Caledonia Mining Stock Beneish M Score

CMCL Stock  USD 11.25  0.35  3.02%   
This module uses fundamental data of Caledonia Mining to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Caledonia Mining M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Caledonia Mining Piotroski F Score and Caledonia Mining Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Caledonia Stock please use our How to buy in Caledonia Stock guide.
  
At this time, Caledonia Mining's Net Debt To EBITDA is quite stable compared to the past year. Debt To Assets is expected to rise to 0.11 this year, although the value of Debt To Equity will most likely fall to 0.11. At this time, Caledonia Mining's PB Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Sales General And Administrative To Revenue is expected to rise to 0.15 this year, although the value of Days Sales Outstanding will most likely fall to 31.84.
At this time, it appears that Caledonia Mining is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Caledonia Mining's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Caledonia Mining executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Caledonia Mining's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.42
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

0.98

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.04

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Caledonia Mining Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Caledonia Mining's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables13.4 M12.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue167.5 M159.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets396.4 M377.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets65.5 M62.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total330.9 M315.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment190.5 M181.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization17.5 M16.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative22.4 M21.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities48.5 M46.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total29 M27.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.280.27
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Caledonia Mining Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Caledonia Mining's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Caledonia Mining in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Caledonia Mining's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Caledonia Mining Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Total Assets

396.43 Million

At this time, Caledonia Mining's Total Assets are quite stable compared to the past year.

Caledonia Mining Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Caledonia Mining. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables3.9M8.0M7.4M11.1M12.7M13.4M
Total Revenue100.0M121.3M142.1M138.7M159.5M167.5M
Total Assets177.9M210.9M235.2M328.3M377.5M396.4M
Total Current Assets44.6M52.9M38.4M54.2M62.4M65.5M
Net Debt(18.4M)(15.8M)7.9M18.4M16.5M17.3M
Short Term Debt469K1.0M12.5M18.6M21.4M22.4M
Operating Income40.7M38.4M40.3M15.2M17.5M18.3M
Investments(28.0M)(35.9M)(44.6M)(31.9M)(28.7M)(27.3M)
Gross Profit Margin0.410.470.450.440.30.28

Caledonia Mining ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Caledonia Mining's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Caledonia Mining's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Caledonia Mining Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Caledonia Mining's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Caledonia Mining using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caledonia Mining based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
When determining whether Caledonia Mining is a strong investment it is important to analyze Caledonia Mining's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Caledonia Mining's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Caledonia Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Caledonia Mining Piotroski F Score and Caledonia Mining Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Caledonia Stock please use our How to buy in Caledonia Stock guide.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caledonia Mining. If investors know Caledonia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Caledonia Mining listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.50)
Dividend Share
0.56
Earnings Share
0.48
Revenue Per Share
8.621
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.14
The market value of Caledonia Mining is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Caledonia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Caledonia Mining's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Caledonia Mining's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Caledonia Mining's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Caledonia Mining's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Caledonia Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caledonia Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caledonia Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.