National Vision Holdings Stock Beneish M Score

EYE Stock  USD 13.02  0.20  1.56%   
This module uses fundamental data of National Vision to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. National Vision M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out National Vision Piotroski F Score and National Vision Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, National Vision's Net Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Long Term Debt is expected to grow to about 444.4 M, whereas Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 494.9 M. At present, National Vision's PTB Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Capex To Depreciation is expected to grow to 1.40, whereas Book Value Per Share is forecasted to decline to 7.71.
At this time, National Vision's M Score is unavailable. The earnings manipulation may begin if National Vision's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by National Vision executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of National Vision's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.61
Beneish M Score - Unavailable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.22

Focus
Asset Quality

1.27

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.8

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.8

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.8

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.74

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.96

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.86

Focus

National Vision Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if National Vision's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables58.6 M49.9 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue1.8 B1.8 B
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets2.1 BB
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets339.7 M249.8 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.8 B1.8 B
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment544.7 M854 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization89.5 M99.1 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative727.7 M938.5 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities324.2 M468.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total999.8 M723.2 M
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Net Debt786.1 M742.1 M
Notably Up
Very volatile
Short Term Debt211.1 M201.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt444.4 M239.1 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities151.1 M133.6 M
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments855 K900 K
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.430.5385
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

National Vision Holdings Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between National Vision's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards National Vision in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find National Vision's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About National Vision Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

1.6 Billion

At present, National Vision's Other Operating Expenses is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

National Vision Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as National Vision. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables58.0M55.7M79.9M86.9M49.9M58.6M
Total Revenue1.7B2.1B2.0B2.1B1.8B1.8B
Total Assets2.3B2.3B2.3B2.2B2.0B2.1B
Total Current Assets566.7M514.6M473.8M396.7M249.8M339.7M
Net Debt667.2M667.5M773.4M773.6M742.1M786.1M
Short Term Debt123.9M64.9M81.3M92.9M201.1M211.1M
Long Term Debt624.6M543.6M563.4M450.8M239.1M444.4M
Operating Income87.0M174.9M61.3M(46.8M)(10.4M)(9.8M)
Investments(76.4M)(92.9M)(110.9M)(115.8M)(96.1M)(100.9M)

National Vision ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, National Vision's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to National Vision's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About National Vision Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze National Vision Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of National Vision using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Vision Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether National Vision Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze National Vision's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact National Vision's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding National Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Vision. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Vision listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.34)
Earnings Share
(0.36)
Revenue Per Share
23.2
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.039
Return On Assets
0.0102
The market value of National Vision Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Vision's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Vision's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Vision's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Vision's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Vision's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Vision is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Vision's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.