Forge Global Holdings Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

FRGE Stock  USD 0.70  0.08  13.69%   
Forge Global's threat of distress is over 50% at the present time. It has a moderate chance of going through some financial straits in the next 2 years. Forge Global's Probability of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Forge Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Forge balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Forge Global Piotroski F Score and Forge Global Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of March 25, 2025, Market Cap is expected to decline to about 162 M. In addition to that, Enterprise Value is expected to decline to about 75.9 M

Forge Global Holdings Company probability of distress Analysis

Forge Global's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Forge Global Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 51%  
Most of Forge Global's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Forge Global Holdings is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Forge Global probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Forge Global odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Forge Global Holdings financial health.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Forge Global. If investors know Forge will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Forge Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.36)
Revenue Per Share
0.433
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Return On Assets
(0.17)
Return On Equity
(0.27)
The market value of Forge Global Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Forge that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Forge Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Forge Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Forge Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Forge Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Forge Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Forge Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Forge Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Forge Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Forge Global is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Forge Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Forge Global's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Forge Global's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Forge Global's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Forge Global Holdings has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 51%. This is 26.05% higher than that of the Software sector and significantly higher than that of the Information Technology industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 28.04% lower than that of the firm.

Forge Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Forge Global's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Forge Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Forge Global by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Forge Global is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Forge Global Main Bankruptcy Drivers

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.0376)(0.0717)(0.31)(0.29)(0.25)(0.26)
Gross Profit Margin0.920.98(1.64)0.99(0.53)(0.5)
Net Debt(9.3M)(64.3M)(185.7M)(133.9M)(90.6M)(95.1M)
Total Current Liabilities68.4M38.0M26.4M24.2M25.1M28.1M
Non Current Liabilities Total40.8M26.5M11.9M18.1M11.6M21.5M
Total Assets258.5M257.9M363.7M310.7M263.5M288.3M
Total Current Assets91.4M88.1M206.9M163.1M119.2M128.6M
Total Cash From Operating Activities(2.5M)10.9M(68.8M)(41.5M)(40.5M)(38.5M)

Forge Fundamentals

About Forge Global Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Forge Global Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Forge Global using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Forge Global Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Forge Global Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Forge Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Forge Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Forge Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Forge Global Piotroski F Score and Forge Global Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Forge Global. If investors know Forge will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Forge Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.36)
Revenue Per Share
0.433
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Return On Assets
(0.17)
Return On Equity
(0.27)
The market value of Forge Global Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Forge that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Forge Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Forge Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Forge Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Forge Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Forge Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Forge Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Forge Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.