Paragon 28 Stock Beneish M Score

FNA Stock  USD 13.01  0.02  0.15%   
This module uses fundamental data of Paragon 28 to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Paragon 28 M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Paragon 28 Piotroski F Score and Paragon 28 Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Paragon Stock refer to our How to Trade Paragon Stock guide.
  
At present, Paragon 28's Long Term Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Long Term Debt Total is expected to grow to about 50.9 M, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 608 K. At present, Paragon 28's Days Sales Outstanding is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to 0.74, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 3.19.
At this time, it appears that Paragon 28 is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Paragon 28's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Paragon 28 executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Paragon 28's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.77
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.2

Focus
Asset Quality

1.18

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.98

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.16

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.98

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.83

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.73

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.51

Focus

Paragon 28 Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Paragon 28's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables34.1 M39 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue186.8 M256.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets236.9 M290.7 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets152.1 M168.8 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total84.8 M121.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment37.5 M71.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization12.3 M18.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative147 M205.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities49.7 M48.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Very volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total117.6 M112 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt608 K640 K
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt115.5 M110 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.870.7475
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile

Paragon 28 Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Paragon 28's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Paragon 28 in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Paragon 28's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Paragon 28 Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

208.6 Million

At present, Paragon 28's Other Operating Expenses is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Paragon 28 Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Paragon 28. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables21.5M26.9M38.3M38.1M39.0M34.1M
Total Revenue111.0M147.5M181.4M216.4M256.2M186.8M
Total Assets97.6M234.5M254.1M340.7M290.7M236.9M
Total Current Assets71.8M179.5M142.4M215.8M168.8M152.1M
Net Debt(11.2M)(101.7M)4.4M36.4M(33.9M)(32.2M)
Short Term Debt2.2M153K1.2M1.2M640K608K
Long Term Debt4.0M7.5M42.2M109.8M110.0M115.5M
Operating Income5.6M(10.8M)(35.0M)(37.3M)(40.8M)(38.7M)
Investments(10.3M)(35.5M)(60.7M)(29.2M)(15.7M)(16.5M)

Paragon 28 ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Paragon 28's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Paragon 28's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Paragon 28 Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Paragon 28's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Paragon 28 using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Paragon 28 based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Paragon 28 offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Paragon 28's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Paragon 28 Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Paragon 28 Stock:
Check out Paragon 28 Piotroski F Score and Paragon 28 Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Paragon Stock refer to our How to Trade Paragon Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Paragon 28. If investors know Paragon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Paragon 28 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.66)
Revenue Per Share
3.075
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.185
Return On Assets
(0.08)
Return On Equity
(0.36)
The market value of Paragon 28 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Paragon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Paragon 28's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Paragon 28's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Paragon 28's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Paragon 28's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Paragon 28's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Paragon 28 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Paragon 28's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.