6B	1.7B	1.9B	1.7B	1.7B	1.8B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	272.3M	(40.5M)	(150.4M)	71.2M	329.6M	346.1M

Greenbrier Companies ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Greenbrier Companies' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Greenbrier Companies' managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Greenbrier Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.11
	Return On Asset	0.0473
	Profit Margin	0.05 %
	Operating Margin	0.12 %
	Current Valuation	3.61 B
	Shares Outstanding	31.36 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	3.43 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	96.57 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	2.05 M
	Price To Earning	149.06 X
	Price To Book	1.55 X
	Price To Sales	0.60 X
	Revenue	3.54 B
	Gross Profit	441.1 M
	EBITDA	450.3 M
	Net Income	172.7 M
	Cash And Equivalents	281.7 M
	Cash Per Share	14.18 X
	Total Debt	1.82 B
	Debt To Equity	1.06 %
	Current Ratio	2.24 X
	Book Value Per Share	44.20 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	329.6 M
	Short Ratio	5.37 X
	Earnings Per Share	4.96 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	1.93 X
	Target Price	62.5
	Number Of Employees	14.2 K
	Beta	1.48
	Market Capitalization	2.14 B
	Total Asset	4.25 B
	Retained Earnings	1.03 B
	Working Capital	691.7 M
	Current Asset	845.28 M
	Current Liabilities	369.75 M
	Annual Yield	0.02 %
	Five Year Return	2.91 %
	Net Asset	4.25 B
	Last Dividend Paid	1.2

About Greenbrier Companies Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Greenbrier Companies's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Greenbrier Companies using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greenbrier Companies based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Greenbrier Stock Analysis

When running Greenbrier Companies' price analysis, check to measure Greenbrier Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greenbrier Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Greenbrier Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greenbrier Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greenbrier Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greenbrier Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Greenbrier Companies Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Greenbrier Companies Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Greenbrier Companies Probability Of Bankruptcy

Greenbrier Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Greenbrier Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Greenbrier Companies Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Greenbrier Companies ESG Sustainability

Greenbrier Fundamentals

About Greenbrier Companies Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

Additional Tools for Greenbrier Stock Analysis

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