Api Group Corp Stock Beneish M Score

APG Stock  USD 37.57  0.19  0.50%   
This module uses fundamental data of Api Group to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Api Group M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Api Group Piotroski F Score and Api Group Altman Z Score analysis.
  
The Api Group's current Net Debt is estimated to increase to about (470.2 M). The current Short and Long Term Debt Total is estimated to decrease to about 3.8 M. At this time, Api Group's Free Cash Flow Yield is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The Api Group's current Capex To Depreciation is estimated to increase to 0.36, while PTB Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.64.
At this time, it appears that Api Group Corp is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Api Group's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Api Group executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Api Group's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.57
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.2

Focus
Asset Quality

0.95

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.82

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.61

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.82

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.38

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.64

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.83

Focus

Api Group Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Api Group's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables1.5 B1.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue4.5 BB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets5.5 B8.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets2.2 B2.7 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total3.9 B5.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment468.8 M468.1 M
Slightly Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization209 M348.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative891.3 M1.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.3 B1.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total2.5 B3.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt3.8 MM
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.9 B2.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities338.5 M620 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments1.3 B1.4 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.190.3103
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Api Group Corp Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Api Group's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Api Group in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Api Group's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Api Group Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Operating Income

508.2 Million

At this time, Api Group's Operating Income is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.

Api Group Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Api Group. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables781M984M1.8B1.8B1.9B1.5B
Total Revenue3.6B3.9B6.6B6.9B7.0B4.5B
Total Assets4.1B5.2B8.1B7.6B8.2B5.5B
Total Current Assets1.4B2.6B2.7B2.6B2.7B2.2B
Net Debt1.0B685M2.4B2.1B(495M)(470.3M)
Short Term Debt49M28M279M80M4M3.8M
Long Term Debt1.4B1.8B2.6B2.3B2.7B1.9B
Operating Income(161M)31M136M359M484M508.2M
Investments(340M)(121M)(2.9B)(115M)(829M)(870.5M)

Api Group ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Api Group's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Api Group's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Api Group Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Api Group Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Api Group using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Api Group Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Api Group Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Api Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Api Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Api Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Api Group Piotroski F Score and Api Group Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Api Group. If investors know Api will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Api Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.563
Earnings Share
(0.84)
Revenue Per Share
26.218
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.058
Return On Assets
0.0377
The market value of Api Group Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Api that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Api Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Api Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Api Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Api Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Api Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Api Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Api Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.