Amcon Distributing Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

DIT Stock

USD 117.28 6.61 5.34%

AMCON Distributing's odds of distress is under 6% at this time. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial trouble in the near future. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate AMCON Distributing's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the AMCON balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out AMCON Distributing Piotroski F Score and AMCON Distributing Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy AMCON Stock please use our How to Invest in AMCON Distributing guide.

Market Cap is likely to gain to about 82.2 M in 2025. Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 241.1 M in 2025

AMCON Distributing Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

AMCON Distributing's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current AMCON Distributing Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 6%

Most of AMCON Distributing's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, AMCON Distributing is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of AMCON Distributing probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting AMCON Distributing odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of AMCON Distributing financial health.

Is Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMCON Distributing. If investors know AMCON will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AMCON Distributing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.58)

Dividend Share

0.72

Earnings Share

6.71

Revenue Per Share

3.6 K

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.092

The market value of AMCON Distributing is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMCON that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMCON Distributing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMCON Distributing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMCON Distributing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMCON Distributing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between AMCON Distributing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMCON Distributing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMCON Distributing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AMCON Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for AMCON Distributing is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of AMCON Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since AMCON Distributing's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of AMCON Distributing's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of AMCON Distributing's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Current Deferred Revenue	Long Term Debt	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Treasury Stock	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.96	0.99	0.96	0.99	0.98	0.82	1.0	0.99	0.94	0.77	0.97	-0.32	-0.22	-0.23	0.97	0.81	0.95	0.74	-0.47	-0.73	0.9	0.9	0.89	0.9
Total Stockholder Equity	0.96		0.9	0.98	0.96	0.95	0.73	0.93	0.96	0.86	0.7	0.87	-0.24	-0.39	-0.45	0.91	0.8	0.84	0.75	-0.37	-0.7	0.85	0.8	0.78	0.84
Net Debt	0.99	0.9		0.93	0.96	0.95	0.86	1.0	0.97	0.95	0.8	0.99	-0.38	-0.15	-0.11	0.96	0.81	0.97	0.74	-0.54	-0.75	0.88	0.91	0.92	0.9
Retained Earnings	0.96	0.98	0.93		0.94	0.93	0.82	0.94	0.98	0.89	0.8	0.89	-0.38	-0.44	-0.4	0.92	0.85	0.9	0.83	-0.49	-0.82	0.82	0.81	0.81	0.83
Accounts Payable	0.99	0.96	0.96	0.94		0.98	0.76	0.98	0.96	0.93	0.72	0.94	-0.27	-0.17	-0.23	0.96	0.76	0.91	0.69	-0.41	-0.66	0.95	0.87	0.84	0.92
Net Receivables	0.98	0.95	0.95	0.93	0.98		0.72	0.97	0.97	0.91	0.67	0.93	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	0.97	0.77	0.89	0.67	-0.34	-0.63	0.88	0.88	0.87	0.88
Short Term Investments	0.82	0.73	0.86	0.82	0.76	0.72		0.83	0.84	0.85	0.89	0.83	-0.64	-0.39	-0.09	0.8	0.81	0.91	0.79	-0.67	-0.89	0.64	0.74	0.78	0.72
Total Liab	1.0	0.93	1.0	0.94	0.98	0.97	0.83		0.98	0.95	0.78	0.99	-0.34	-0.16	-0.16	0.98	0.81	0.96	0.73	-0.5	-0.72	0.9	0.91	0.9	0.91
Total Current Assets	0.99	0.96	0.97	0.98	0.96	0.97	0.84	0.98		0.91	0.8	0.95	-0.35	-0.31	-0.29	0.96	0.84	0.95	0.8	-0.51	-0.79	0.85	0.88	0.9	0.86
Short Term Debt	0.94	0.86	0.95	0.89	0.93	0.91	0.85	0.95	0.91		0.77	0.92	-0.38	-0.16	-0.09	0.94	0.82	0.92	0.72	-0.49	-0.73	0.86	0.87	0.83	0.86
Current Deferred Revenue	0.77	0.7	0.8	0.8	0.72	0.67	0.89	0.78	0.8	0.77		0.78	-0.81	-0.43	-0.12	0.73	0.77	0.87	0.83	-0.82	-0.93	0.62	0.67	0.71	0.65
Long Term Debt	0.97	0.87	0.99	0.89	0.94	0.93	0.83	0.99	0.95	0.92	0.78		-0.36	-0.06	-0.03	0.96	0.77	0.97	0.71	-0.55	-0.71	0.88	0.92	0.92	0.89
Good Will	-0.32	-0.24	-0.38	-0.38	-0.27	-0.17	-0.64	-0.34	-0.35	-0.38	-0.81	-0.36		0.34	-0.12	-0.28	-0.36	-0.51	-0.51	0.81	0.69	-0.25	-0.18	-0.24	-0.26
Intangible Assets	-0.22	-0.39	-0.15	-0.44	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	-0.16	-0.31	-0.16	-0.43	-0.06	0.34		0.81	-0.11	-0.45	-0.19	-0.54	0.27	0.58	0.03	-0.05	-0.09	-0.04
Common Stock	-0.23	-0.45	-0.11	-0.4	-0.23	-0.27	-0.09	-0.16	-0.29	-0.09	-0.12	-0.03	-0.12	0.81		-0.12	-0.26	-0.05	-0.26	-0.12	0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-0.06	-0.06
Property Plant Equipment	0.97	0.91	0.96	0.92	0.96	0.97	0.8	0.98	0.96	0.94	0.73	0.96	-0.28	-0.11	-0.12		0.79	0.94	0.7	-0.42	-0.68	0.87	0.9	0.91	0.89
Net Tangible Assets	0.81	0.8	0.81	0.85	0.76	0.77	0.81	0.81	0.84	0.82	0.77	0.77	-0.36	-0.45	-0.26	0.79		0.82	0.95	-0.56	-0.87	0.6	0.86	0.84	0.77
Long Term Debt Total	0.95	0.84	0.97	0.9	0.91	0.89	0.91	0.96	0.95	0.92	0.87	0.97	-0.51	-0.19	-0.05	0.94	0.82		0.78	-0.66	-0.81	0.83	0.87	0.9	0.85
Capital Surpluse	0.74	0.75	0.74	0.83	0.69	0.67	0.79	0.73	0.8	0.72	0.83	0.71	-0.51	-0.54	-0.26	0.7	0.95	0.78		-0.68	-0.93	0.54	0.76	0.76	0.68
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.47	-0.37	-0.54	-0.49	-0.41	-0.34	-0.67	-0.5	-0.51	-0.49	-0.82	-0.55	0.81	0.27	-0.12	-0.42	-0.56	-0.66	-0.68		0.76	-0.37	-0.43	-0.47	-0.4
Treasury Stock	-0.73	-0.7	-0.75	-0.82	-0.66	-0.63	-0.89	-0.72	-0.79	-0.73	-0.93	-0.71	0.69	0.58	0.22	-0.68	-0.87	-0.81	-0.93	0.76		-0.5	-0.66	-0.7	-0.57
Short Long Term Debt	0.9	0.85	0.88	0.82	0.95	0.88	0.64	0.9	0.85	0.86	0.62	0.88	-0.25	0.03	-0.06	0.87	0.6	0.83	0.54	-0.37	-0.5		0.8	0.71	0.91
Net Invested Capital	0.9	0.8	0.91	0.81	0.87	0.88	0.74	0.91	0.88	0.87	0.67	0.92	-0.18	-0.05	-0.05	0.9	0.86	0.87	0.76	-0.43	-0.66	0.8		0.96	0.91
Net Working Capital	0.89	0.78	0.92	0.81	0.84	0.87	0.78	0.9	0.9	0.83	0.71	0.92	-0.24	-0.09	-0.06	0.91	0.84	0.9	0.76	-0.47	-0.7	0.71	0.96		0.83
Capital Stock	0.9	0.84	0.9	0.83	0.92	0.88	0.72	0.91	0.86	0.86	0.65	0.89	-0.26	-0.04	-0.06	0.89	0.77	0.85	0.68	-0.4	-0.57	0.91	0.91	0.83

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict AMCON Distributing

Based on the latest financial disclosure, AMCON Distributing has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 6.0%. This is 83.42% lower than that of the Distributors sector and 79.17% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 84.94% higher than that of the company.

AMCON Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses AMCON Distributing's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of AMCON Distributing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AMCON Distributing by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

AMCON Distributing is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

AMCON Distributing Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0647	0.0577	0.0319	0.0116	0.0104	0.009911
Asset Turnover	8.88	6.95	6.99	7.25	6.52	6.98
Gross Profit Margin	0.0603	0.0577	0.0601	0.0635	0.0774	0.0825
Net Debt	66.9M	120.1M	176.7M	168.2M	193.4M	203.1M
Total Current Liabilities	47.1M	72.0M	76.6M	93.2M	107.2M	112.6M
Non Current Liabilities Total	63.7M	124.3M	182.6M	169.1M	194.5M	204.2M
Total Assets	188.4M	289.1M	363.4M	374.1M	430.2M	451.7M
Total Current Assets	136.6M	211.0M	245.7M	229.1M	263.4M	276.6M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	20.9M	22.9M	19.7M	67.9M	78.1M	82.0M

AMCON Distributing ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, AMCON Distributing's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to AMCON Distributing's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

AMCON Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0377
	Return On Asset	0.0305
	Profit Margin	0 %
	Operating Margin	0.01 %
	Current Valuation	288.03 M
	Shares Outstanding	645.46 K
	Shares Owned By Insiders	73.01 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	11.19 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	430
	Price To Earning	10.33 X
	Price To Book	0.67 X
	Price To Sales	0.03 X
	Revenue	2.71 B
	Gross Profit	127.72 M
	EBITDA	27.37 M
	Net Income	4.34 M
	Cash And Equivalents	600.94 K
	Cash Per Share	1.03 X
	Total Debt	168.84 M
	Debt To Equity	1.36 %
	Current Ratio	3.18 X
	Book Value Per Share	177.25 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	67.87 M
	Short Ratio	3.44 X
	Earnings Per Share	6.71 X
	Number Of Employees	1.36 K
	Beta	0.54
	Market Capitalization	83.29 M
	Total Asset	374.11 M
	Retained Earnings	108.55 M
	Working Capital	135.83 M
	Current Asset	89.26 M
	Current Liabilities	28.9 M
	Annual Yield	0.01 %
	Five Year Return	0.74 %
	Net Asset	374.11 M
	Last Dividend Paid	0.72

About AMCON Distributing Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze AMCON Distributing's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of AMCON Distributing using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of AMCON Distributing based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for AMCON Stock Analysis

When running AMCON Distributing's price analysis, check to measure AMCON Distributing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMCON Distributing is operating at the current time. Most of AMCON Distributing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMCON Distributing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMCON Distributing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMCON Distributing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Amcon Distributing Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AMCON Distributing Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current AMCON Distributing Probability Of Bankruptcy

AMCON Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

AMCON Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

AMCON Distributing Main Bankruptcy Drivers

AMCON Distributing ESG Sustainability

AMCON Fundamentals

About AMCON Distributing Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for AMCON Stock Analysis

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