Bridger Aerospace Group Stock Beneish M Score

BAER Stock   2.45  0.19  7.20%   
This module uses fundamental data of Bridger Aerospace to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Bridger Aerospace M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Bridger Aerospace Piotroski F Score and Bridger Aerospace Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Bridger Aerospace's Short and Long Term Debt is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/05/2024, Debt To Equity is likely to grow to 8.06, while Net Debt is likely to drop slightly above 124.6 M. At this time, Bridger Aerospace's Debt To Equity is relatively stable compared to the past year.
At this time, it appears that Bridger Aerospace is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Bridger Aerospace's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Bridger Aerospace executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Bridger Aerospace's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.79
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.54

Focus
Asset Quality

-0.66

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.54

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.53

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.54

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.08

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.68

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.86

Focus

Bridger Aerospace Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Bridger Aerospace's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables4.3 M4.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Very volatile
Total Revenue45.6 M66.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets249.3 M273.5 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets50.4 M45.2 M
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total198.9 M228.3 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment176.7 M221.7 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization8.1 M11 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative86.9 M82.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities34.2 M25.4 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total152 M221.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt124.6 M177.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt2.8 M4.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt143.5 M204.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.20.3803
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Bridger Aerospace Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Bridger Aerospace's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Bridger Aerospace in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Bridger Aerospace's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Bridger Aerospace Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

8.1 Million

At this time, Bridger Aerospace's Depreciation And Amortization is relatively stable compared to the past year.

Bridger Aerospace ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Bridger Aerospace's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Bridger Aerospace's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Bridger Aerospace Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Bridger Aerospace Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Bridger Aerospace using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bridger Aerospace Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Bridger Aerospace

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bridger Aerospace position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bridger Aerospace will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Bridger Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bridger Aerospace could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bridger Aerospace when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bridger Aerospace - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bridger Aerospace Group to buy it.
The correlation of Bridger Aerospace is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bridger Aerospace moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bridger Aerospace moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bridger Aerospace can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Bridger Stock Analysis

When running Bridger Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Bridger Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bridger Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Bridger Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bridger Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bridger Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bridger Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.