First Trust Senior Etf Probability Of Bankruptcy
FCT Etf | USD 10.46 0.02 0.19% |
First |
First Trust Senior ETF probability of financial unrest Analysis
First Trust's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current First Trust Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 45% |
Most of First Trust's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, First Trust Senior is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of First Trust probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting First Trust odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of First Trust Senior financial health.
The market value of First Trust Senior is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, First Trust Senior has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 45.0%. This is much higher than that of the Financial Services family and significantly higher than that of the Asset Management category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States etfs is notably lower than that of the firm.
First Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses First Trust's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the etfs which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of First Trust could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Trust by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.First Trust is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy as compared to similar ETFs.
First Fundamentals
Return On Equity | -3.56 | ||||
Return On Asset | 2.2 | ||||
Profit Margin | (55.20) % | ||||
Operating Margin | 80.30 % | ||||
Current Valuation | 367.12 M | ||||
Shares Outstanding | 25.96 M | ||||
Shares Owned By Insiders | 13.80 % | ||||
Shares Owned By Institutions | 80.12 % | ||||
Number Of Shares Shorted | 47.1 K | ||||
Price To Earning | 82.76 X | ||||
Price To Book | 0.80 X | ||||
Price To Sales | 13.16 X | ||||
Revenue | 20.08 M | ||||
Gross Profit | 20.08 M | ||||
Net Income | (11.08 M) | ||||
Cash And Equivalents | 918.37 K | ||||
Cash Per Share | 0.04 X | ||||
Total Debt | 116 M | ||||
Debt To Equity | 0.39 % | ||||
Current Ratio | 0.11 X | ||||
Book Value Per Share | 12.71 X | ||||
Cash Flow From Operations | 45.04 M | ||||
Short Ratio | 0.36 X | ||||
Earnings Per Share | 0.12 X | ||||
Number Of Employees | 14 | ||||
Beta | 0.59 | ||||
Market Capitalization | 331.6 M | ||||
Total Asset | 438.01 M | ||||
Retained Earnings | (182.61 M) | ||||
Annual Yield | 0 % | ||||
Year To Date Return | 7.92 % | ||||
One Year Return | 8.31 % | ||||
Three Year Return | 5.31 % | ||||
Five Year Return | 4.28 % | ||||
Last Dividend Paid | 0.83 |
About First Trust Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze First Trust Senior's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of First Trust using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Trust Senior based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this etf, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Check out First Trust Piotroski F Score and First Trust Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
The market value of First Trust Senior is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.