Armstrong World Industries Stock Beneish M Score

AWI Stock  USD 159.14  0.69  0.43%   
This module uses fundamental data of Armstrong World to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Armstrong World M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Armstrong World Piotroski F Score and Armstrong World Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of now, Armstrong World's Short and Long Term Debt is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Armstrong World's current Net Debt To EBITDA is estimated to increase to 1.38, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to decrease to under 591.2 M. As of now, Armstrong World's Book Value Per Share is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Armstrong World's current Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is estimated to increase to 0.02, while Dividend Yield is projected to decrease to 0.01.
At this time, it appears that Armstrong World Indu is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Armstrong World's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Armstrong World executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Armstrong World's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.67
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.28

Focus
Asset Quality

1.1

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.91

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.6

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.91

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.9

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.37

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.68

Focus

Armstrong World Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Armstrong World's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables195.8 M111.8 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue1.8 B1.3 B
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets2.2 B1.7 B
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets297.4 M313 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.7 B1.4 B
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment659.1 M499 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization134.4 M89.2 M
Way Up
Very volatile
Selling General Administrative320.1 M256.6 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities309.7 M194.5 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total841.8 M886.1 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt378.3 M569.6 M
Way Down
Very volatile
Short Term Debt32.3 M32.3 M
Slightly Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt740.1 M564.3 M
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Operating Income339.9 M323.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities204.7 M233.5 M
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Investments24.4 M25.7 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.230.3837
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Armstrong World Indu Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Armstrong World's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Armstrong World in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Armstrong World's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Armstrong World Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

1.61 Billion

As of now, Armstrong World's Other Operating Expenses is decreasing as compared to previous years.

Armstrong World Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Armstrong World. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables115.1M80.6M110.5M114.2M111.8M195.8M
Total Revenue1.0B936.9M1.1B1.2B1.3B1.8B
Total Assets1.5B1.7B1.7B1.7B1.7B2.2B
Total Current Assets244.4M311.8M321.9M356.5M313M297.4M
Net Debt600.8M618.8M573.5M581M569.6M378.3M
Short Term Debt11.5M38.6M32.8M8.1M32.3M32.3M
Long Term Debt604.5M690.5M606.4M651.1M564.3M740.1M
Operating Income317.4M169.8M165M212M323.7M339.9M
Investments(89.1M)81.5M78.3M28.2M9.5M9.0M

Armstrong World ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Armstrong World's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Armstrong World's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Armstrong World Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Armstrong World Industries's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Armstrong World using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Armstrong World Industries based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Armstrong World Indu offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Armstrong World's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Armstrong World Industries Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Armstrong World Industries Stock:
Check out Armstrong World Piotroski F Score and Armstrong World Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Armstrong World. If investors know Armstrong will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Armstrong World listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.122
Dividend Share
1.148
Earnings Share
5.67
Revenue Per Share
31.742
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.113
The market value of Armstrong World Indu is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Armstrong that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Armstrong World's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Armstrong World's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Armstrong World's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Armstrong World's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Armstrong World's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Armstrong World is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Armstrong World's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.