Empire State Realty Stock Beneish M Score

ESBA Stock  USD 10.88  0.23  2.07%   
This module uses fundamental data of Empire State to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Empire State M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Empire State Piotroski F Score and Empire State Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, Empire State's Short Term Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Debt To EBITDA is expected to grow to 6.28, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 1.8 B. At present, Empire State's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's PTB Ratio is expected to grow to 1.66, whereas Dividend Yield is forecasted to decline to 0.02.
At this time, it appears that Empire State Realty is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Empire State's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Empire State executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Empire State's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.88
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.77

Focus
Asset Quality

0.99

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.09

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.18

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.09

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.8

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.79

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.02

Focus

Empire State Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Empire State's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables178.8 M295.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue581.7 M739.6 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets3.4 B4.2 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets581.6 M702.4 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total2.8 B3.5 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment2.2 B2.8 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization622.5 M592.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative55 M63.9 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities143.6 M170 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total1.9 B2.3 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt1.5 B1.9 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.9 B2.2 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income133.5 M146.7 M
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Gross Profit Margin0.640.5416
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile

Empire State Realty Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Empire State's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Empire State in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Empire State's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Empire State Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Total Assets

3.35 Billion

At present, Empire State's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Empire State Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Empire State. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables246.4M244.0M243.6M264.3M295.5M178.8M
Total Revenue731.3M609.2M624.1M727.0M739.6M581.7M
Total Assets3.9B4.2B4.3B4.2B4.2B3.4B
Total Current Assets583.4M889.2M794.8M712.6M702.4M581.6M
Net Debt1.5B1.6B1.9B2.0B1.9B1.5B
Short Term Debt3.9M387.6M388.2M(86.7M)86.5M97.1M
Long Term Debt1.7B2.1B2.3B2.2B2.2B1.9B
Operating Income154.7M58.7M79.1M127.0M146.7M133.5M
Investments400M(143.1M)(212.7M)(230.9M)(77.3M)(81.2M)

Empire State ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Empire State's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Empire State's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Empire State Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Empire State Realty's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Empire State using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Empire State Realty based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Empire State Realty is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Empire Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Empire State Realty Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Empire State Realty Stock:
Check out Empire State Piotroski F Score and Empire State Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Empire State. If investors know Empire will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Empire State listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.143
Dividend Share
0.14
Earnings Share
0.27
Revenue Per Share
3.092
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.017
The market value of Empire State Realty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Empire that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Empire State's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Empire State's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Empire State's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Empire State's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Empire State's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Empire State is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Empire State's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.